Gale Warning 625, NWS Anchorage, AK

971 
FZAK51 PAFC 071446 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
535 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

UPDATED ZONES 121 AND 132

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-080300-
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 986 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 60 NM 
EAST OF SAND POINT AT 999 MB WED EVENING THEN DISSIPATE THU MORNING.
A 1003 MB LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC TO 290 NM SE OF 
KODIAK CITY THU NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-080300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT ALONG THE COAST 
E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-080300-
RESURRECTION BAY
645 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

.TODAY...S WINDS INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES 
HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ125-080300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
535 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS 
IN THE EASTERN SOUND. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-080300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-080300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT TOWARD KAMISHAK BAY. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-080300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
645 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-080300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-080300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-080300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

824 
FZAK51 PAFC 072356
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-081500-
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 995 MB LOW OVER BRISTOL BAY MOVES TO 80 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT
AND WEAKENS TO 1005 MB THURSDAY MORNING THEN DISSIPATES THURSDAY
NIGHT. A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTERS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
GULF OF ALASKA THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ120-081500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT ALONG THE COAST DURING THE
EVENING. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-081500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-081500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-081500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-081500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 2 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-081500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-081500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-081500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT BY LATE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 1 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-081500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED SEP 7 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

770 
FZAK51 PAFC 081201
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090300-
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1001 MB LOW 70 NM EAST OF SAND POINT DISSIPATES THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTERS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY.
$$

PKZ120-090300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-090300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.  
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-090300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-090300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-090300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-090300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-090300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-090300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-090300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT THU SEP 8 2011

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
530 AM AKDT TUE SEP 6 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
.UPPER LEVELS...AN IMPRESSIVE LONG WAVE TROUGH ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF
MAINLAND ALASKA AND THE GULF OF ALASKA. A 140 KT JET THAT LIES ALONG
THE WEST PERIPHERY OF THIS TROUGH IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING. STRONG
DOWNWARD VERTICAL MOTION ALONG THE JET ENTRANCE REGION IS HELPING TO
SUPPORT CLEAR AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
BERING. A RIDGE TO THE WEST OF THIS TROUGH...IS BUILDING EASTWARD AND
HELPING TO SUPPORT THE STRONG JET ALOFT.

.AT THE SURFACE...A 986 MB LOW CENTERED OVER KODIAK ISLAND IS
IMPACTING MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE SUPPORTING GAP WINDS ACROSS THE
SOUTHCENTRAL AREA AND SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH
REPORTED IN TURNAGAIN ARM OVERNIGHT AND GUSTS TO 55 MPH NEAR CORDOVA.
MEANWHILE...A LOW LEVEL JET ALONG THE BACKSIDE OF THIS LOW IS
SUPPORTING GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE EAST BERING. STRONG DOWNWARD
VERTICAL MOTION AND COLD AIR ADVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS LOW
LEVEL JET ARE SUPPORTING GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THE GAPS OF THE AKPEN
AND EAST ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GREAT AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM
ON THE DISSIPATION AND WESTWARD MOTION OF THE LOW NEAR KODIAK ISLAND.
MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE
TROUGH NARROWS AND DRAMATICALLY WEAKENS. HOWEVER...MODELS ARE STILL
IN DECENT AGREEMENT IN BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHCENTRAL
REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEKEND AND BRINGING A LOW INTO THE GULF
BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR KODIAK
ISLAND WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MUCH OF THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION TODAY
EVEN AS IT WEAKENS. AN ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL JET ALONG THE EAST GULF
OF ALASKA IS SUPPORTING GUSTS GREATER THAN 50 MPH. THIS JET WILL
BEGIN TO WEAKEN BY THIS EVENING AS THE KODIAK LOW WEAKENS AND
PROGRESSES WESTWARD. THE TURNAGAIN ARM GAP WINDS WILL RELAX TODAY AS
WELL...ALTHOUGH SOME GUSTS IN SOUTHERN ANCHORAGE ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.

WHILE DOWNSLOPING IS CURRENTLY KEEPING THE ANCHORAGE BOWL...MATANUSKA
VALLEY AND WEST KENAI PENINSULA MOSTLY DRY...LIGHT SHOWERS WILL
GRADUALLY FILL IN AS WINDS RELAX ACROSS THE REGION.
MEANWHILE...STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT RAIN ACROSS
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND INTO TONIGHT.

.SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ALASKA...A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND.
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY...BUT WILL BE SCATTERED
BY EVENING AS THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND SURFACE LOW DIMINISH.

.ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE EAST BERING WILL
ONLY BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY NIGHTFALL. AS A RESULT...GUSTY WINDS AND
RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TODAY AND
SLOWLY IMPROVE BY TOMORROW. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS...SUPPORTING LIGHT WINDS AND PATCHY FOG.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...A DYNAMIC PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
FORECAST REGION OVER THE NEXT WEEK. MODELS INDICATE A RIDGE WILL
BUILD OVER THE MAINLAND BRIEFLY THIS WEEKEND WHICH SHOULD HELP TO
IMPROVE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO THE GULF BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND WHICH WILL BRING BACK
UNSETTLED WEATHER.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...170 171 179 180 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

ELN SEP 11