Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 932, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 24, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Dec 24, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 24, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Dec 24, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

843 
FZAK51 PAFC 241257
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250300-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 993 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND INTENSIFIES TO 982 MB
SAT AFTERNOON 200 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SAINT ELIAS AND THEN MOVES INLAND
SUN MORNING 40 NM EAST OF SEWARD AT 981 MB. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW
INTENSIFIES TO 975 MB AS IT MOVES TO 375 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT SUN
NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-250300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-250300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-250300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-250300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-250300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-250300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-250300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-250300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-250300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
2 follow-up statements
916 
FZAK51 PAFC 241936 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1030 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

UPDATED ZONES 120 125 132 140

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250300-
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 993 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND INTENSIFIES TO 982 MB
SAT AFTERNOON 200 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SAINT ELIAS AND THEN MOVES INLAND
SUN MORNING 40 NM EAST OF SEWARD AT 981 MB. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW
INTENSIFIES TO 975 MB AS IT MOVES TO 375 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT SUN
NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-250300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
1030 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT NORTH AND EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. N WIND 15
KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT E WIND 20 KT NORTH AND EAST OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND IN THE EVENING BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-250300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-250300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
1030 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-250300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-250300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-250300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
1030 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-250300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-250300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1030 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT IN
ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS 6 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ141-250300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
024 
FZAK51 PAFC 250002
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-251500-
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 981 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA WILL MOVE NEAR WHITTIER
AFTER MIDNIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 988 MB. THE LOW WILL REMAIN INLAND AND
DISSIPATE SUN EVENING. A 977 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE GULF SUN NIGHT WILL
DEEPEN TO 961 MB 150 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-251500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. N AND E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...E WIND 25 KT
BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-251500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-251500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-251500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT DURING THE EVENING. 
NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 45 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-251500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-251500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-251500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-251500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-251500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT DEC 24 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

JAM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 23, 4:00 PM AKST, 12 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 23, 4:00 PM AKST, 12 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE LONG WAVE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS NOW
WELL ESTABLISHED AND IS NOT IN A HURRY TO CHANGE. THERE IS AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN COAST OF THE STATE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL RIDGE LIES
OVER THE WESTERN COAST OF NORTH AMERICA AND STRETCHES NORTHWARD TO
THE YUKON BORDER WITH THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES.
THIS UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL KEEP NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE BERING SEA
REGION AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL ALSO KEEP THE STORM TRACK MOVING THROUGH THE
GULF OF ALASKA AND AWAY FROM THE BERING SEA.
AT THE SURFACE THE LOW THAT BROUGHT A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF SNOW TO
THE NORTH GULF COAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED
INTO THE INTERIOR. ANOTHER LOW SOUTHWEST OF THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL
MOVE INTO THE GULF SATURDAY. THE FRONT THAT STRETCHES OUT OF THIS LOW
CAN BE SEE WELL ON SATELLITE AND THERE IS A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING
ALONG THAT FRONT IN THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA. THIS LOW WILL
MOVE TO NEAR YAKUTAT OVERNIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE INTERESTING TODAY. THE NAM
GFS AND ECMWF ALL INITIALIZE WELL AND END UP A PRETTY MUCH THE SAME
PLACE BY SUNDAY. HOWEVER THEY TAKE DIFFERENT PATHS TO ARRIVE THERE.
THE ISSUE IS THE COMPLEX LOW MOVING THROUGH THE GULF SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY. THE LOW WILL BE COMPLEX BUT THE GFS IS CONSOLIDATING THE
ENERGY INTO A SINGLE CENTER AND PUSHING ITS PATH THROUGH THE GULF TOO
FAR WEST. THE NAM AND ECMWF ARE SIMILAR BUT DISAGREE WITH THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW. THE BEST SOLUTION PROBABLY LIES IN A
NAM/ECMWF BLEND AS THE AREAS OF DISAGREEMENT WILL NOT HAVE A LARGE
IMPACT OF THE FORECAST AND THEY RECOGNIZE THE COMPLEX NATURE OF THIS
LOW BETTER THAN THE GFS DOES.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE DEVELOPING LOW IN THE EAST-CENTRAL GULF
WILL BRING A SHOT FOR MORE SNOW FOR THE EASTERN PART OF PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AND THE EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN TONIGHT. AFTER THAT
THE NEXT LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF WILL BRING A MORE WIDESPREAD SHOT
OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
CHRISTMAS DAY.
AREAS AROUND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AS WELL
AS SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL SEE SOME FOG DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND INTO
TOMORROW.
KODIAK ISLAND WILL SEE DECREASING CLOUDS AS THE LOWS TRACK EASTWARD
ENOUGH TO KEEP THE WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST.
SNOW SHOWERS IN NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST IN THE BERING
SEA AND ALEUTIAN ISLANDS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE OVERALL PATTERN OVER THE STATE WILL PERSIST
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGE IN THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
BERING SEA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE AND KEEP THE STORM TRACK THROUGH THE
GULF OF ALASKA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 130 132 175 176.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 138 140 160 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

EZ DEC 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 3:27 PM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAFC13 hr
Dec 23, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Dec 23, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Dec 23, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Dec 23, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC8 days
Dec 23, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC4 days
Dec 24, 10:30 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC42 hr
Dec 24, 12:13 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC17 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.