Brisk Wind Advisory 87, NWS Fairbanks, AK

759 
FZAK52 PAFG 212200
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
200 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-221300-
200 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 981 MB LOW ABOUT 100 NM NORTH OF THE BERING STRAIT LATE MON
AFTERNOON WILL TRACK NORTH AND WEAKEN OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA
THROUGH WED. A 987 MB LOW ABOUT 500 NM SOUTH OF SAINT LAWRENCE
ISLAND LATE MON AFTERNOON WILL MOVE NORTH AND WEAKEN OVER THE
EASTERN BERING SEA THROUGH WED. AT 4 PM AKDT WED... THE LOW WILL
BE 1001 MB NEAR SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND.

$$

PKZ200-221300-
NORTON SOUND-
200 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT.
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-221300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
200 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. LOCAL GUSTS TO 30 MPH ALONG THE BERING
STRAIT COAST IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING W. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-221300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
200 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-221300-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
200 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TUE...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING W. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

RF/DA MAR 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
328 PM AKDT SUN MAR 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
TIGHT SURFACE LOW CENTER HAS JUST PASSED NORTH OF NUNIVAK
ISLAND...CURRENT CENTRAL PRESSURE IS AROUND 972 MB. CURRENT
MODELS AGREE FAIRLY GOOD ON TRACK AND CENTRAL PRESSURE THROUGH
00Z WED. NAM IS MOVING THE LOW FARTHER NORTH THAN THE OTHER
MODELS BY 00Z THU.

PROGGED POSITION/CENTRAL PRESSURE
00Z TUE...980 MB 66N/169W NEAR BERING STRAIT
00Z WED...986 MB 72N/169W
00Z THU...995 MB 76N/174W.

THE ASSOCIATED FRONT HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY OVER
THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR...BUT SOME WRAPAROUND SNOW IS
EXPECTED IN THE NULATO HILLS AND NEARBY AREAS...SO WILL
CONTINUE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THOSE PARTS
OF ZONES 215/216. THIS WILL LIKELY BE A MINIMUM EVENT. UP
TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW EXPECTED IN ZONE 211 TONIGHT
THROUGH MON. WIND SPEEDS OVER SOUTHWEST AK SHOULD START TO
DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT.

GUSTY SOUTH WINDS IN WINDY PASS HAVE DROPPED TO BELOW
ADVISORY THRESHOLD AND ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DIMINISH
LATER THIS EVENING. THIS APPEARS TO BE MAINLY A LOW LEVEL
GAP WIND EVENT WITH MINIMAL SUPPORT ALOFT.

WEAK FLOW PATTERN EXPECTED FROM MID WEEK THROUGH SAT
WITH SIGNIFICANT SURFACE SYSTEMS EXPECTED TO AFFECT
THE CWA.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ215-AKZ216.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

RF MAR 11