Gale Warning 296, NWS Anchorage, AK

659 
FZAK51 PAFC 292018 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1220 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

UPDATED 129 FOR WINDS


COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300300-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 978 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO
750 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 980 MB WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ120-300300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 35 KT ALONG THE COAST FROM MONTAGUE
ISLAND EAST. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-300300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-300300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-300300-
PASSAGE CANAL
1220 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011


.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 1 FOOT. RAIN. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-300300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 35 KT WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-300300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 10 FT SOUTH OF DANGEROUS
CAPE THIS MORNING. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-300300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-300300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-300300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

432 
FZAK51 PAFC 292355
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301500-
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 978 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 50 NM
NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU MORNING AT 996 MB AND THEN REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THU AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-301500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-301500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-301500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-301500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-301500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...8 FT
E OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-301500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-301500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-301500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-301500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE MAR 29 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKST MON FEB 28 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN REMAINS TODAY
WITH A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND
WESTERN ALASKA. THE 250 MB JET STREAM THAT HAS BEEN RIDING DUE NORTH
TO SOUTH AROUND THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE IS WEAKENING AND MOVING
SLOWLY EASTWARD AND WILL CEASE TO BE A SIGNIFICANT FEATURE BY
TOMORROW. THE MAIN JET STREAM CONTINUES TO STAY WELL SOUTH OF THE
AREA NEAR 30N.
THE SURFACE HIGH DOMINATES THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE AND STRETCHES
WESTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA AND EASTWARD WELL INTO CANADA.
THE LOW TRACK REMAINS SOUTHWEST OF THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS WITH A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY BETWEEN THE HIGH AND THE LOWS OVER THE CENTRAL TO
WESTERN BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN ISLANDS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE STILL DOING A GOOD JOB HANDLING THE
CURRENT PATTERN. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS WITH THE INDIVIDUAL LOWS ALONG
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST OF THE ALEUTIANS. THE
MODELS EACH HAVE A DIFFERENT IDEA AS TO WHERE THE INDIVIDUAL LOWS
WILL DEVELOP BUT THEY ALL HAVE THE BOUNDARY ITSELF IN THE SAME PLACE
AND THEREFORE THE IMPACT ON THE FORECAST WILL BE MINIMAL.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...THE HIGH WIND WARNINGS IN THE VALDEZ AREA AND
COPPER RIVER DELTA HAVE EXPIRED THIS AFTERNOON AS THE WINDS HAVE COME
DOWN ENOUGH TO REMAIN UNDER WARNING CRITERIA. THE WEAKENING OF THE
JET STREAM HAS BEEN A BIG FACTOR IN THIS AS WELL AS THE SOUTHWARD
MOVEMENT OF A LOW NEAR THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS. THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT TIGHT FOR A FEW MORE DAYS SO WINDS WILL
NOT COME DOWN ALL THE WAY FOR AWHILE IN THESE AREA.
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WILL REMAIN CLEAR WITH NORTHERLY WINDS THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO.
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THE NEXT FEW DAYS EXCEPT
FOR SOME HIGH CLOUDS THAT WILL SNEAK OVER THE RIDGE INTO THE AREA.
THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO SEE WARM
SOUTHEAST FLOW WITH PERIODS OF RAIN OVER THE AREA.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE WEATHER PATTERN WE ARE IN WILL CHANGE VERY
LITTLE THROUGH THE WEEK. BY NEXT WEEKEND THE UPPER RIDGE CENTER WILL
HAVE MOVED INTO THE ARCTIC OCEAN OPENING UP THE GULF OF ALASKA TO A
WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THIS WILL NOT HAVE A LOT OF IMPACT ON THE
WEATHER EXCEPT IT MAY BRING A FEW SNOW SHOWERS TO THE GULF OF ALASKA
COAST NEXT WEEKEND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 172 175 176.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 120 121 125 129 130 140.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

EZ FEB 11