Gale Warning 54, NWS Anchorage, AK

400 
FZAK51 PAFC 061745 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
845 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070300-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL DRIFT
SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE FRI MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS OVER
THE GULF THROUGH FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-070300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-070300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-070300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-070300-
PASSAGE CANAL
845 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-070300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 7
FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-070300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6
FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-070300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-070300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

477 
FZAK51 PAFC 070003
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071500-
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL DRIFT
SOUTHEAST AND DISSIPATE FRI. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS OVER
THE GULF THROUGH SAT.
$$

PKZ120-071500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND TO 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND TO 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-071500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-071500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 30
KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ129-071500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-071500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N AND W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-071500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-071500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-071500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY
FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-071500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU JAN 6 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKST WED JAN 5 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE EASTERN BERING. THE WEAK
UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF CONTINUES TO WEAKEN INTO A TROUGH. THE RIDGE
OVER WESTERN CANADA CONTINUES TO FLATTEN AS A STRONG UPPER LOW MOVES
TO NEAR BANKS ISLAND. A WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER BRISTOL BAY AND
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA HAD BROUGHT SOME SNOW TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

THE SURFACE LOW NEAR KODIAK ISLAND CONTINUES TO PUSH SHOWERS INTO
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE KENAI PENINSULA. AN INTENSE STORM SYSTEM
SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS CONTINUE TO REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
BUT RAPIDLY LOSE CONSENSUS OVER THE BERING SEA FRIDAY NIGHT ONWARD.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST
OVER WESTERN ALASKA THURSDAY AND THE CENTRAL MAINLAND AND THE WESTERN
GULF FRIDAY. SKIES WILL CLEAR OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH
FRIDAY. A LARGE UPPER LOW OVER EASTERN RUSSIA WILL PERSIST THROUGH
FRIDAY. STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND THE
BERING SEA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE WEAK LOW NEAR KODIAK ISLAND WILL SLOWLY
DRIFT SOUTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND DISSIPATE WEST OF THE
QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS FRIDAY. A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR BY FRIDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING. SKIES WILL CLEAR
FROM THE WEST THROUGH FRIDAY. GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT THEN WEAKEN THURSDAY.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE UPPER SHORT-WAVE ALONG THE COAST WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA BY THURSDAY MORNING. AREAS OF SNOW WILL DIMINISH
FROM THE WEST THROUGH TONIGHT. SKIES WILL THURSDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MORE CLOUDS AND SNOW, ASSOCIATED WITH A
BERING SEA STORM, WILL MOVE INTO THE COAST FRIDAY MORNING.

.BERING SEA...A LARGE INTENSE LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL
TURN NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THURSDAY MORNING INTO THE
NORTHERN BERING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING AND
DIMINISH TO MOSTLY GALES AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN BERING THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS THIS EVENING AND SPREAD IN THE THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
EASTERN BERING SEA TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WILL DEVELOP INTO A STRONG HIGH
OVER WESTERN ALASKA SUNDAY. LOWER PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER EASTERN
RUSSIA WITH A STRONG SOUTHERLY PERSISTING OVER THE BERING SEA. MOSTLY
OF MAINLAND ALASKA WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLD WHILE THE BERING

SEA WILL BE WARMER BUT STORMY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM...172 175 176
         GALE...130 170 171 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

NM JAN 11