Brisk Wind Advisory 191, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
139 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS NOT EXACTLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT. ALL OF THE MODELS BOTTOM
THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE LOW MOVING NORTH TO SOMEWHERE IN THE
945 MB RANGE BY EARLY THIS EVENING. THE GFS NAM IS THE WEAKEST IN
TERMS OF CENTRAL PRESSURE AND THE ECMWF IS THE STRONGEST. THE
MODELS ARE VERY CLOSE IN POSITION BY THU MORNING WITH THE ECMWF
BEING THE EASTERLY POSITION OF ALL MODELS. MODELS ARE SOMEWHAT
SIMILAR IN POSITION AND STRENGTH THROUGH THU NIGHT.

AS THE LOW PUSHES NORTHWARD INTO THE BERING...WINDS WILL CONTINUE
AT GALE IN ZONE 210 AND ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS IN ZONE 200...220 AND
225.

AS FRONTAL PRECIPITATION MOVES NORTHWARD IN ADVANCE OF THE WEAK
BAROCLINIC ZONE THEN SOME SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE SEEN OVER
MANY AREAS OF THE INTERIOR BUT WILL NOT BE OF THE MAGNITUDE AS OF
THE PREVIOUS STORMS THAT HAVE DEPOSITED A PLETHORA OF SNOWFALL
OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE STATE.

TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS OF NORTHERN ALASKA AT LEAST SOUTH OF THE
BROOKS RANGE.

WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVEL IN THE ALASKA RANGE
PASSES WITH THIS NEW FRONTAL BOUNDARY PASSAGE.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ201.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

CF DEC 11