Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011
Gale Warning 994, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 16, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 60 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 16, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 18, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
795 FZAK52 PAFC 161202 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-170300- 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 970 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTHWEST OF TOGIAK WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTH OF HOOPER BAY AT 979 MB THIS EVENING...THEN DISSIPATE AROUND 150 NM WEST OF MEKORYUK SAT MORNING. A 973 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTH OF KISKA WILL MOVE TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAINT PAUL AT 969 MB SAT MORNING...THEN TRACK TO NEAR MEKORYUK EARLY SUN MORNING WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH. $$ PKZ150-170300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ155-170300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ160-170300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ165-170300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON AND TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ180-170300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY... .TODAY...N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NE WIND 30 KT. S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. .TONIGHT...N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT. S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY NORTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-170300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BERING SIDE...35 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT BERING SIDE...35 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...20 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ171-170300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-170300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...BERING SIDE...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC SIDE. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ175-170300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ176-170300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT N 20 KT W OF SHEMYA. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ185-170300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN AND MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ179-170300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
880 FZAK52 PAFC 170011 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-171500- 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 976 MB LOW 40 NM NORTHWEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A 968 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 120 NM NORTHWEST OF COLD BAY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AT THE SAME STRENGTH...THEN DRIFT TO 150 NM NORTH OF ST PAUL AND DISSIPATE SUN MORNING. A 965 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 200 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY SAT EVENING AND MOVE INLAND OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AT 962 MB SUN MORNING. $$ PKZ150-171500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ155-171500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ160-171500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ165-171500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ180-171500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-171500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...17 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT BERING SIDE...SW 40 KT PACIFIC SIDE. BERING SIDE...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE... SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...22 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ171-171500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ172-171500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...PACIFIC SIDE...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W BY MIDNIGHT. BERING SIDE...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC SIDE. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ175-171500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ176-171500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ185-171500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ179-171500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST FRI DEC 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
061 FZAK52 PAFC 171202 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-180300- 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A COMPLEX 970 MB LOW NEAR DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO NEAR MEKORYUK EARLY SUN MORNING WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS TO 150 NM WEST OF MEKORYUK MON MORNING. A 973 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 460 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT THIS AFTERNOON...TRACK TO 140 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK AT 958 MB LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVE INLAND NEAR SOUTHERN SHELIKOF STRAIT SUN MORNING. $$ PKZ150-180300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ155-180300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. $$ PKZ160-180300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ165-180300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ180-180300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ170-180300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BERING SIDE...SW 40 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...23 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...21 FT PACIFIC SIDE. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC SIDE. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ171-180300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ172-180300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...21 FT PACIFIC SIDE. .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ175-180300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ176-180300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ185-180300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .SUN...N WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 12 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-180300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$
501 FZAK52 PAFC 180035 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-181500- 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A COMPLEX 967 MB LOW 50 NM EAST OF ST PAUL WILL MOVE TO 100 NM WEST OF MEKORYUK EARLY SUN MORNING WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 976 MB AS IT DRIFTS TOWARD ST MATTHEW ISLAND MON AFTERNOON. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK AT 958 MB LATE TONIGHT THEN MOVE INLAND NEAR SOUTHERN SHELIKOF STRAIT SUN MORNING. A 986 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 160 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE INLAND NEAR DILLINGHAM AT THE SAME STRENGTH. $$ PKZ150-181500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ155-181500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ160-181500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .SUN...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ165-181500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ180-181500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. $$ PKZ170-181500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 21 FT. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ171-181500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ172-181500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ175-181500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ176-181500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ185-181500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-181500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST SAT DEC 17 2011 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$
218 FZAK52 PAFC 181203 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-190300- 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 952 MB LOW 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK WILL MOVE RAPIDLY INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS MORNING. A 965 MB LOW 95 NM NORTHEAST OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 980 MB 90 NM NORTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND LATE MON NIGHT. A 988 MB LOW WILL FORM 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR SUN AFTERNOON AND MOVE INLAND NEAR CHIGNIK AT 984 MB EARLY MON MORNING. A 986 MB LOW WILL FORM 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA MON AFTERNOON AND STRENGTHEN TO 982 MB NEAR COLD BAY LATE MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ150-190300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ155-190300- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ160-190300- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ165-190300- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ180-190300- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-190300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ171-190300- UNALASKA BAY 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ172-190300- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ175-190300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW. .MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ176-190300- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM SHEMYA W...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. .TONIGHT AND MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ185-190300- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NORTH AND WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NORTH AND WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .MON...S WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 30 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-190300- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 AM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$
380 FZAK52 PAFC 190033 CWFALU COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ199-191500- 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 987 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 57N 156W MONDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA MONDAY AFTERNOON. A 966 MB LOW NEAR 59N 173W WILL WEAKEN TO 988 MB AS IT SLOWLY DRIFTS NORTH TO NEAR 64N 168W TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A 980 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 50N 171W MONDAY AFTERNOON...THEN STRENGTHENS TO 973 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 58N 160W TUESDAY MORNING. $$ PKZ150-191500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO S 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ155-191500- COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT...EXCEPT SW WIND 40 KT IN THE EVENING FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS EAST. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. $$ PKZ160-191500- BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ165-191500- PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT WINDS DIMINISHING TO N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM PORT MOLLER EAST. SEAS 15 FT IN THE EVENING SUBSIDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT NW WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING FROM PORT MOLLER EAST. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ180-191500- SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT SW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING NORTH OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. $$ PKZ170-191500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BERING SIDE...SW WIND 40 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 13 FT...EXCEPT SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT PACIFIC SIDE AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ171-191500- UNALASKA BAY 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ172-191500- EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT SEAS 18 FT PACIFIC SIDE IN THE MORNING. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ175-191500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ176-191500- WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ185-191500- ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 30 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ179-191500- PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS 400 PM AKST SUN DEC 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 15, 11:10 AM AKST, 16 hours 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 11:10 AM AKST, 16 hours 50 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1110 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2011
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...VERY STRONG PACIFIC STORM HAS DRIFTED
NORTHWARD INTO THE BERING SEA THIS MORNING...JUST NORTH OF THE
SOUTHERNMOST TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THE LOW IS VERY SLOWLY
BEGINNING TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD. THE STRONGEST WINDS
ARE ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE LOW CENTER AFFECTING MARINE AREAS
SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA WITH STORM FORCE WINDS
AND SEAS IN THE GENERAL RANGE OF 30 TO 45 FT. AS THE LOW CONTINUES
NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON SOME OF THESE STRONGER WINDS WILL SPREAD
BACK ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA BUT REMAIN BELOW WARNING CRITERIA.
THE OCCLUDED FRONT...WHICH IS HAS STRETCHED OUT EAST TO WEST FROM
THE EASTERN BERING TO THE EASTERN GULF HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE STILL BEING OBSERVED ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
BUT THEY WILL COME DOWN RAPIDLY AS THE FRONT MOVES ONSHORE OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. PRECIP IS FOCUSED OVER THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
WITH VERY LITTLE BEING OBSERVED OVER THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST ALASKA.
LOOKING DOWN ALONG THE JET THERE ARE A COUPLE FEATURES EXPECTED
TO AFFECT ALASKA. THE FIRST IS A WEAK LOW NEAR 48N 153W WHICH WILL
TRACK UP THE POLE SIDE OF THE JET INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. IT IS
NOT IN A FAVORABLE POSITION FOR DEVELOPMENT SO EXPECT IT TO REMAIN
A WEAK SYSTEM. THE ONLY SURFACE FEATURE OF NOTE IS A DEVELOPING
LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. THIS LOW IS DEEPENING AND RIDGE IS
BEGINNING TO AMPLIFY OUT AHEAD OF IT WHICH WILL HELP FORCE THE LOW
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE ALEUTIANS.
.MODEL DISCUSSION...THE ECMWF IS VERIFYING BEST WITH EXISTING
FEATURES AND CONTINUES TO DISPLAY VERY GOOD RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY.
THEREFORE...WILL BLEND HEAVILY TOWARD THE 12 ECMWF THROUGH SUNDAY.
THE CHOICE OF MODELS DOES MAKE A LARGE DIFFERENCE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY AS ANOTHER STRONG PACIFIC STORM MOVES TOWARD MAINLAND
ALASKA. THE GFS TRACKS THIS STORM INTO BRISTOL BAY WHILE THE ECMWF
TRACKS IT INTO THE WESTERN GULF. WITH SUCH A DISPARITY FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR THAT PARTICULAR STORM.
.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND RAPIDLY FALL APART AS IT MOVES INLAND. FLOW
WILL SHIFT TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT WHICH IS BENEFICIAL
FOR HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. WHILE THE
CORDOVA AREA WILL SEE MOSTLY RAIN VALDEZ WILL STAY ALL SNOW AND IS
EXPECTED TO PICK UP SOMEWHERE AROUND ONE FOOT OF SNOW OUT OF THIS.
THE AIRMASS IS QUITE UNSTABLE BEHIND THE FRONT SO SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL SNOWFALL
WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER AND BRIEF. THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA UP TO
ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY WILL SEE LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION
PARTLY DUE TO THE WEAKNESS OF THE FRONT AND PARTLY DUE TO THE FACT
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL ONLY BRIEFLY GO SOUTH WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE.
FLOW WILL SHIFT BACK TO SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONT IN THESES AREAS
PRODUCING THE TYPICAL DOWNSLOPING AFFECT.
THE WEAK LOW OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL TRACK TO EASTERN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND BY MID-DAY FRIDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIP.
THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED IN SHORT SUCCESSION OF MULTIPLE UPPER LEVEL
SHORT-WAVES AS WE HEAD THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE WILL REMAIN FOCUSED ALONG THE COAST AS WELL AS THE WESTERN
SUSITNA VALLEY.
SOUTHWEST ALASKA...STRONG SOUTHEAST FLOW LEVEL FLOW WILL PERSIST
ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE
LOW MOVES NORTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING. THIS WILL KEEP
AREAS IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS DRY WHILE UPSLOPE AREAS...MOST
NOTABLY NORTH AND WEST OF DILLINGHAM WILL CONTINUE TO SEE PERIODS
OF RAIN AND SNOW. AS THE LOW DISSIPATES LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT THE UPPER LOW WILL OPEN INTO A TROUGH AND
SWING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA BRINGING A QUICK SHOT
OF PRECIP. ANOTHER LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN BERING
SATURDAY AND BRING SIMILAR IMPACTS AS THE CURRENT SYSTEM WITH STRONG
SOUTHEAST WINDS AND PRECIP FOCUSED MAINLY IN UPSLOPE AREAS.
BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...WINDS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING AS THE LOW WEAKENS OVER THE EASTERN BERING. THE
STORM DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL BOTTOM OUT ALONG
THE ALEUTIANS FRIDAY AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT QUICKLY TRACKS
TO THE EASTERN BERING SATURDAY. SINCE PRESSURE IS ALREADY VERY LOW
WITH THE CURRENT SYSTEM WINDS ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THIS NEXT LOW
WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS THE CENTRAL PRESSURE MIGHT LEAD ONE TO
THINK. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE MUCH TIGHTER ON THE SOUTH SIDE
OF THIS SYSTEM WHERE A SMALL AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED.
.LONG TERM FORECAST...ANOTHER POWERFUL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AND CURVE
NORTHWARD TOWARD MAINLAND ALASKA SUNDAY. THERE IS QUIET A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY IN THIS SOLUTION DUE TO LARGE MODEL SPREAD. THE LONG-WAVE
PATTERN OF TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE BERING AND NORTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC
AND RIDGING OVER WESTERN CANADA WILL MAINTAIN THIS VERY ACTIVE
PATTERN ACROSS THE ALASKA REGION.
.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...150 155.
GALE WARNING...120 130 132 138 160 165 170 172 179 180 185.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
SEB DEC 11The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Dec 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 15, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 16, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Dec 16, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.