Brisk Wind Advisory 26, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
600 AM AKST TUE JAN 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
NORTH SLOPE...BLIZZARD WARNINGS VERIFYING NICELY IN ZONES
203 AND 204 AT BOTH PASC AND PABA. PABA GUSTING TO 57 KTS.
WIND CHILLS APPROACHING 50 BELOW IN THESE ZONES AND 45 BELOW
ALONG REST OF THE ARCTIC COAST AS COLD AIR ADVECTION ONGOING ON
THE NORTH SLOPE.

WEST COAST...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TO INCREASE AS GRADIENT
BETWEEN EASTERN SIBERIA HIGH AND MASSIVE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVING OUT OF THE NORTHERN PACIFIC INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA
THROUGH THE DAY AND TONIGHT. COLD AIR IN THE INTERIOR COMBINED
WITH INCREASING GRADIENT CAUSING ADVISORY LEVEL WIND CHILLS IN
ZONE 213 ATTM. TEMPS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF STRONG
FRONTAL SYSTEM.

INTERIOR...FRONT NOTED ON SATELLITE AND RADAR CONTINUES TO MOVE
THROUGH THE INTERIOR WITH FROPA IN FAIRBANKS AROUND 5Z. CLOUD
COVER ALONG WITH FLURRIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED
WITH FRONT BRING TEMPORARY RELIEF TO COLD WITH PAFA WARMING FROM 26
BELOW YESTERDAY AFTERNOON TO 14 BELOW OVER NIGHT. AS FRONT
CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH OUT OF THE INTERIOR CLEARING SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES OF FALL BACK TO THE 20 TO 30 BELOW RANGE.

MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO REMAIN IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM HOWEVER MID TERM DIFFERENCES REMAIN
ESPECIALLY IN HANDLING OF THE FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH
APPROACHING BERING SEA SYSTEM. POPS MOVE INTO THE BERING COAST
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND WESTERN INTERIOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
DOWN SLOPE FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS LOOKS TO LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR SNOW
IN THE INTERIOR LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ213.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ203-AKZ204.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ206.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ240-PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ220.
&&

CCC JAN 11