Small Craft Advisory 841, NWS Anchorage, AK

729 
FZAK52 PAFC 220026 RRA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...RETRANSMITTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

RETRANSMITTED

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-221500-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND
WEAKEN THROUGH TUE. A 992 MB LOW 325 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU TUE NIGHT
WILL MOVE NEAR ATTU AT 994 MB WED AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT IN THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TONIGHT WILL MOVE TO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS TUE AND SLOWLY WEAKEN.
$$

PKZ150-221500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES...GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING 
TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ155-221500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. WEST OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...NW WIND 35
KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. WEST OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...NW WIND 35 KT.
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ160-221500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ165-221500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT NW 30 KT WEST OF COLD BAY. 
SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT NW 30 KT WEST OF COLD BAY. SEAS 16 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT NW 25 KT WEST OF PORT MOLLER. 
SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-221500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ170-221500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT FROM UNALASKA E. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ171-221500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ172-221500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. WEST OF SEGUAM ISLAND...WINDS BECOMING W 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
$$

PKZ175-221500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
$$

PKZ176-221500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 30 KT BY MORNING. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  
$$

PKZ185-221500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-221500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
$$

278 
FZAK52 PAFC 221238
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-230300-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD AND
WEAKEN THROUGH TUE NIGHT. A 990 MB LOW 330 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA
LATE TUE NIGHT WILL WEAKEN TO 1000 MB 140 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK LATE
WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-230300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 55 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DIMINISHING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-230300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS
12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-230300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-230300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT EXCEPT 25 KT W OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 15 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF PORT MOLLER. SEAS 13 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-230300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-230300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT FROM UNALASKA E. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-230300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-230300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT BERING SIDE...12 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BERING SIDE...11 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT BERING SIDE...11 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-230300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-230300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-230300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-230300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

167 
FZAK52 PAFC 222352
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-231500-
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN THROUGH TUE
NIGHT. A 991 MB LOW 260 NM NORTHWEST OF ATTU TUE NIGHT WILL MOVE 
TO 50 NM WEST OF ADAK AT 998 WED NIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE THU. 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA THU.
$$

PKZ150-231500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 20 FT. GUST TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DURING THE 
EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-231500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND
45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-231500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 
ALONG THE COAST. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG 
THE COAST. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 
ALONG THE COAST. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-231500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-231500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-231500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-231500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-231500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-231500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-231500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...BERING SIDE...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-231500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-231500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

432 
FZAK52 PAFC 231223
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-240300-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 992 MB LOW 325 NM WEST OF SHEMYA WILL WEAKEN TO 997 MB NEAR ATKA
LATE WED NIGHT AND DISSIPATE THU MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE WESTERN BERING THU AND THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-240300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DURING
THE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
COAST. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-240300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS W. SEAS
8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-240300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-240300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER W. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-240300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-240300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...8 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-240300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-240300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-240300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-240300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. FROM SHEMYA W...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-240300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-240300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 23 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS
ENTRENCHED OVER THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA. BY TOMORROW THE UPPER LOW WILL DROP INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA AND THE UPPER RIDGE WILL DRIFT EASTWARD
AND WEAKEN. THE PATTERN OF AN UPPER LOW OVER THE MAINLAND PART OF THE
STATE WITH AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE BRING SEA WILL PERSIST THROUGH
MOST OF THE WEEK.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE DOING ACCEPTABLE FOR THE COMPLEX LOW
IN THE GULF AND A WEAK TRIPLE POINT LOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE WEATHER
FRONT IN THE BERING SEA TUESDAY NIGHT. THESE UNCERTAINTIES MAY CAUSE
SOME TIMING ISSUES WITH PRECIPITATION BUT THE OVERALL PATTERN IS
HANDLED WELL ON ALL THE MODELS. THE NAM WAS THE MOST PREFERRED MODEL
ON BOTH THE EAST AND WEST AREAS TODAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE STRENGTHENING LOW IN THE GULF WILL
INCREASE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN THE GULF ZONES AS WELL AS THE REST
OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT IN
CONJUNCTION WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION AND DOWNWARD VERTICAL MOTION
SHOULD PRODUCE WARNING LEVEL WINDS GUSTS (75 MPH) AROUND CHANNELED
TERRAIN IN KODIAK ISLAND THIS EVENING THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL INCREASE ALL OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND THE GULF REGION BUT
THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OVER KODIAK ISLAND.
SNOW WILL ALSO DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND FROM THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY SOUTHWARD IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE GULF LOW. THE
WINDS AND SNOW COMBINATION HAS PROMPTED A BLIZZARD WARNING THIS
EVENING THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON IN THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA
ZONE 125. EXPECT AREAS OF NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES IN THE BLOWING SNOW
DURING THIS PERIOD. THERE WILL ALSO BE REDUCTION OF VISIBILITY IN
THOMPSON PASS WITH THIS SYSTEM BUT LAST WEEKS STRONG STORM SCOURED
THE TRANSPORTABLE SNOW OUT OF THE PASS AND NEARBY AREA LEAVING ONLY
FALLING SNOW TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS AS THOUGH
THE PRECIPITATION WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS SO
THE BLIZZARD WATCH FOR THOMPSON PASS WAS CANCELED. WHILE CONDITIONS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ACTUAL BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THERE WILL BE
STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES IN THOMPSON PASS
THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WIND CHILLS WILL ALSO BE 35 TO 50 BELOW
ZERO IN THOMPSON PASS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...NORTHERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE AS VERY COLD
AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA. WIND CHILLS WILL APPROACH OR REACH ADVISORY
LEVEL ACROSS THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND BRISTOL BAY ZONE AS WELL
AS ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA BEGINNING THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BE
SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON SO FAR.

IN THE BERING...UNCHARACTERISTICALLY QUIET WEATHER FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES SLOWLY
EASTWARD THROUGH THE BERING SEA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...ANOTHER COLD WEEK IS ON TRACK FOR MAINLAND
ALASKA. THE LONG RANGE MODELS ARE HINTING AT A PATTERN CHANGE BY NEXT
WEEKEND...WHICH MAY BRING A LITTLE WARMER BUT SNOWIER PATTERN TO THE
MAINLAND. HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN A PATTERN CHANGE IN THE LONGER TERM
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST IS DIFFICULT AND MAKES CONFIDENCE LOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 125.
         HIGH WIND WARNING 171.
         WIND CHILL ADVISORY 131 152 155.
MARINE...GALE 129 140 155 160.
         STORM 132 138 150.
         HURRICANE FORCE WIND 130.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 129 130 132 138 140 141 160 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NOV 11