Brisk Wind Advisory 113, NWS Fairbanks, AK

378 
FZAK52 PAFG 092242
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
242 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-101345-
242 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WEST OF THE BERING SEA WILL GRADUALLY
BUILD AND MOVE EAST TO THE CHUKCHI SEA AND EASTERN BERING SEA
THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ200-101345-
NORTON SOUND-
242 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-101345-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
242 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT BECOMING S 30 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-101345-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
242 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 15 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-101345-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
242 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S.
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT.
.THU...S WINDS 30 KT.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CC/JM MAY 11

775 
FZAK52 PAFG 101013
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
213 AM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-110200-
213 AM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST TO
WESTERN ALASKA BY WED AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE WESTERN BERING SEA WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ200-110200-
NORTON SOUND-
213 AM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-110200-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
213 AM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 40 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-110200-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
213 AM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...SW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-110200-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
213 AM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT.
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

RL/CF MAY 11

078 
FZAK52 PAFG 102140
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
140 PM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-111245-
140 PM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST TO
WESTERN ALASKA BY WED AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE WESTERN BERING SEA WED MORNING AND TO NEAR SAINT LAWRENCE
ISLAND ON THU.

$$

PKZ200-111245-
NORTON SOUND-
140 PM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-111245-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
140 PM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 35 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-111245-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
140 PM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-111245-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
140 PM AKDT TUE MAY 10 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S.
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

MAY 11

700 
FZAK52 PAFG 110924
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
124 AM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-120200-
124 AM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST
TO WESTERN ALASKA BY WED AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT IN THE WESTERN
BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND ON THU.

$$

PKZ200-120200-
NORTON SOUND-
124 AM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-120200-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
124 AM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 40 KT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 40 KT DECREASING TO 30 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-120200-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
124 AM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-120200-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
124 AM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RL/CF MAY 11

109 
FZAK52 PAFG 112255
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
255 PM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-121400-
255 PM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO NEAR SAINT
LAWRENCE ISLAND ON THU. STRONG LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN ON FRI. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE
INTERIOR NORTHERN ALASKA THU.

$$

PKZ200-121400-
NORTON SOUND-
255 PM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-121400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
255 PM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS INCREASING TO 35 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 40 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT.  
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT.  
.SUN...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-121400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
255 PM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...SE WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-121400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
255 PM AKDT WED MAY 11 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS INCREASING TO 30 KT.  
.THU...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

MAY 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
206 PM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2011

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW CENTER HAS NOW MOVED OUT OF NORTHERN AK AND IS
NOW NEAR OLD CROW AS IT CONTINUES ITS NORTHEASTWARD COURSE.
ALL MODELS CONCUR WITH LIGHT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT OVER THE
NORTHERN AK MAINLAND THROUGH MON. SOME DEEPENING OF A
TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN MAINLAND TUE AS A SHORT
WAVE MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST WHILE A BUILDING RIDGE
MOVES EASTWARD INTO THE BERING.

AT THE SURFACE...WEAK FLOW PATTERN CONTINUING OVER THE
MAINLAND...RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL BUILD
AS IT MOVES TO THE CHUKCHI SEA/EASTERN BERING BY TUE.
MARINE WINDS REMAINING BELOW ADVISORY THROUGH MON...
MINIMUM BRISK WIND POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF PKZ200/PKZ210
MON NIGHT AND TUE.

LIFTED INDEX CHARTS NOT TOO EXCITING FOR THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...MAYBE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN
ALASKA RANGE. ALL MODELS TRENDING TO MORE INSTABILITY
OVER THE ALASKA RANGE AND SOUTHEAST INTERIOR MON AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...GFS/EUROPEAN SHOWING SOME LIFTED INDEXES
IN THE 0 TO +2 RANGE IN PARTS OF AKZ223-AKZ224-AKZ226
MON AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...BLEND OF THE OPERATIONAL GFS/ECMWF
LOOKS REASONABLE IN THE WED-FRI TIME RANGE...HPC SOLUTION
TRENDING TO MIX OF ENSEMBLE MEANS LATER ON. UPPER RIDGE
OVER THE BERING TUE PROGGED TO MIGRATE SLOWLY EASTWARD
TO THE CENTRAL/EASTERN MAINLAND BY FRI AS MODERATE SSW
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE WEST COAST.
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING OVER THE WESTERN
MARINE AREAS WED THROUGH WED NIGHT...AND ALONG THE WEST
COAST WED NIGHT...MARINE WINDS COULD MAX OUT AT 30-35 KT.

WARMING TREND IN THE INTERIOR EXPECTED FROM MID WEEK ON AS
THE UPPER RIDGE MOVES EASTWARD...HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING
INTO THE 60S FOR THE FIRST TIME OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN
INTERIOR FRI INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NONE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

RF MAY 11