Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 222, NWS Anchorage, AK

March 24, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Mar 24, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 24, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Mar 25, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

767 
FZAK51 PAFC 242315
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-251500-
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 985 MB LOW 500 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD WILL MOVE TO 600 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT BY EARLY FRI AND THEN CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE WASHINGTON
COAST. A 998 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF AMCHITKA WILL MOVE TO A 987 MB
LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR BY FRI AFTERNOON AND THEN TO 600 NM
SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-251500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-251500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-251500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-251500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-251500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-251500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-251500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-251500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
..TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-251500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
1 follow-up statement
797 
FZAK51 PAFC 251141
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-260300-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1000 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD WILL DISSIPATE THIS AFTERNOON. A
996 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 180 
NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING AT 993 MB LATE SAT MORNING THEN TO
MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 997 MB LATE SAT NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-260300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-260300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-260300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-260300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-260300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-260300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-260300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-260300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-260300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 24, 2:00 PM AKDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 24, 2:00 PM AKDT, 2 hours before
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT THU MAR 24 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  THERE ARE SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES IN THE
LOCATION OF LOWS ALONG THE JET STREAM SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS BUT THE
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT IN THE TRACKS AND STRENGTHS OF THE
LOWS. THE NAM AND GFS ARE THE MODELS OF CHOICE FOR THE FORECASTS
TODAY.  THE GFS IS PREFERRED OVER THE EUROPEAN MODELS FOR THE
EXTENDED FORECAST AFTER MONDAY NEXT WEEK. THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE
DECENT AGREEMENT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY BY
MID WEEK.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH STRETCHES FROM SIBERIA THROUGH BRISTOL
BAY...KODIAK ISLAND AND THEN SOUTHEASTWARD TO CALIFORNIA. A STRONG
POLAR JET STREAM EXITS ASIA OVER SOUTHERN JAPAN...CROSSES THE NORTH
PACIFIC SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS THEN TURNS SOUTH TO CALIFORNIA. STORMS
FORM ALONG THE POLAR JET AND THEN MOVE ALONG THE JET STREAM KEEPING
WELL SOUTH OF MAINLAND ALASKA. THE NORTHERN EDGES OF THESE LOWS WILL
AFFECT THE ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
EXPECT A CONTINUATION OF THE CURRENT WEATHER PATTERN AND CONDITIONS
THROUGH FRIDAY. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE SHOWERY AND
CONFINED TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE WEATHER AND WEATHER PATTERN IS NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE MUCH OVER
THE WEEKEND.  SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL REMAIN IN WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MODELS INDICATE THE
STORM TRACK WILL MOVE FROM THE CONUS WEST COAST TO THE GULF OF ALASKA
BY MID WEEK.  IF THIS WORKS OUT IT WILL MEAN AN INCREASED CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTH CENTRAL AND STRONGER WINDS OVER THE EASTERN
BERING AND GULF OF ALASKA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...NONE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

RHH MAR 11

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.