Small Craft Advisory 63, NWS Anchorage, AK

889 
FZAK51 PAFC 230411 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
710 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

UPDATED ZONE 120

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231500-
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE SAT NIGHT AND REACHES
THE NORTHERN GULF BY LATE SUN AFTERNOON. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL
MOVE TO 270 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 974 MB MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-231500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
710 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-231500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-231500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-231500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-231500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT THIS EVENING. WINDS
INCREASING TO NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT EXCEPT SEAS 5 FT
WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NE 50 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
SEAS 15 FT EXCEPT SEAS 9 FT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 10 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-231500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT THIS EVENING. WINDS
INCREASING TO E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-231500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT THIS EVENING. WINDS
INCREASING TO NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-231500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 15
KT THIS EVENING THEN INCREASING TO NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. KALGIN ISLAND NORTHWARD...NW
WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-231500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT 
THIS EVENING. WINDS BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

011 
FZAK51 PAFC 231226
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240300-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A WEATHER FRONT ENTERING THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS MORNING
REACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS EVENING. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW
MOVES TO 250 NM SE OF KODIAK MON AFTERNOON...THEN TO 40 NM S OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND MON NIGHT AT 976 MB.

$$

PKZ120-240300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-240300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-240300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR
HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE LATE THIS AFTERNOON  RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-240300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-240300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...WINDS INCREASING THIS MORNING TO NE 45 KT EXCEPT NE 60
KT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS BUILDING 18 FT EXCEPT 12 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS
THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. NE WINDS BRIEFLY GUSTING TO 50 KT IN THE
EVENING W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. SEAS 16 FT EXCEPT 13 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT EXCEPT 7 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-240300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-240300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-240300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY NOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-240300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKST SAT JAN 22 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. PROBLEMS BEGIN
TO ARISE IN TIMING OF THE MANY SHORTWAVES AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE
FRONTS/LOWS MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE GULF ON THE EAST SIDE OF A
QUASI-STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY THE
END OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE FORECAST LEANS TOWARDS
THE NAM AND GFS IN THE SHORT TERM...THEN TOWARDS THE EUROPEAN
MODEL(EC) FROM MONDAY NIGHT ONWARDS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL DISTURANCE IS LOCATED IN THE NORTHERN GULF THIS
MORNING WITH AN ASSOCIATED 981 MB SURFACE LOW. THESE FEATURES WILL
MOVE NORTH AND EAST TOWARDS YAKUTAT AND THEN INLAND LATE THIS MORNING
OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A MORE SUBTLE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED OVER
THE SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND AND WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THIS
MORNING AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL UNTIL THIS SECOND
DISTURBANCE PASSES AND LARGELY DIMINISHES PRECIPITATION FROM WEST TO
EAST...THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS CAN'T BE RULED OUT (ESPECIALLY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS) THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AS ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVES
NORTH JUST AHEAD OF A TRANSITORY UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WHICH MOVES OVER
THE AREA TONIGHT.

MEANWHILE...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL
MOVE TO ABOUT 375 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY
SUNDAY NIGHT...AND THEN BECOMES MOSTLY STATIONARY. POTENT UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES WILL USHER QUICK-MOVING FRONTS NORTH FROM ABOUT 170W
LONGITUDE EAST THROUGH THE GULF AND EXTENDING NORTH TO BRISTOL BAY
AND THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND BEGINNING THIS EVENING. THE FIRST IN A
SERIES OF FRONTS WILL REACH THE GULF COAST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
EXTEND SOUTH AND WEST THROUGH BRISTOL BAY AND ACROSS THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. THIS SYSTEM WILL REPRESENT THE LEADING EDGE OF WARMER
MARITIME AIR AT THE SURFACE AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
BEFORE DISSIPATING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...

A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY. THE FIRST
CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND AND WILL BRING DECENT AMOUNTS OF SNOW FROM
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND NORTH AND EAST...WITH RAIN ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST WITH WARM ONSHORE FLOW. VERY WEAK COLD ADVECTION AND A RESIDUAL
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND LOW WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED LIGHT SNOWFALL
THROUGH THIS MORNING OVER THE ANCHORAGE AND MAT-SU VALLEY AREAS.
SATURATION IN THE SNOW GROWTH LAYER ALOFT IS LIMITED TO A RATHER
SHORT DURATION THIS MORNING...AND IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR ANYTHING MORE
THAN LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE COOK INLET REGION TODAY.
ANOTHER QUICK MOVING DISTURBANCE ON THE FRONT SIDE OF THE APPROACHING
UPPER RIDGE WILL PRESENT AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
OVER THE REGION TONIGHT.

ATTENTION THEN SHIFTS TO THE GULF LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING AS THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVES NORTH FROM THE
PACIFIC. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A RENEWED SHOT OF SNOW WITH RAIN
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AS IT MOVES INLAND SUNDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
WINDS TO PICK UP ENOUGH THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM TO PRODUCE STRONG
WINDS...AND STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE USUAL BARRIER JET REGION OVER
THE NORTHERN GULF. AS THE FRONT MAKES ITS WAY INLAND...WARM MARITIME
AIR SHOULD WORK ITS WAY NORTHWARD...BRINGING TEMPERATURES WELL INTO
THE 30S TO ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT-SU VALLEY...AND WITH THIS WILL COME
LIKELY A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW.

SOUTHWEST...

SUBTLE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS BRINGING A MIX OF LIGHT SNOW AND
FREEZING DRIZZLE ALONG WITH FOG TO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION. THIS
SHOULD END BY THE AFTERNOON WITH CLEARING SKIES. A STRONG FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY AND WILL BRING A
RENEWED CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION.
OTHERWISE...BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST OVER THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA REGION ALONG WITH COLD ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT WIND
CHILLS 40 BELOW TO 50 BELOW THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY MORNING...AND
POSSIBLY BEYOND.

BERING SEA REGION...

MOST OF THIS REGION WILL LIE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STRONG LOW IN
THE NORTH PACIFIC. AS THE FIRST FRONT IN A SERIES MOVES INTO THE
EASTERN BERING...STRONG WINDS WILL PICK UP AT FIRST THIS EVENING OVER
THE PRIBILOFS...FOLLOWED BY LIGHT SNOW OVER THE REGION BY LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE A GOOD BET
FOR MOST OF THE DAY ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. THUS...A BLIZZARD
WATCH FOR THE PRIBILOFS WILL BE ISSUED WITH THE MORNING FORECAST
PACKAGE. OTHERWISE...COLD ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...

NEARLY STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING/NORTH PACIFIC
REGION THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL MOVE DISTURBANCES/SYSTEMS
OVER THE MAINLAND...KEEPING CONDITIONS MUCH WARMER AND WETTER THAN
NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...WIND CHILL ADVISORY...155
         BLIZZARD WATCH...195
MARINE...GALES...125 132 140 150 155 160 165 170 171 175 176 180 185
         STORMS...120 130 138 172 179
         HVY FRZG SPRY...160 165 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

CC JAN 11