Brisk Wind Advisory 154, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
337 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT BUT THEY HAVE MISSED TO SOME DEGREE
THE POLAR LOW THAT HAS DEVELOPED IN THE BERING SEA ON THE HEELS OF
THE POWERFUL LOW THAT HAS MOVED NORTH TO JUST NORTH OF THE
CHUKOTSK PENINSULA. THIS POLAR LOW WILL ADD ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES
OF SNOW TONIGHT OVER THE AREA FROM ZONE 214 THROUGH ZONE 210.
SINCE THE WINDS WILL ALSO BE RELATIVELY STRONG...EXPECT BLOWING
SNOW AS WELL.

WINDS THROUGH THE BEING STRAIT HAVE TURNED SOUTH BUT WILL TURN
BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTH OF THE BALDWIN
PENINSULA TO POINT HOPE.

WINDS ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST FROM CAPE LISBURNE TO BARROW ARE
EXPERIENCING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH THE ADVANCE OF THE WIND
FIELD UP THE WEST COAST. THESE CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY LAST INTO
THE LATE EVENING.

CONDITIONS IN THE CENTRAL INTERIOR DO NOT PICK UP THE SNOWFALL
MOVING OUT OF ZONE 221. THESE SNOW SHOWERS WILL MOVE INTO ZONE 222
BUT WILL NOT PROVIDE MUCH IN THE WAY OF SNOWFALL OTHER THAN SOME
LIGHT SNOW. THE POLAR LOW MOVING ONTO THE WEST COAST TONIGHT WILL
MOVE SNOW INTO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR ON THU THROUGH THU NIGHT.

COASTAL FLOODING ON THE WEST COAST HAS VERIFIED IN ANY PLACES
INCLUDING NOME...LITTLE DIOMEDE...KOTLIK...WALES AND NEAR SHELDON
POINT. HOWEVER STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NORTON SOUND
WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO PILE UP WATER IN EASTERN NORTON SOUND.
WINDS WILL NOT BEGIN TO TAPER OFF IN NORTON SOUND TILL AROUND 12Z
FRI. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF IN AREAS NORTH OF THE BERING
STRAIT THROUGH TONIGHT AS THE STRONG LOW CONTINUES TO PULL NORTHWARD.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR AKZ207-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ201-AKZ202-AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ217.

HIGH WIND WARNING FOR AKZ213.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ235.

STORM WARNING FOR PKZ220-PKZ230.

HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FOR PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ230-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CF NOV 11