Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 7, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 3, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 3, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jan 3, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired: Jan 4, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST
In force: 24 hr
Issued by: NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

720 
FZAK52 PAFC 031254
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-040300-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 960 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 982 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 75 NM EAST OF KODIAK TUE NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT FROM A
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE EXTREME WESTERN BERING
BEGINNING TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-040300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-040300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 25
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-040300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-040300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT...SEAS 16 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND
20 KT... SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-040300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-040300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...E
WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-040300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-040300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. E OF
SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-040300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-040300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-040300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-040300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

2 follow-up statements

020 
FZAK52 PAFC 040014
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-041500-
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 965 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WEAKENS TO 979 MB 
180 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY TUE AFTERNOON THEN BECOMES NEARLY
STATIONARY OVER THE GULF. A 982 MB LOW EAST OF JAPAN TUE WILL 
MOVE TO 250 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA AND STRENGTHEN TO 972 MB WED
AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ150-041500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-041500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING
NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 21 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-041500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.  
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-041500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...E 
WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 6 FT. SNOW 
SHOWERS AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 35 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 19 FT
EXCEPT 14 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-041500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SNOW. BLOWING SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-041500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO NW 50 KT BY LATE EVENING. 
SEAS 18 FT BERING SIDE...25 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-041500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO NW 45 KT BY LATE EVENING. 
SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-041500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-041500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-041500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-041500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-041500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST MON JAN 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

971 
FZAK52 PAFC 041256
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-050300-
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 971 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK WEAKENS TO 983 MB TUE NIGHT 120
NM SOUTH OF SEWARD AND THEN MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA. A
NORTH PACIFIC LOW INTENSIFIES TO 965 MB WED EVENING 175 NM SOUTHWEST
OF AMCHITKA AND THEN WEAKENS TO 968 MB WED NIGHT 150 NM SOUTH OF
AMCHITKA.

$$

PKZ150-050300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 15
FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-050300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
21 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-050300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-050300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-050300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-050300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19
FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-050300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-050300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-050300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-050300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-050300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-050300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 2, 4:00 PM AKST, 12 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 2, 4:00 PM AKST, 12 hours before

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 2 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THE BIGGEST QUESTION IS IN REGARDS TO HOW THE LOW SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN ISLANDS WILL SPLIT BETWEEN MONDAY EVENING AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
MODELS THEN ARE MOSTLY TOGETHER WITH THESE TWO LOWS AFTER THAT.
MODELS DO SPLIT ON THEIR SOLUTION FOR A LARGE LOW IN THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA AROUND THURSDAY. THAT WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE THREE WAVE HEMISPHERIC PATTERN
CONTINUES TODAY WITH THE LARGEST TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE NORTH POLE
THROUGH THE WESTERN BERING SEA. A STRONG 250 MB JET STREAM RUNS JUST
SOUTH OF THIS TROUGH AND REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE LOCATION FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SURFACE LOWS THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA.
AT THE SURFACE THERE IS A LARGE COMPLEX LOW OVER THE BERING SEA
REGION. THERE ARE FOUR SEPARATE LOW CENTERS IN THIS LOW COMPLEX WITH
THE LARGEST BEING IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA NEAR ST MATTHEW ISLAND.
A STRENGTHENING LOW IS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS IN THE FAVORABLE
DEVELOPMENT AREA ALONG THE JET STREAM.
THERE IS A WEATHER FRONT BRINGING GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE GULF OF
ALASKA THAT WILL REACH THE NORTH GULF COAST LATER TONIGHT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE
GULF OF ALASKA. THIS FRONT WILL CAUSE A BARRIER JET TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST THAT WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IN COOK INLET BECOMES STRONGER FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH THE WINDS OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM WILL ONCE AGAIN BECOME DOWN THE
INLET RESULTING IN THE WINDS IN ANCHORAGE TO GO NORTHEAST AND
DIMINISH. TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AROUND THE ANCHORAGE AREA AS THIS
OCCURS THIS EVENING.
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ALASKA SHOULD SEE ANY PRECIPITATION REMAIN ALL
SNOW THROUGH TONIGHT. AREAS IN EASTERN BRISTOL BAY MAY SEE A SWITCH
BACK TO RAIN MONDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM PUSHES SOME WARMER AIR INTO
THE REGION.
THE REST OF THE BERING SEA SHOULD REMAIN IN SNOW SHOWERS IN THE COLD
SECTOR OF THE COMPLEX LOW.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE WILL BE A SLOW CHANGE IN WEATHER PATTERN
OVER THE COURSE OF THE WEEK AS THE UPPER LEVEL TEMPERATURES COOL AND
SHOULD BECOME MORE SEASONAL BY LATE IN THE WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL BUILD INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA/SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY NEXT
WEEKEND WHICH WILL SHIFT THE STORM TRACK TO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
BERING SEA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY 145.
MARINE...GALE 120 125 130 150 155 165 170 171 172 179 180 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JAN 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 2, 4:00 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	36 hr
Jan 2, 4:00 PM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	5 days
Jan 2, 4:00 PM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	12 hr
Jan 2, 4:00 PM AKST	Storm Warning	AFC	12 hr
Jan 2, 4:08 PM AKST	Blizzard Warning	AFC	24 hr
Jan 3, 4:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	3 days
Jan 3, 4:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	36 hr
Jan 3, 4:00 AM AKST	Gale Warning	AFC	24 hr
Jan 3, 4:00 AM AKST	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	4 days
Jan 3, 4:00 AM AKST	Storm Warning	AFC	24 hr
Jan 3, 4:55 AM AKST	Blizzard Watch	AFC	11 hr
Jan 3, 5:05 AM AKST	High Wind Warning	AFC	16 hr
Jan 3, 2:09 PM AKST	Blizzard Warning	AFC	19 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011 Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.