Small Craft Advisory 918, NWS Anchorage, AK

002 
FZAK51 PAFC 190018
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE NEAR PORT HEIDEN MONDAY MORNING
AND THEN MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT
DURING THE EVENING. WIND DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. EAST
OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE 45 KT BECOMING SW DURING THE EVENING AND
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW DURING THE EVENING AND
DIMINISHING TO SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. WIND
BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 13 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING.
NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.  
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT IN THE
MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

342 
FZAK51 PAFC 191248
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INTO COOK
INLET AT 995 MB MON EVENING AND DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT
NEAR KODIAK ISLAND TUE MORNING WILL REACH THE NORTH GULF COAST BY TUE
EVENING.
$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF KALGIN
ISLAND...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

799 
FZAK51 PAFC 191544 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
640 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

UPDATED ZONES 130 132 138 140

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW 70 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INTO COOK
INLET AT 995 MB MON EVENING AND DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT
NEAR KODIAK ISLAND TUE MORNING WILL REACH THE NORTH GULF COAST BY TUE
EVENING.
$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
640 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 40 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS W...SE WIND 
15 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 
7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
640 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 16 FT. 
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
640 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING SW
45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
640 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF 
KALGIN ISLAND...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO NE 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

007 
FZAK51 PAFC 200017
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 MB LOW OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO 65 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF SEWARD TONIGHT AT 1002 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE 
TUE MORNING. A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE
MORNING AND TRACK TO THE EASTERN GULF TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 25 KT
NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT
SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
KALGIN ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011

CORRECTED FOR TYPO

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
ALTHOUGH THE LONG WAVE PATTERN REMAINS UNCHANGED WITH A BROAD TROUGH
PERSISTING OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC...WE ARE CURRENTLY UNDER A
TRANSITIONAL PERIOD FROM ONE DOMINANT LOW TO THE NEXT. THE ANCHOR FOR
THIS BROAD CIRCULATION HAS BEEN A 965 MB LOW IN THE EASTERN BERING
SEA OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS WITH MULTIPLE WAVES ROTATING AROUND
ITS PERIPHERY. WE ARE NOW SEEING ANOTHER MAJOR STORM DEVELOP TO THE
SOUTH WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY WEAKEN INLAND AND REPLACE THE ANCHOR LOW
IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA.

WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON DEPICTS THREE
DISTINCT WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE
FIRST MOVED ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA EARLIER THIS
MORNING...BRINGING THE REGION SOME SHOWERS WITH EXCEPTION OF SOME
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THE SECOND WAVE
HAS A BIT MORE OF A PUNCH TO IT. THIS WILL BRING GALE FORCE WINDS TO
THE NORTHWESTERN GULF AND ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION. THE THIRD
WAVE IS THE ONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW THAT IS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL QUICKLY BECOME
THE MAIN WEATHER MAKER ACROSS OUR DOMAIN.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THIS FAST
PACED PATTERN. THE ECMWF ONCE AGAIN VERIFIED BEST OFF THE 18Z IR
SATELLITE. THE CHALLENGE IS THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM BELOW THE MASSIVE
SHIELD OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS IN THE NORTH PACIFIC. WE ARE CONTINUING
TO FOLLOW THE VERY CONSISTENT ECMWF SOLUTION THIS MORNING. THE NAM
AND GFS CONTINUE TO DO THEIR OWN THING WHILE OTHER GLOBAL
MODELS...THE GEM AND THE UKMET...SEEM TO BE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
THE ECMWF ADDING TO OUR CONFIDENCE IN THE SHORT TERM.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE CHALLENGES ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL
BE THE 958 MB LOW DEVELOPING JUST SOUTH OF KODIAK OVERNIGHT AND
MOVING TOWARD KAMISHAK BAY LATE SUNDAY MORNING. THE WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS STORM WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS THE LOW THAT IMPACTED
SOUTHCENTRAL LAST WEEKEND...BUT STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A
DANGEROUS STORM. THE REAL DIFFICULTY IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER
CHINOOK WIND EVENT IN ANCHORAGE. SO FAR TODAY...GUSTY WINDS THAT
NORMALLY REMAIN AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ARE HAVING NO PROBLEM
REACHING THE SOUTH AND EAST SIDE OF ANCHORAGE. THE 12Z SOUNDING
DEPICTS A CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE THROUGH ABOUT 7000
FT...AND ONLY A WEAK INVERSION AT THAT LEVEL. THERE IS NO STRONG
INVERSION TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR THAT ACTS AS A BARRIER
AGAINST THE STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS COMING OFF THE MOUNTAIN TOPS.

AS THE LOW DEEPENS...THE GRADIENT WILL DRAG THE WINDS SOUTH DOWN THE
INLET OVERNIGHT BUT AS THE UPPER SHORTWAVE PASSES OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
MID MORNING ON SUNDAY...THIS WILL ALLOW SOME VERY GUSTY WINDS TO MAKE
IT ACROSS TOWN AGAIN. AT THIS TIME...DO NOT EXPECT WARNING LEVEL
WINDS AROUND THE ANCHORAGE BOWL...BUT THIS MAY CHANGE AFTER THE 12Z
SOUNDING SUNDAY MORNING IF CONDITIONS ARE NOT DEVELOPING AS THEY
SHOULD. STAY TUNED FOR ANOTHER SUNDAY FULL OF WILD WEATHER.

OTHER POTENTIAL HAZARDS WITH THIS STORM INCLUDE A BLIZZARD THROUGH
THOMPSON PASS AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
INCLUDING THE CORDOVA AREA AND PORTAGE VALLEY. IT SEEMS THAT IT WILL
BE TOO WARM FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AROUND THE KENAI PENINSULA
ALTHOUGH THE INTERIOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS INCLUDING TURNAGAIN PASS
COULD STAY COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT HEAVY SNOW AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS.

THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW MOVES QUICKLY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING WITH A
BRIEF SHOT OF RAIN OR SNOW. IT SEEMS THAT THE COLD AIR WILL NOT
ARRIVE QUICK ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE HEAVY SNOW THAT WE SAW LAST WEEK.
ALSO...THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING MUCH QUICKER THANKS TO ANOTHER RAPIDLY
DEVELOPING SYSTEM LINING UP OVER BRISTOL BAY MONDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON THANKS TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE ANCHOR LOW AND
MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES ROTATING ACROSS THE REGION. THE 958 MB LOW WILL
GIVE THE AREA ANOTHER SHOT OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WITH SOME GUSTY
WINDS MIXED IN. THE RAIN/SNOW LINE WILL MAKE IT ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN
RANGE...WELL INTO THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE. IT APPEARS THE BEST SHOT OF
SNOW WILL BE OVER UNPOPULATED AREAS INCLUDING THE AHKLUN AND KILBUCK
MOUNTAINS. NO ADVISORIES OR WARNINGS ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME BUT
THAT MAY CHANGE AS THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD DEVELOPS AND THE
RAIN/SNOW LINE BECOMES MORE OBVIOUS. RAIN AND SNOW CHANGES TO ALL
SNOW SUNDAY EVENING AND THE NEXT LOW APPROACHES BRISTOL BAY.

THIS NEXT LOW WILL BE MUCH WEAKER BUT WILL FOLLOW A VERY SIMILAR PATH
SO AGAIN EXPECTING A RAIN/SNOW MIX FOR THE REGION.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
AMAZINGLY...THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS ARE THE CALMEST OF OUR
ENTIRE DOMAIN...RELATIVELY SPEAKING OF COURSE. THE LOWS THAT ARE
DEVELOPING ARE MOVING SOUTH OF THE CHAIN AND APPROACHING THE ALASKA
PENINSULA...KEEPING THE STRONGEST WINDS AWAY FROM THE WESTERN
SECTIONS. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS FROM THE EXTENDED MODELS THAT
COLD AIR WILL FINALLY START SPILLING BACK ACROSS THE BERING SEA BY
THE END OF THIS NEXT WEEK...BRINGING AN END TO THIS VERY WARM AND
ACTIVE PATTERN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING ZONE 101 135
         BLIZZARD WARNING 131
MARINE...STORM WARNING...120 130 132 138 150
         GALE WARNING...125 129 140 141 155 160 165 170 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AB DEC 11