Brisk Wind Advisory 30, NWS Fairbanks, AK

095 
FZAK51 PAFG 241128
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
228 AM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-250230-
228 AM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WITH A 1007 MB CENTER 100 NM NORTH
OF BARROW WILL STRETCH ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ225-250230-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
228 AM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-250230-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
228 AM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-250230-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
228 AM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

.TODAY...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-250230-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
228 AM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-250230-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
228 AM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

SDB/CB/DA JAN 11

142 
FZAK51 PAFG 242207
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
107 PM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-251315-
107 PM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST
THROUGH TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ225-251315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
107 PM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-251315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
107 PM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-251315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
107 PM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-251315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
107 PM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-251315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
107 PM AKST MON JAN 24 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

RL/CC JAN 11

116 
FZAK51 PAFG 251101
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
201 AM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-260215-
201 AM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST 
THROUGH WED. A 976 MB LOW NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND TUE MORNING WILL
WEAKEN TO 985 MB SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND BY WED AFTERNOON. A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER FAR EASTERN RUSSIA.

$$

PKZ225-260215-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
201 AM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT.BLOWING SNOW.
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-260215-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
201 AM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-260215-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
201 AM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-260215-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
201 AM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-260215-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
201 AM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

RF/DA JAN 11

665 
FZAK51 PAFG 252306
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
206 PM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-261315-
206 PM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST 
THROUGH WED. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER FAR
EASTERN RUSSIA.

$$

PKZ225-261315-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
206 PM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-261315-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
206 PM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-261315-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
206 PM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-261315-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
206 PM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-261315-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
206 PM AKST TUE JAN 25 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

JK/CC JAN 11

545 
FZAK51 PAFG 260950
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1250 AM AKST WED JAN 26 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-270030-
1250 AM AKST WED JAN 26 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE BEAUFORT SEA
THROUGH THURSDAY.

$$

PKZ225-270030-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
1250 AM AKST WED JAN 26 2011

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT.
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-270030-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
1250 AM AKST WED JAN 26 2011

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-270030-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
1250 AM AKST WED JAN 26 2011

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT.
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-270030-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
1250 AM AKST WED JAN 26 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT.
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-270030-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
1250 AM AKST WED JAN 26 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 5 KT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT.
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RF/DA JAN 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
414 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A PATTERN CHANGE IS UNDERWAY THAT WILL LEAD TO MUCH MILDER
TEMPERATURE ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA THIS WEEK.

ALOFT...A DEEP COLD UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER LOW ACROSS
THE WESTERN CANADIAN ISLANDS SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING
SEA. THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE TROUGH WILL GET SHUNTED OFF TO
THE EAST AND INTO CANADA BY MONDAY MORNING WHILE SOME OF THE
ENERGY DEVELOPS INTO A CLOSED LOW IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA THIS
AFTERNOON. A LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MERGE WITH
THIS NEWLY FORMED LOW AND BY MONDAY AFTERNOON A DEEP LOW WILL
COVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BERING SEA. DOWNSTREAM FROM
THIS LOW THERE WILL BE LOW HEIGHT RIDGING DEVELOPING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE INTERIOR ON MONDAY.

SURFACE...A 952 MB LOW NEAR 50N 170W EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE TO
NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND BY 12Z TUE. THE MODELS DIFFER ON THE POSITION
OF THE LOW 48 HOURS OUT...WITH THE GFS AND UKMET HAVING THE LOW
NEAR NUNIVAK WHILE THE ECMWF AND NAM HAVE THE LOW FURTHER SOUTH IN
BRISTOL BAY. SEVERAL WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE
OUT OF THE NORTH PAC AROUND THE MAIN LOW AND MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF AND THEN WEAKEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

INTERIOR...IN THE WAKE OF THE WAVE THAT PRODUCED SNOW ABOUT
24 HOURS AGO IN THE FAIRBANKS AREA CLEARING SWEPT BACK IN FROM
THE WEST AND TEMPERATURES HAVE TUMBLED BACK TO NEAR 40 BELOW. IN
FACT...THE COLD THIS MORNING IS PROBABLY THE MOST WIDESPREAD OF
THE WINTER AS IT COVERS ALL BUT THE FAR SOUTHEAST INTERIOR WHERE
THERE ARE STILL SOME CLOUDS. SEVERAL SPOTS IN THE VALLEYS OF THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INTERIOR HAVE DROPPED TO 50 BELOW THIS
MORNING...BUT NO EXTREME OR RECORD BREAKING COLD. THE BIG STORY
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE A MAJOR WARM-UP AS A SERIES OF
NORTH PAC WAVES LIFT NORTH AND THE COMBINATION OF CLOUDS AND
SIGNIFICANT WARMING OF THE AIRMASS ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM IN
SOME SPOTS 50 DEGREES OR MORE. MANY AREA WILL LIKELY SEE TEMPERATURES
RISE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY WITH THE MOST SIGNIFICANT
WARMING ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE AND SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL INTERIOR.
IT WILL PROBABLY TAKE ANOTHER DAY OR TWO FOR THE MORE SIGNIFICANT
WARMING TO BE FELT ACROSS THE NORTHERN INTERIOR. AS THE FIRST WAVE
LIFTS NORTH TONIGHT IT WILL LIKELY BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BAND OF
OVERRUNNING SNOW. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN MOST AREAS DO NOT LOOK
SIGNIFICANT...BUT AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING IN SPOTS.

NORTH SLOPE...CONTINUED COLD FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THERE ARE SOME
CLOUDS EVIDENT ON THE HRPT IR ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA BUT MOST LAND
AREAS ARE CLEAR OR AT LEAST MOSTLY SO. THE FIRST 40 BELOW OF THE
SEASON AT BARROW EARLY THIS MORNING. MODERATION OF THE AIRMASS
WILL TAKE PLACE FIRST ALONG THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW AND AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH IN THE BERING SEA THAT
WILL SEND SOME CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY A LITTLE LIGHT SNOW BY TUESDAY.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SOME
INCREASE IN THE WIND ON MONDAY ALONG THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE SURFACE TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST. SOME
POTENTIAL FOR WIND CHILL ISSUES ALONG PARTS OF THE WESTERN ARCTIC
COAST BY LATE MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT...BUT MUCH WILL DEPEND ON HOW
QUICKLY THE CLOUDS ARRIVE AND TEMPS MODERATE. THE WEST WIND HAS
BEEN HANGING IN AT 15 MPH AT BARTER ISLAND SO HAVE ISSUED WIND
CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA COAST.

WEST COAST...IN THE NEAR TERM THE MAIN ISSUE WILL CONTINUE TO BE FOR
SOME LOW WIND CHILLS TODAY. THE AIRMASS BEGINS TO SLOWLY MODERATE
TODAY AND MORE SO ON MONDAY. AS THE TEMPERATURES MODERATE THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE LOW THAT MOVES INTO THE
SOUTHEAST BERING SEA LATE TONIGHT. SO ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES BEGIN
TO MODERATE THE WIND WILL INCREASE WHICH WILL KEEP THE WIND CHILLS
INTO THE ADVISORY RANGE IN MANY AREAS INTO THIS EVENING. THERE
SHOULD BE ENOUGH MODERATION IN TEMPS BY MONDAY THAT THE LOW WIND
CHILLS WILL NO LONGER BE A CONCERN. AREAS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY...BUT AMOUNTS
LOOK FAIRLY LIGHT. THE ONE CONCERN WILL BE FOR ENOUGH WIND ALONG
PARTS OF THE Y-K DELTA AND SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND THAT BLOWING SNOW
MAY SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE VISIBILITIES. WILL ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORIES FOR TONIGHT FOR THE Y-K DELTA AND BEEF UP THE LANGUAGE
IN ZONE 213 FOR SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND ON MONDAY.

MID-RANGE...BASIC AGREEMENT IS GOOD AMONGST THE MODELS WITH THE
LONGWAVE PATTERN WITH MORE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES NOTED IN THE
SHORTWAVE DETAILS. A DEEP LOW ALOFT WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE
WESTERN BERING SEA WITH STRONG RIDGING FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
INTO NORTHERN ALASKA. THIS WILL MEAN THAT ONCE THE COLD AIR GETS
SCOURED OUT IN THE SHORT TERM THAT ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE WITH MUCH OF THE STORMINESS TO BE
CONFINED TO THE WEST COAST ZONES. PERIODS OF CHINOOK FLOW MAY
BRING TEMPS TO NEAR FREEZING AT TIMES IN THE ALASKA RANGE AND
ACROSS EVEN THE HILL TOPS AROUND FAIRBANKS.

&&

.CLIMATE...THE TEMPERATURE AT THE FAIRBANKS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
DROPPED TO 42 BELOW LATE LAST EVENING AND AGAIN AT 0245 AKST THIS
MORNING. THIS IS THE LOWEST TEMPERATURE OBSERVED AT THE AIRPORT SO
FAR THIS WINTER. FOR THE SEASON...THERE HAVE BEEN A TOTAL OF 7
DAYS WHEN THE TEMPERATURE AT THE AIRPORT HAS DROPPED TO 40
BELOW...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF 40 BELOW DAYS FOR THE
ENTIRE WINTER SEASON AT THE AIRPORT.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ204-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214-AKZ215.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ214.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

CB JAN 11