Brisk Wind Advisory 18, NWS Fairbanks, AK

226 
FZAK51 PAFG 102304
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
204 PM AKST MON JAN 10 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-111415-
204 PM AKST MON JAN 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE INTERIOR OF ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
OVER THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA THROUGH TUE WHILE A 975 MB LOW MOVES
NORTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHWEST BERING SEA.

$$

PKZ225-111415-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
204 PM AKST MON JAN 10 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-111415-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
204 PM AKST MON JAN 10 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-111415-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
204 PM AKST MON JAN 10 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-111415-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
204 PM AKST MON JAN 10 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-111415-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
204 PM AKST MON JAN 10 2011

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E. 
.TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

RF/CC JAN 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
217 PM AKST SUN JAN 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT GFS/NAM/EUROPEAN MODELS AGREE WELL OUT THROUGH
00Z THU. MAIN FEATURE OF NOTE IS THE UNUSUALLY STRONG
UPPER LEVEL HIGH WHICH WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PICTURE
FOR THE NEXT WEEK.

AT 500 MB...575 DAM HIGH NEAR UNALAKLEET THIS AFTERNOON
WILL MOVE TO NEAR KOTZEBUE BY MON AFTERNOON BUILDING TO
582 DAM AND TO NEAR POINT HOPE BY TUE AFTERNOON WITH
CENTRAL HEIGHT 582-583 DAM. THROUGH THURSDAY...THE HIGH
RECEDE NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND...THEN
RECURVE EASTWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHILE WEAKENING ONLY
VERY SLOWLY.

AT THE SURFACE...
1045 MB HIGH NEAR THE NORTH POLE WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD
THROUGH TUE...BUILDING TO AROUND 1062 MB OVER THE EASTERN
BEAUFORT SEA. BY TUE SEA LEVEL PRESSURES WILL BE OVER
1050 MB OVER MUCH OF THE ARCTIC AND INTERIOR. TEMPERATURES
OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR AND ARCTIC ARE EXPECTED TO COOL
SOME DURING THE WEEK AS NORTHEAST FLOW BRINGS IN COLDER AIR
FROM CANADA.

PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE NORTHERN BERING IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN LATER TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD.
WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH NEAR THE BERING STRAIT ARE EXPECTED
TO DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING.

PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE CONTINUING OVER THE ARCTIC ZONES
AS MOISTURE SPILLS AROUND THE TOP OF THE HIGH. ONLY
TRACE AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ213.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

RF JAN 11