Small Craft Advisory 833, NWS Anchorage, AK

850 
FZAK51 PAFC 200147 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
448 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 994 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 978 MB 100 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KODIAK CITY SUN AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND AT
970 MB MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 30
KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. WINDS BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT SOUTH
OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT N 30 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT
EXCEPT 7 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

706 
FZAK51 PAFC 200803 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1105 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

UPDATED 140

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201500-
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 994 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 978 MB 100 NM SOUTHEAST
OF KODIAK CITY SUN AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND AT
970 MB MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-201500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-201500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-201500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 30
KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-201500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. NEAR WHITTIER...GUSTS TO 40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-201500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF
THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-201500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. WINDS BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT SOUTH
OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-201500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
$$

PKZ140-201500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1105 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
11 FT EXCEPT 5 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 7 FT
N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-201500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

357 
FZAK51 PAFC 201256
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-210300-
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 982 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL
STRENGTHEN TO 964 MB 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT LATE TONIGHT. THE
LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 40 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 962 MB LATE
MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-210300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 10
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-210300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 1 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-210300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-210300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-210300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS NE 50 KT DIMINISHING
TO 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW EXCEPT RAIN SE OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS MORNING.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.  
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-210300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-210300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-210300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATER THIS MORNING. SEAS
13 FT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT THIS
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 4 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT EXCEPT 5 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-210300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

186 
FZAK51 PAFC 202359
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211500-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 975 MB LOW 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL STRENGTHEN TO 970
MB 320 NM SOUTH OF CAPE YAKATAGA MON AFTERNOON THEN WILL DISSIPATE
MON EVENING. A 977 MB LOW 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA WILL STRENGTHEN
TO 971 MB 140 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MON AFTERNOON THEN
MOVE TO 80 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD AT 964 MB TUE AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-211500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-211500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-211500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ129-211500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45 KT DEVELOPING NEAR WHITTIER TOWARDS MORNING.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-211500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 14 FT
EXCEPT 8 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-211500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-211500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT GUSTING TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAY AND PASSES. SEAS 8
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-211500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT N 20 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 4 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-211500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKST SAT NOV 19 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT...BOTH IN SHORT AND LONG TERM.
SOME DISAGREEMENT REGARDING THE TRIPLE POINT LOW THAT DEVELOPS
SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT. GFS AND UKMET CONSOLIDATE THE
LOWS ENERGY AND CARRY IT INTO SOUTHERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT WHILE NAM
AND EC HOLD IT FURTHER WESTWARD...CLOSER TO KODIAK CITY. GFS
CONTINUES TO HAVE GOOD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND SO WAS MODEL OF
CHOICE FOR MORNING PACKAGE.

.ANALYSIS AND SHORT TERM FORECAST...

A 973 MB LOW IN THE SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA WILL MOVE TO NEAR THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT THEN TURN SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE ALASKA
PENINSULA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE IN THE NORTH PACIFIC SUNDAY
NIGHT. STORM FORCE WEST WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE LOW
WILL BUFFET THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THIS MORNING.

AN OCCLUDED FRONT PRESENTLY EXTENDS IN AN ARC FROM THE BERING LOW
CENTER...ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN BERING...AND ACROSS THE
ALASKA PENINSULA. THE FRONT PRESSES EASTWARD INTO SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA
AND KODIAK ISLAND TODAY...WEAKENING IN THE PROCESS. BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST IN THE NEXT
COUPLE HOURS AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. VISIBILITY
RESTRICTIONS IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL EXTEND SOUTHWARD INTO THE
BRISTOL BAY REGION...BUT BLIZZARD FORCE WINDS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE
DELTA. RAIN ACROSS THE PRIBILOFS AND ALASKA PENINSULA WILL PAUSE THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE DRY ENVELOPS THEM. A BROAD AREA OF SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS EXTENDS ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND SPREADS ACROSS THE
EASTERN BERING BY TOMORROW MORNING.

COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER NORTHERN AND INTERIOR ALASKA
THROUGH MIDWEEK WHILE COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST IN THE GULF
OF ALASKA. ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIMITED TO KODIAK ISLAND
AND THE IMMEDIATE COAST. BRISK NORTH WINDS THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA WILL DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT AS THE GRADIENT ALONG
THE GULF COAST BRIEFLY SLACKENS. GRADIENT RETIGHTENS AND WINDS
REDVELOP TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF
REINTENSIFIES.

.UPPER LEVELS AND LONG TERM FORECAST...

UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS EASTERN RUSSIA AND
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. LOW TRANSLATES EASTWARD AND STRENGTHENS OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...BY MONDAY AFTERNOON TROUGH WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF
MAINLAND ALASKA AND THE ENTIRE GULF. JET STREAM REMAINS JUST SOUTH OF
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA AND
SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY DYNAMIC DURING THE COMING
WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND 131 135 187 BLIZZARD 155
MARINE... GALE 120 121 129 132 138 140 150 155 160 165 171 176 179
               352 411 412 414
         STORM 130 170 172 175 185 351 413
         FREEZING SPRAY 121 129 140 160 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

ASB NOV 11