Small Craft Advisory 922, NWS Anchorage, AK

366 
FZAK51 PAFC 200202 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

CORRECTED ZONE 125

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 MB LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO 65 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF SEWARD TONIGHT AT 1002 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE 
TUE MORNING. A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE
MORNING AND TRACK TO THE EASTERN GULF TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 KT
NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT
SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

247 
FZAK51 PAFC 200314 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
610 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

UPDATE TO ZONES 140 AND 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 MB LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO 65 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF SEWARD TONIGHT AT 1002 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE 
TUE MORNING. A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE
MORNING AND TRACK TO THE EASTERN GULF TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 KT
NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT
SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
610 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NORTH WINDS 15 KT
BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
610 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS BUILDING
TO 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

449 
FZAK51 PAFC 201242
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF THIS MORNING AND TRACK
TO THE EASTERN GULF BY TONIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE GULF ON WED.
$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ALONG THE
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING 30 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.

.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT...EXCEPT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON S
OF KALGIN ISLAND. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

153 
FZAK51 PAFC 201840 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
940 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

UPDATED ZONES 130 132 138 140 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF THIS MORNING AND TRACK
TO THE EASTERN GULF BY TONIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE GULF ON WED.
$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. ALONG 
THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING 30 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
940 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN 
ISLANDS.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
940 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
940 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. SOUTH END OF INLET...
SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
940 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT DURING THE EVENING. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

122 
FZAK51 PAFC 210019
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211500-
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A STRONG FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF
TONIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND WED. ANOTHER FRONT
WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC INTO THE CENTRAL GULF WED NIGHT
AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THU. 

$$

PKZ120-211500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-211500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-211500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-211500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
25 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-211500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-211500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-211500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-211500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.   

$$

PKZ141-211500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

795 
FZAK51 PAFC 211300
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220300-
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GULF TODAY. A PACIFIC LOW WILL
MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 975 MB LATE WED NIGHT. THE
LOW THEN MOVES TO NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AT SAME INTENSITY THU
AFTERNOON AND WEAKENS IN PLACE TO 985 MB BY LATE THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-220300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT ALONG THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-220300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-220300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-220300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-220300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
15 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-220300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-220300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-220300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-220300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

270 
FZAK51 PAFC 220001
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221500-
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 977 MB LOW WILL FORM 275 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK LATE TONIGHT AND
TRACK TO 40 NM EAST OF WHITTIER THU EVENING. THIS LOW WILL THEN
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN THU NIGHT.
ANOTHER PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 340 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK FRI
AFTERNOON AT 980 MB.

$$

PKZ120-221500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. EAST OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...NE WIND 25
KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-221500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-221500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-221500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND LESS THAN 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ130-221500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.

.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-221500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-221500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-221500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-221500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST WED DEC 21 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

837 
FZAK51 PAFC 221259
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230300-
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL STRENGTHEN TO
975 MB NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM THU EVENING. THIS LOW WILL WEAKEN IN PLACE
AND DISSIPATE FRI MORNING. A 969 MB LOW 320 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK LATE
THU NIGHT WILL WEAKEN TO 983 MB 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY LATE
FRI NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-230300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND ALONG THE COAST...NE WIND
25 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT E 25 KT ALONG THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-230300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-230300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-230300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-230300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-230300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-230300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS. SEAS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-230300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-230300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT SHIFTING TO THE NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

333 
FZAK51 PAFC 230024
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231500-
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 975 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND AT 985 MB THU NIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE FRI MORNING. A 970 MB
LOW 315 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK THU NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 185 NM SOUTHEAST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 981 MB SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-231500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING W WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-231500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-231500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-231500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
20 FT EXCEPT 13 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY ELSEWHERE.  
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-231500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING  TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-231500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-231500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-231500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

507 
FZAK51 PAFC 230708 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1010 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

UPDATED ZONE 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231500-
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 975 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND AT 985 MB THU NIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE FRI MORNING. A 970 MB
LOW 315 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK THU NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 185 NM SOUTHEAST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 981 MB SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-231500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING W WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-231500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-231500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-231500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
20 FT EXCEPT 13 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY ELSEWHERE.  
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-231500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING  TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-231500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1010 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND 
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-231500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-231500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU DEC 22 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

757 
FZAK51 PAFC 231251
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240300-
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW FORMS FRI AFTERNOON 150 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND
WEAKENS TO 994 MB SAT MORNING OVER MONTAGUE ISLAND BEFORE
DISSIPATING. A 994 MB LOW FORMS FRI NIGHT 350 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AND
INTENSIFIES TO 984 MB SAT AFTERNOON 90 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT. THIS
LOW THEN WEAKENS TO 989 MB SAT NIGHT OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
$$

PKZ120-240300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-240300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-240300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35
KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING
TO 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-240300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-240300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY ELSEWHERE. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-240300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-240300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 5
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-240300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-240300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

512 
FZAK51 PAFC 240007
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-241500-
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW 185 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE NEAR
YAKUTAT LATE TONIGHT. A 982 MB LOW 325 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE
TO 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 984 MB SAT AFTERNOON...
THEN MOVE INTO WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AT 984 MB SUN.

$$

PKZ120-241500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-241500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT...GUSTING TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-241500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS 
3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-241500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 30 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW. 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-241500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-241500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-241500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT...GUSTING TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-241500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-241500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST FRI DEC 23 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

JAM

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
105 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A STRONG NORTH PACIFIC JET CONTINUES
TO PRODUCE A RAPID SUCCESSION OF STORMS TRACKING ACROSS THE NORTH
PACIFIC AND THEN CURVING NORTHWARD TOWARD MAINLAND ALASKA. A LOOK
AT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A RELATIVELY SMALL AND WEAK LOW RIDING
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THERE IS A FAIRLY
NARROW BAND OF SNOW SURROUNDING THE LOW ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND AND
THE ALASKA PENINSULA WHICH WILL HEAD INTO COOK INLET AND ACROSS
THE KENAI PENINSULA AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A VERY
NOTABLE CHARACTERISTIC ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY IS THE CELLULAR
ACTIVITY BEHIND THIS LOW WITH VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS. THE 12 SOUNDING
FROM COLD BAY SHOWS STEEP LAPSE RATES APPROACHING DRY ADIABATIC.
THEREFORE...SOME OF THESE SHOWERS COULD BE INTENSE AS THEY MOVE
ONSHORE ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND KODIAK ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON.
MODELS ALSO SHOW A SMALL AREA OF 2 TO 3 MB PER HOUR PRESSURE RISES
DIRECTLY IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW WHICH WILL BRIEFLY ENHANCE WIND
SPEEDS AS THIS LOW PASSES THROUGH.

THE NEXT MAJOR STORM IS DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET. AS THE RIDGE
AMPLIFIES AHEAD OF THIS LOW IT IS BEGINNING TO CURVE TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST. THIS LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE THE LAST MAJOR STORM TO
AFFECT THE MAINLAND BEFORE A CHANGE OCCURS IN THE LONG-WAVE PATTERN.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THERE ARE KEY DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS
WITH REGARD TO STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE LOW DEVELOPING SOUTH OF
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. GFS IS MOST CONSISTENT WITH TRACK AND SHOWS
SMALL SPREAD IN ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS IN BOTH TRACK AND DEPTH.
HOWEVER...IT IS ABOUT 10 MB DEEPER THAN THE OTHER MODELS AS IT
MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA TUESDAY MORNING. THERE ARE NO
SIGNS OF RAPID DEEPENING OF THIS LOW IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. IT LOOKS
MORE LIKE A MORE GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS UNDER WAY WHICH WOULD
LEAD AWAY FROM THE DEEPER GFS SOLUTION. FOR NOW WILL STICK CLOSE
TO INHERITED FORECAST AND KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY
TO SEE IF IN FACT THE DEEPER SOLUTION MIGHT BE CORRECT. THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR HIGH IMPACTS IN SEVERAL AREAS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM MODELS DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY AND FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW. PLAN TO MAKE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE INHERITED
FORECAST WHICH WAS BASED ON THE 00Z ECMWF.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MOST OF THE REGION WILL SEE A QUICK SHOT OF
SNOW TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AS THE LOW ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVE THROUGH. THE
SMALL SIZE OF THE SYSTEM ALONG WITH THE FAST SPEED MEANS THE BULK
OF ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL FALL OVER A 3 OR 4 HOUR PERIOD. THERE WILL
THEN BE ANOTHER BRIEF BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS BEFORE A MUCH STRONGER
STORM AFFECTS THE AREA. SIMILAR TO THE LAST MAJOR STORM THIS PAST
WEEKEND THIS LOW WILL TRACK INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND WESTERN
ALASKA. THERE ARE SOME KEY DIFFERENCES WITH THIS STORM AND THE ONE
THIS PAST WEEKEND WHICH WILL RESULT IN LESS IMPACT IN THE ANCHORAGE
AREA. THIS ONE IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAKER AND TRACK FURTHER WEST. THE
UPPER LEVEL JET WHICH MOVES OVER SOUTHCENTRAL MAXES OUT AROUND 80 KTS
WHICH IS NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE. THE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW LOOKS TO BE
SHALLOWER - EXTENDING THROUGH ABOUT 4000 FEET WITH A MORE SOUTHERLY
COMPONENT ABOVE THAT. FINALLY...THE FRONT WILL OCCLUDE LONG BEFORE
IT GETS HERE SO THERE WILL BE LITTLE IN THE WAY OF WARM AIR
ADVECTION. ALL OF THIS POINTS TOWARD A MORE TYPICAL HIGH WIND
WARNING FOR TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE NAM...WHICH
HAS THE RESOLUTION TO MORE ACCURATELY DEPICT WEATHER IN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER...SHOWS THE CORE OF WINDS CENTERED AT 4000 FEET WHICH SUPPORTS
THIS IDEA THAT THE HIGH WINDS WILL NOT MAKE IT DOWN TO LOWER
ELEVATIONS. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AND COLDER AIR ALSO MEANS THERE
SHOULD BE SOME SNOWFALL AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. COLD ADVECTION
AND INSTABILITY BEHIND THE FRONT MEANS SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ONCE
AGAIN GET INTO ALL OF ANCHORAGE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

THE FRONT WILL BE QUICK TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TUESDAY
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING SO THE GREATEST IMPACT WEATHER
WILL BE FAIRLY SHORT-LIVED ACROSS THE REGION. OTHER IMPACTS WILL
BE A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IN THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND
THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND REGION. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH TRACK
OF LOW OUT WEST AND TIMING OF FRONT AS IT CROSSES SOUTHCENTRAL SO
PLAN TO WAIT UNTIL THE NEXT MODEL CYCLE BEFORE ISSUING ANY ADVISORIES
OR WARNINGS FRO SNOWFALL. THERE IS A LIKELIHOOD THOMPSON PASS WILL
SEE ANOTHER BLIZZARD AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH SO HAVE ISSUED A
BLIZZARD WATCH FOR TUESDAY NIGHT.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UNCERTAINTY IN THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE
NEXT STORM SYSTEM AS IT APPROACHES SOUTHWEST ALASKA MAKES IT HARD
TO PINPOINT WINDS AND SNOW AMOUNTS. AT THE MOMENT IT APPEARS THE
GREATEST IMPACT WILL BE FROM SNOWFALL AND WINDS NORTH AND WEST OF
KING SALMON. THERE MIGHT BE JUST ENOUGH WIND FOR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS...BUT BASED ON THE RAPID SPEED OF THE FRONT DO NOT THINK
WILL SEE THREE STRAIGHT HOURS OF 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY.
THEREFORE...WILL SIDE WITH A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR
VISIBILITIES DOWN TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. THERE WILL BE BLOWING SNOW ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA ON
THE NORTH SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE ENOUGH
WIND OR FALLING SNOW TO CAUSE A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF REDUCED
VISIBILITIES. SOME WARMER AIR WILL MAKE IT INTO EASTERN PORTIONS
OF BRISTOL BAY WHERE RAIN COULD MIX WITH SNOW. HOWEVER...COLD AIR
BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL CHANGE ANY REMAINING PRECIPITATION BACK TO
SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT. ALSO EXPECT GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLIES BEHIND THE
LOW DUE TO COLD ADVECTION AND INSTABILITY.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MODELS SHOW A STRONG THERMAL GRADIENT
AROUND THE PACIFIC LOW CENTER...INDICATIVE OF A STRONG FRONT.
THEREFORE...EXPECT STRONG WINDS IN ALL SECTORS OF THE STORM AS
IT CROSSES INTO THE EASTERN BERING TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS
THOUGH MAY BE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW. THE NAM SHOWS 60 KT
AT 1000 FEET ABOVE DUTCH HARBOR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING SO WILL
TREND TOWARD STRONGER WINDS BEHIND THE LOW. WITH UNCERTAINTY IN
THE ULTIMATE STRENGTH OF THE LOW WILL HAVE TO RE-EVALUATE POTENTIAL
FOR REACHING HIGH WIND THRESHOLD OF 75 MPH ONCE THE NEW MODEL RUNS
COME IN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AFTER
THIS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH...BUT LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER PACIFIC SYSTEM
COULD AFFECT THE ALEUTIANS MID WEEK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD APPEARS TO BE
ONE OF TRANSITION TO A NEW PATTERN. THINGS APPEAR QUITE CHAOTIC
DURING THIS TRANSITION AND MODELS SHOW LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
CONSISTENCY. THEREFORE...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH ZONE 101. BLIZZARD WATCH ZONE 131.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...130 150 155 170.
         GALE WARNING...120 125 132 138 140 141 160 165 171 172 180.

         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB DEC 11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
152 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

AKZ101-200900-

...ONE MORE CHINOOK WIND EVENT EXPECTED BEFORE THE PATTERN CHANGES...

ANOTHER STRONG PACIFIC STORM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TO WESTERN ALASKA
ON TUESDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF CHINOOK WINDS TO ANCHORAGE.
IT APPEARS THAT THIS STORM WILL BE MARGINALLY WEAKER THAN THE STORMS
WHICH HAVE AFFECTED ANCHORAGE THE PAST THREE WEEKENDS. MORE
NOTABLY...THE HIGHEST WINDS OF 75 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN CONFINED TO THE MORE TYPICAL HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF AROUND
2000 FEET AND HIGHER. AREAS FURTHER DOWN THE HILLSIDE AND ALONG
MOUNTAIN GAPS WILL STILL SEE SOME WIND...LIKELY IN THE 40 TO 60 MPH
RANGE. AFTER THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH SOMETIME TUESDAY NIGHT GUSTY
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL MOVE INTO ALL OF ANCHORAGE.

ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT A PATTERN CHANGE IS IN STORE AFTER THIS
STORM MOVES THROUGH. THEREFORE...THIS WILL LIKELY BE THE LAST BIG
CHINOOK WIND FOR A WHILE. COLDER AIR IS EXPECTED TO SETTLE IN BEHIND
THIS STORM IN THE MIDDLE TO END OF THIS WEEK.

SEB