Small Craft Advisory 782, NWS Anchorage, AK

584 
FZAK51 PAFC 301401 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA...CORRECTED
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

CORRECTED TYPO ZONE 120

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-310300-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 985 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT MOVES ONSHORE
NEAR LITUYA BAY LATE THIS MORNING. A 990 MB LOW FORMS OVER PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND THIS MORNING AND DISSIPATES THIS EVENING NEAR CORDOVA
AT 1000 MB. A 999 MB LOW FORMS 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY MON EVENING
AND MOVES 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT TUE AFTERNOON AT 980 MB.

$$

PKZ120-310300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 40 KT THIS THIS AFTERNOON. E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND...EAST WINDS 25 KT BECOMING W 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT EXCEPT SEAS 10 FT EAST OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-310300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.  
.MON...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-310300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 THIS MORNING. WINDS
INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-310300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 35
KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-310300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 40 KT
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT EXCEPT 14 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS SUBSIDING TO
13 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-310300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. WINDS BECOMING SW 35 KT THIS AFTERNOON EXCEPT
SW 25 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-310300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-310300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SW 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. HIGHER
GUSTS OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-310300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

529 
FZAK51 PAFC 302353
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-311500-
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 993 MB LOW 50 NM NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL DISSIPATE
OVERNIGHT. A 1002 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MON 
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 50 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AND 
STRENGTHEN TO 989 MB MON NIGHT AND THEN DRIFT TO 35 NM SOUTHEAST 
OF CORDOVA AT 985 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-311500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-311500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-311500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-311500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTS 
TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER DIMINISHING DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-311500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 30 AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-311500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-311500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-311500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S OF KALGIN ISLAND...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT BY
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-311500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

589 
FZAK51 PAFC 311148
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010300-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 1002 MB LOW FORMS 100 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY THIS
MORNING AND MOVES NEAR CAPE SUCKLING AT 998 MB THIS EVENING AND THEN
MERGES WITH A DEVELOPING SYSTEM TO THE SOUTH. A 1000 MB LOW 300 NM
SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY THIS EVENING MOVES TO 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF ICY BAY
TUE AFTERNOON AT 976 MB AND THEN WEAKENS TO 993 MB WED MORNING 125 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.

$$

PKZ120-010300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-010300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-010300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-010300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E WIND 15 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45
KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-010300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON
SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 16 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY
W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-010300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-010300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-010300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-010300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

945 
FZAK51 PAFC 311151 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA...CORRECTED
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

CORRECTED TYPO ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010300-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 1002 MB LOW FORMS 100 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY THIS
MORNING AND MOVES NEAR CAPE SUCKLING AT 998 MB THIS EVENING AND THEN
MERGES WITH A DEVELOPING SYSTEM TO THE SOUTH. A 1000 MB LOW 300 NM
SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY THIS EVENING MOVES TO 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF ICY BAY
TUE AFTERNOON AT 976 MB AND THEN WEAKENS TO 993 MB WED MORNING 125 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND.

$$

PKZ120-010300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-010300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-010300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. HIGHER GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-010300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E WIND 15 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45
KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-010300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON
SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 16 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY
W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-010300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-010300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-010300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-010300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 312308
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011500-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1004 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY WILL RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN 
TO 975 MB TUE MORNING 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA. IT WEAKENS TO 985
MB AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHWEST TO 50 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND TUE 
EVENING THEN MOVES TO 400 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WED AFTERNOON AT 
995 MB. 

$$

PKZ120-011500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING
NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT EXCEPT E 45 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-011500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-011500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-011500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-011500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT EXCEPT 9 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-011500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-011500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-011500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-011500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 30 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...NAM GFS AND EC SHOWING REASONABLY GOOD CONSENSUS
ON DOUBLE LOW SOLUTION IN THE NORTHERN GULF TODAY.  IN THE BERING THE
NAM WOULD APPEAR TO BE THE OUTLIER IN THE SHORT TERM. FROM MONDAY
EVENING ONWARDS MODELS ALL OVER THE MAP WITH SOLUTIONS FOR THE
GULF... HENCE LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN SOLUTIONS. MODELS DO AGREE HOWEVER
THAT NEXT MAJOR SYSTEM IN THE WEST WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC
INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TUE EVENING...AND INTO THE CENTRAL BERING
THURSDAY.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THERE ARE TWO CENTERS OF ACTION THIS
MORNING...THE FIRST IS THE GULF LOW AND THE SECOND IS IN THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC TENDS TO BE
FROM WEST TO EAST WITH THE BERING SYSTEM BECOMING THE MORE ENERGETIC
LATER TODAY.

MAIN FORECASTING ISSUE TODAY IS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SECONDARY LOW
OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BY LATE MORNING.  MODELS HAVE BEEN
INDICATING THIS SINCE YESTERDAYS RUNS SO NOT A NEW SOLUTION.  WOULD
APPEAR THAT THIS LOW IS COUPLED TO A UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT DIGS
TOWARD SOUTHERN COOK INLET FROM THE NORTHWEST. WITH A WEAK LOW OVER
PWS AND A UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TOUGH NOT TO FORECAST SOME AMOUNT OF
SNOWFALL FOR NORTHERN COOK INLET. HOWEVER WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW OUT OF
THE NORTHWEST AVAILABLE MOISTURE WOULD BE LIMITED...HENCE SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS ARE ON THE LOWER END OF THE SCALE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING REGION...RAIN TODAY FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN AL WITH SOME
RAIN/SNOW FOR PRIBILOFS. THIS LOW LINGERS IN THE CENTRAL BERING MON
SO EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF THE DATELINE ON MON. A BRIEF PERIOD OF
HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER BERING ON TUE BUT NEXT NOR PAC SYSTEM
ROLLS INTO WESTERN AL TUE AFTERNOON.

SOUTHWEST...GENERALLY AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS TODAY BUT LIGHT WINDS.
FRONT FROM BERING SYSTEM MOVES ONSHORE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WOULD
EXPECT WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW TO DEVELOP DURING THE EVENING. MODERATE
TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS THIS EVENING IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRONTAL
PASSAGE. MOSTLY CLOUD WITH SNOW SHOWERS ON MON. NORTH FLOW WITH SOME
CLEARING ON TUE.

SOUTHCENTRAL...RAIN SHOWERS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST TODAY WITH
EXCEPTION OF KODIAK WHICH SHOULD REMAIN DRY AND MODEST CLOUD COVER.
INLAND AREAS CAN EXPECT SOME SNOW SHOWERS BUT LOOKS AS AMOUNTS ON THE
ORDER OF SEVERAL INCHES. CONTINUED CLOUDS WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ON MON...MODELS INDICATING THE PASSAGE OF A WARM FRONT LATE MON
MORNING FROM PWS EASTWARD SO ANY NIGHTTIME SNOW SHOWERS WILL CHANGE
BACK TO RAIN.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN MODEL SOLUTIONS FROM TUE
ONWARD FOR AREA EAST OF 160W. THE POTENTIAL FOR A DEEP GULF LOW ON
TUE EXISTS BUT DETAILS LACKING. WEST OF 160W SHOULD IN GENERAL BE
DRY...COOL IN SOUTHWEST ZONES WITH SOME SUN BREAKS. AREA OF LOW
CLOUDS OVER BERING ON TUE AND WED. FRONT FROM NEXT BERING SYSTEM
SHOULD MOVE ONSHORE IN SOUTHWEST ZONES WED NIGHT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...STRM: 170 172 185 411 412 413 130 351
         GALE: 150 155 160 165 180 171 175 176 179 414 120 132 352
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JMP OCT 11