Small Craft Advisory 346, NWS Anchorage, AK

236 
FZAK51 PAFC 172248
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181500-
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 988 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF
KODIAK CITY AT 997 MB THURSDAY MORNING...THEN DISSIPATES. HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-181500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-181500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.  
$$

PKZ125-181500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ129-181500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-181500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-181500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-181500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-181500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-181500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
 
$$

681 
FZAK51 PAFC 181141
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190300-
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 993 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF CASTLE CAPE WILL MOVE TO 25O NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK AT 1006 MB THURSDAY EVENING AND DISSIPATE. 
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS STATIONARY OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST 
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-190300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-190300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-190300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-190300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-190300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-190300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-190300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-190300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-190300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

827 
FZAK51 PAFC 182303
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WEAKENS AS 
IT MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF THURSDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE NORTH AND EAST GULF WILL UNDERGO LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. A SECOND AND STRONGER WEATHER FRONT MOVES TO NEAR KODIAK
ISLAND AND THE WESTERN GULF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 40 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF 
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

515 
FZAK51 PAFC 191149
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WEAKENS AS IT
MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF THURSDAY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
NORTH AND EAST GULF WILL UNDERGO LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. A SECOND AND STRONGER WEATHER FRONT MOVES TO NEAR KODIAK
ISLAND AND THE WESTERN GULF FRIDAY EVENING. 
$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND...E 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT MON MAY 16 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...IN THE SHORT TERM MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT...WE ARE LEANING TOWARDS THE NAM WITH ITS BETTER HANDLING
OF TERRAIN FEATURES. AS WE MOVE TOWARD THE LONG TERM...MODEL
AGREEMENT BECOMES POOR. WITHIN MODELS THE RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY IS
ALSO LACKING LEADING US TO TREND MORE TOWARDS HPC GUIDANCE.

.UPPER LEVELS...A LONGWAVE TROUGH PERSISTS OVER THE BERING WITH
SEVERAL LOWS EMBEDDED. THE MAIN FEATURE IS THE WEAKENING LOW THAT NOW
SITS JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WHERE IT WILL STAY UNTIL IT
SLOWLY STARTS TO TRACK BACK OVER THE BERING TUE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN
JET IS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND ITS ONCE ZONAL FLOW IS NOW BECOMING
MORE AMPLIFIED. IN THIS FLOW ANOTHER LOW IS BEGINNING TO FORM SOUTH
OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER MUCH
OF MAINLAND ALASKA.

.AT THE SURFACE...THE WEAKENING LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS
CONTINUING TO BRING SOUTHEAST FLOW TO THE GULF COAST. THE FRONT THAT
WAS OVER KODIAK CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE KENAI PENINSULA. A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE HAS SETTLED ALONG THE GULF COAST REACHING INTO THE
SOUTHCENTRAL FROM THE EAST. THE LOW THAT IS FORMING SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL SPIN UP SHORTWAVES ALONG MUCH OF THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS AS IT PROGRESSES EAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...FOR THE EAST...THE FRONT MOVING TOWARD THE
KENAI PENINSULA WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREA TUE EVENING. EASTERLY FLOW TO KODIAK
CONTINUES TO BRING RAIN TO THE AREA. DIURNAL CHANGES OVER MAINLAND
ALASKA COMBINED WITH THE RIDGING ALONG THE GULF COAST BRING GAP WINDS
TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL IN LINE WITH THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. FLUCTUATION
WITH THE RIDGING LEADS TO UNCERTAINTY WITH THE STRENGTH OF THESE
WINDS.

.FOR THE WEST...SOUTHWEST ALASKA CONTINUES TO SEE RAIN SHOWERS AS THE
LOW NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA BRINGS MOISTURE TO THE AREA. AS
SHORTWAVES MOVE AROUND THE NEW LOW FORMING NEAR ADAK THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SEE RAIN SHOWERS. LOW STRATUS AND NORTHERLY
FLOW OVER THE BERING WILL BRING SHOW SHOWERS TO SAINT PAUL ISLAND.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN DOMINATES THE ALASKA
FORECAST AREA OVER THE NEXT WEEK WITH A SERIES OF LOWS IN THE BERING
AND GULF. THERE IS TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY IN THE MODELS TO BE CONFIDENT
IN ANY ONE SOLUTION BEYOND THE CURRENT DYNAMIC PATTERN AT THIS POINT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALES...130
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DWK MAY 11