Alert archive / Alaska / Brisk Wind Advisories in 2011

Brisk Wind Advisory 4, NWS Fairbanks, AK

January 2, 2011

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this brisk wind advisory at Jan 2, 2011, 12:57 AM AKST. It was in force for 25 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jan 2, 2011, 12:57 AM AKST (09:57 UTC)
Expired: Jan 3, 2011, 1:36 AM AKST
In force: 25 hr
Issued by: NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

898 
FZAK52 PAFG 020957
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1257 AM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-030415-
1257 AM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 958 MB LOW 150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND
WILL MOVE TO THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA BY 4 AM WEAKENING
TO 980 MB. THE LOW WILL MOVE TO 300 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BARROW BY 4 AM TUE WEAKENING TO 992 MB.

$$

PKZ200-030415-
NORTON SOUND-
1257 AM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N.  
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT.  
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT.  
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-030415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
1257 AM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 40 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...SW WINDS 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ215-030415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
1257 AM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT.  
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT.  
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-030415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
1257 AM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT.  
.WED...NW WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RF/JK JAN 11

3 follow-up statements

043 
FZAK52 PAFG 022322
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
222 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-031245-
222 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 965 MB LOW 50 NW SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL WILL MOVE TO THE CHUKOTSK
PENINSULA BY 3 AM MON AS A 976 MB LOW AND TO THE NORTHERN CHUKCHI
SEA AS A 990 MB LOW BY 3PM MON AND THEN CONTINUE NORTH AND WEAKEN.
ANOTHER STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY LATE TUE. 

$$

PKZ200-031245-
NORTON SOUND-
222 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY
1 NM OR LESS.
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-031245-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
222 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WINDS 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT BUILDING
TO 8 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...N WINDS 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.WED...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-031245-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
222 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-031245-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
222 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

JAN 11

598 
FZAK52 PAFG 030121 AAA
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
421 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

UPDATED SYNOPSIS

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-031615-
421 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 965 MB LOW 50 NW SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL WILL MOVE TO THE CHUKOTSK
PENINSULA BY 3 AM MON AS A 976 MB LOW AND TO THE NORTHERN CHUKCHI
SEA AS A 990 MB LOW BY 3PM MON AND THEN CONTINUE NORTH AND WEAKEN.
ANOTHER STRONG LOW WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY LATE MON. 

$$

PKZ200-031615-
NORTON SOUND-
421 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY
1 NM OR LESS. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...N WINDS 10 KT.  
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-031615-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
421 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.MON...SW WINDS 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT BUILDING
TO 8 FT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...N WINDS 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. BLOWING
SNOW. SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. 
.WED...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-031615-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
421 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT.  
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-031615-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
421 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.  
.MON...SE WINDS 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW.  
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

JAN 11

718 
FZAK52 PAFG 031036
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
136 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-040145-
136 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 978 MB LOW CURRENTLY NEAR THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE NORTH TODAY AND WEAKEN. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ200-040145-
NORTON SOUND-
136 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-040145-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
136 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT AFTER NOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. BLOWING
SNOW.
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-040145-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
136 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NE. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-040145-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
136 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

.TODAY...SE WINDS 20 KT BECOMING N. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TUE...N WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

JK/RF JAN 11

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this brisk wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this brisk wind advisory went out at Jan 1, 4:10 PM AKST, 8 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 4:10 PM AKST, 8 hours 47 minutes before

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
410 PM AKST SAT JAN 1 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
THE LONG WAVE PATTERN CONSISTING OF A TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA
AND A RIDGE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WILL BECOME PROGRESSIVE AS A
SERIES OF STRONG SHORTWAVES MAKE THEIR WAY NORTH ACROSS ALASKA.

850 MB TEMPERATURES NEAR 0C SOUTHEAST OF BETHEL TO RUBY TO DENALI
WILL COOL SUN AS THE AIR IS PINCHED ALOFT AS IT IS FORCED EAST
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE AREAS OF FREEZING
RAIN IN THE AREA SOUTHEAST OF THAT DEFINED AREA TONIGHT.

SURFACE...
A STRONG 961 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND WILL MOVE TO
NEAR GAMBELL AS A 966 MB LOW BY 3PM SUN AND INTO THE CHUKCHI SEA
AS A 989 MB LOW BY 3AM MON. A WEATHER FRONT FROM THIS LOW TO
NORTON SOUND TO BRISTOL BAY WILL MOVE TO THE BERING STRAIT TO
MCGRATH BY 3AM SUN...TO WAINWRIGHT TO MCGRATH BY 3PM SUN AND TO
BARROW TO MCGRATH BY 3AM MON. STORM TOTALS OF 6-10 INCHES OF SNOW
WILL FALL ALONG THE WEST COAST WITH THIS FRONT WITH 4-8 INCHES
INLAND TAPERING OFF TO A TRACE BY THE CENTRAL INTERIOR. THERE ARE
WIDESPREAD BLIZZARD CONDITIONS NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE WEST COAST
SOUTH OF THE BERING STRAIT SPREADING NORTH TO WAINWRIGHT TONIGHT
ALONG WITH EASTERLY WINDS 30-50KT. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO SNOW
SHOWERS SOUTH OF THE FRONT BUT WITH SOUTH WINDS OF 30-50 KT IN THE
POISON TAIL IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE LOW BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS MAY LAST INTO MONDAY NORTH OF THE BERING STRAIT.

A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SUNDAY AND THEN MOVE EAST. THIS WILL CAUSE EAST WINDS TO
INCREASE ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH AND
TIGHTENS THE GRADIENT. THIS WILL CAUSE BLOWING SNOW AND LOW WINDS
CHILLS ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT AND MON WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN
ZONE 201.

 &&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZE WELL AND SHOW SIMILAR SOLUTIONS 3AM SUN...THEN
GFS FASTER ON MOVEMENT OF LOW ALONG THE WEST COAST. FAVOR THE
FASTER GFS MOVEMENT GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE FLOW ALOFT.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ201.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ208-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214-
AKZ215-AKZ216-AKZ217.

WIND ADVISORY FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ201-AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ213.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ202-AKZ203-AKZ204-AKZ205-AKZ206-
AKZ227.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-
PKZ235.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

JB JAN 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 1, 3:10 PM AKST	Winter Weather Advisory	AFG	37 hr
Jan 2, 12:57 AM AKST	Brisk Wind Advisory	AFG	25 hr
Jan 2, 6:04 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFG	20 hr
Jan 2, 2:22 PM AKST	Brisk Wind Advisory	AFG	11 hr
Jan 2, 2:22 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFG	11 hr

Nearby

Brisk Wind Advisories in Alaska, 2011 Every brisk wind advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.