Gale Warning 449, NWS Anchorage, AK

813 
FZAK62 PAFC 251113
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-260300-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 970 MB LOW NEAR 50N 169E WILL WEAKEN TO 977 MB SUN AFTERNOON AS
IT MOVES TO NEAR 54N 178W. IT WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING...ENDING UP
AT 987 MB MON AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 59N 174W.  

$$

PKZ411-260300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-260300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING E 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-260300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W OF 176W...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. E OF
176W...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-260300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

168 
FZAK62 PAFC 251758 CCA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
955 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

CORRECTED 413

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-260300-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 970 MB LOW NEAR 50N 169E WILL WEAKEN TO 977 MB SUN AFTERNOON AS
IT MOVES TO NEAR 54N 178W. IT WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING...ENDING UP
AT 987 MB MON AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES TO NEAR 59N 174W.  

$$

PKZ411-260300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-260300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING E 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-260300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W OF 176W...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. E OF 176W...E WIND 15 KT
INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. PATCHY
FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-260300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING 4 TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

728 
FZAK62 PAFC 252305
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-261500-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 969 MB LOW NEAR 50N 171E WILL MOVE TO NEAR 60N 172W MON AFTERNOON
AT 988 MB. 

$$

PKZ411-261500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-261500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-261500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-261500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT SAT JUN 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

591 
FZAK62 PAFC 261129
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 26 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-270300-
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 26 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 971 MB LOW NEAR 52N 178E WILL WEAKEN TO 989 MB MON AFTERNOON AS
IT MOVES TO NEAR 60N 170W. IT WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE IN PLACE TUE.

$$

PKZ411-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 26 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E OF 177W...E TO S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. 
W OF 177W...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 26 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-270300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT SUN JUN 26 2011

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
205 PM AKDT FRI JUN 24 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE PATTERN IS GETTING A LITTLE MORE ACTIVE TODAY AS A FEW SYSTEMS
ARE POISED TO IMPACT DIFFERENT AREAS OF THE STATE. THE LARGE BROAD
TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND
WESTERN INTERIOR HAS LOST MOST OF ITS ENERGY AS A SYSTEM RAPIDLY
DEVELOPS SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A WEST TO EAST ORIENTED 150
KT JET WILL DIG OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS HELPING TO DEVELOP A 970 MB
ALEUTIAN LOW.

AT THE BASE OF THE OLD TROUGH IS A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW THAT IS
SWINGING NORTHEAST. THIS MOVEMENT IS HELPING A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE GET
EJECTED FROM THE PANHANDLE TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL THIS EVENING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...AFTER DAYS OF SPECULATION IT SEEMS THAT THE
PICTURE IS BECOMING MORE CLEAR FOR THIS EVENINGS FORECAST CHALLENGES.
MODELS INITIALIZE WELL AND ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM. FOCUS WILL BE ON THE TWO SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE FAR
EAST AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR DOMAIN TODAY WITH NO CHANGES MADE TO
THE MID AND LONG RANGE FORECAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
EASTERLY WAVE SPREADING CLOUDS RAPIDLY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL TODAY. IT
APPEARS THE WETTER NAM SOLUTION FROM A FEW DAYS AGO WILL PAN OUT WITH
RAIN EXPECTED IN MOST AREAS OVERNIGHT. INITIALLY WILL HAVE TO WATCH
FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN COPPER
RIVER BASIN AND NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY WHERE CLEAR SKIES PREVAILED
THIS MORNING ALLOWING MAXIMUM HEATING. SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THIS
REGION ARE RANGING FROM 8 TO 14 DEGREES WARMER THAN THIS TIME
YESTERDAY.

A FEW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON BUT
THEN RAIN SPREAD OVER THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT. THE WAVE QUICKLY MOVES
INLAND BUT CLOUDS AND MOISTURE REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY
SATURDAY...LEADING TO PARTLY SUNNY SKIES AND SCATTERED SHOWERS.

THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL SEE PERIODS OF CLOUDS
AND SUN WITH MOISTURE STICKING AROUND. IT WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO
TIME INDIVIDUAL WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE LARGE TROUGH THAT IS
DEVELOPING IN THE BERING SEA...SO WILL HAVE TO STICK WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

.SOUTHWEST...CLOUDS AND AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST
WHILE THE INTERIOR SEES SOME SUNNY BREAKS. SIMILAR TO THE EASTERN
DOMAIN...THE INTERIOR PORTIONS THAT ARE SEEING SUN THIS MORNING HAVE
THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. CUMULUS ARE JUST NOW DEVELOPING ALONG THE
KUSKOKWIM RANGE SO WILL HAVE TO WATCH CAREFULLY FOR FURTHER
ENHANCEMENT FROM THE APPROACHING WAVE. SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING
ALSO LOOK PROMISING FOR THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WITH ANOTHER
SOUTHEASTERLY SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE AREA WHILE THETA-E REMAINS
ELEVATED ACROSS THE REGION. COASTAL SECTIONS SHOULD REMAIN CLOUDY AND
COOL DURING THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FURTHER WEST...ALL EYES OUT WEST ON A RELATIVELY STRONG SUMMER SYSTEM
DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. MODELS HAVE DIALED INTO A
CONSENSUS OF ABOUT 972 MB SATURDAY MORNING AND MAXIMUM GALES AS THE
LOW APPROACHES THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS IS ALL DUE TO A 150 KT JET
DIVING SOUTHWARD AND PICKING UP QUITE A BIT OF MOISTURE AND ENERGY
FROM THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC. BEGINNING LATE SATURDAY MORNING...THE LOW
WILL BEGIN TO FILL AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE CENTRAL BERING SEA EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MARCH ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS TOWARD SOUTHWEST ALASKA BUT LOSE MUCH OF ITS ENERGY ALONG
THE WAY. THE LARGE LOW STAYS IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING SEA
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE A WEAK RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE FAR
WESTERN BERING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 170 172 175 176 411 412 413 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

AB JUN 11