Brisk Wind Advisory 66, NWS Fairbanks, AK

124 
FZAK51 PAFG 201209
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
309 AM AKST SUN FEB 20 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-210315-
309 AM AKST SUN FEB 20 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 993 MB LOW 350 NM N OF BARROW WILL DISSIPATE BY SUN EVENING. A
969 MB LOW 250 E OF KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO NEAR
SHISHMAREF AS 988 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN TRACK NE
TO NEAR PRUDHOE BAY AS 998 MB BY LATE SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-210315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
309 AM AKST SUN FEB 20 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-210315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
309 AM AKST SUN FEB 20 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-210315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
309 AM AKST SUN FEB 20 2011

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-210315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
309 AM AKST SUN FEB 20 2011

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-210315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
309 AM AKST SUN FEB 20 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...W WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SW WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RF/DJH FEB 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
126 AM AKST SAT FEB 19 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT GFS/NAM/EUROPEAN RUNS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THE WEATHER SCENARIO OUT THROUGH MON.

WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH ALONG 160W MOVING EAST TO THE
ALCAN BORDER BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...GRADUALLY WEAKENING
IN AMPLITUDE. A BRIEF DUSTING OF SNOW IN INTERIOR
AREAS WITH THIS FEATURE AS IT MOVES EAST.

LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUING IN SOUTHEAST PARTS OF
AKZ224 AND CENTRAL/EASTERN AKZ226 THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL
PRODUCE A FEW INCHES OF SNOW.

965 MB STORM NOW JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA WEAKENING TO 977 MB OVER THE GULF OF
ANADYR BY 12Z SUN...AND TO 986 MB JUST WEST OF
KOTZEBUE SOUND BY 00Z MON. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING ON ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AROUND 03Z SUN...
AND IN AKZ207-AKZ209 ABOUT 6 HOURS LATER.

ALL MODELS INDICATING SIGNIFICANT QPF WITH THIS
SYSTEM WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AROUND 6 INCHES
EXPECTED OVER MOST WEST COAST ZONES AND IN AKZ215.
NORTHERN PARTS OF SEWARD PEN IN AKZ210 WILL HAVE
LESS SNOW DUE TO DOWNSLOPE.

SNOW SPREADING RAPIDLY INTO THE CENTRAL/EASTERN INTERIOR
SUN THROUGH SUN EVENING AS A FLAT HIGH SPEED WESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT PUNCHES EASTWARD BEHIND A SHORT WAVE RIDGE.
FAIRBANKS AREA COULD SEE UP TO AROUND 6 INCHES OF SNOW
DURING THE 36 HOUR PERIOD SUN THROUGH MON.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...GFS/EURO BUILDING HIGH AMPLITUDE
RIDGE ALOFT OVER ALASKA BY WED WHICH IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE EASTWARD AND BREAK DOWN BY WED AS ANOTHER
SURGE OF MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW MOVES INTO THE
FORECAST AREA. TRACK AND TIMING OF SURFACE SYSTEMS
IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME...ONE OR TWO LOWS MAY TRAVEL
OVER THE TOP OF THE RIDGE EASTWARD ACROSS THE
ARCTIC...ANOTHER STORM POSSIBLE IN THE BERING FRIDAY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214-AKZ215.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ213.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ206-AKZ209-AKZ226.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

RF FEB 11