Small Craft Advisory 448, NWS Anchorage, AK

172 
FZAK52 PAFC 012021 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1220 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

UPDATED 160 165

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-020300-
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1011 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU INTENSIFIES TO 1006 MB AS IT
CROSSES THE ALEUTIANS 150 NM WEST OF DUTCH HARBOR SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-020300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-020300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-020300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
1220 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-020300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
1220 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-020300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-020300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-020300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-020300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-020300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-020300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-020300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-020300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

912 
FZAK52 PAFC 012346
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-021500-
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WESTERN BERING SEA
THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON AND SPREAD TO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING
SEA BY SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-021500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-021500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-021500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-021500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-021500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-021500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ171-021500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-021500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-021500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-021500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.  
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-021500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.   

$$

PKZ179-021500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.   

$$

206 
FZAK52 PAFC 021146
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-030300-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A WEAK 1009 MB LOW 220 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK INTENSIFIES TO 1006 MB AS
IT CROSSES THE ALEUTIANS NEAR NIKOLSKI SAT EVENING AND THEN MOVES
INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE BERING SAT
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-030300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-030300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-030300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-030300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-030300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-030300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-030300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-030300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-030300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-030300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-030300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-030300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

146 
FZAK52 PAFC 022320
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-031500-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL
SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. A 1002 MB LOW WILL FORM 315 NM
WEST OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND LATE SUN NIGHT AND STRENGTHEN TO 994 MB
NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-031500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ155-031500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
$$

PKZ160-031500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ165-031500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
$$

PKZ180-031500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT...BECOMING SW 15 KT WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ170-031500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
$$

PKZ171-031500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ172-031500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
$$

PKZ175-031500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ176-031500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ185-031500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. WINDS BECOMING N 15 KT NORTH AND WEST OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. WINDS BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON WEST OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT SW 15 KT EAST OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-031500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS BECOMING W 15 KT BY AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

773 
FZAK52 PAFC 031149
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-040300-
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH MON
AFTERNOON. A 1000 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP AROUND 300 NM WEST OF GAMBELL
LATE SUN NIGHT...THEN MOVE TO 220 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL AT 994 MB
MON AFTERNOON...THEN TRACK TO NEAR SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT 987 MB TUE
MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-040300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-040300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-040300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-040300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-040300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF DENSE FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-040300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-040300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-040300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-040300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-040300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-040300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-040300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE DOING WELL WITH THE SURFACE SYNOPTIC SITUATION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THERE IS SOME DIFFERENCE IN THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN LATE IN
THE WEEKEND AS A BROAD TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE GULF AND SOUTH OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DIVERGENCE
IN THE MODELS IN BOTH THE UPPER LEVELS AND SURFACE PROJECTIONS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW PERSISTS OVER
THE MAINLAND PART OF THE STATE WITH A WEAK CENTER OVER THE GULF AND A
STRONGER ONE OFF THE ARCTIC COAST. THERE IS BY DEFAULT WEAK RIDGING
BETWEEN THESE CENTERS OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA. THE JET STREAM REMAINS FROM THE NORTHWEST OVER THE
BERING SEA AND EASTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AS THE UPPER FLOW IS SQUEEZED
BETWEEN THE LOW OVER THE STATE AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TRYING TO
BUILD INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

THE ATMOSPHERE IS GENERALLY UNSTABLE AGAIN TODAY FROM THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN THROUGH NORTHWESTERN BRISTOL BAY. THERE WILL PROBABLY NOT
BE ENOUGH LIFT TO CAUSE THUNDERSTORMS BUT THERE WILL BE SHOWERS
AROUND...ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MOSTLY BENIGN WEATHER AS RIDGE AXIS LIES OVER
MUCH OF THE SOUTHCENTRAL MAINLAND. THE ONLY CAVEAT BEING INSTABILITY
DEVELOPED SHOWERS OVER THE MATANUSKA-SUSITNA VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
EXPECT SHOWERS TO DEVELOP OVER THE CHUGACH AND PUSH NORTHWEST OVER
THE KENAI AND MAT-SU TODAY AND TONIGHT. SATURATED CONDITIONS AND WEAK
ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING LOW CEILINGS...DRIZZLE...AND REDUCED
VISIBILITIES TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TODAY. WEAK IMPULSES EMBEDDED IN
THE EASTERLY FLOW BRINGS THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO THE NORTHERN GULF.
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE NORTHERN SUSITNA
VALLEY TOMORROW.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
DEPARTING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE THE CHANCES FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS
WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THIS EVENING TAPERING OFF TOWARD
FRIDAY MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND BRISTOL BAY AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
LOW CEILINGS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE ALASKAN
PENINSULA AS SATURATED AIR BANKS AGAINST THE CHAIN THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY MORNING. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL TRAVERSE THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS ON FRIDAY BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE DOMINATED BY A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW NORTH
OF THE BERING STRAIT AND A WEAKER TROUGH IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. THERE
WILL BE WEAKER IMPULSES IN BETWEEN AFFECTING THE EASTERN BERING BUT
THE TIMING IS UNCERTAIN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...NONE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

MTL JUN 11