Red Flag Warning 61, NWS Albuquerque, NM

801 
WWUS85 KABQ 272114
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
314 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR PORTIONS
OF THE EAST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND HIGH PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND
AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM SATURDAY EAST FROM THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AS WELL AS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
INCLUDING THE MAGDALENA AND DATIL RANGES DUE TO STRONG WIND AND
LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO THE LEE OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...GENERALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 25 SOUTHWARD TO LAS
VEGAS AS WELL AS ALONG INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN CLINES CORNERS TO
SANTA ROSA THROUGH THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. 

THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA DUE TO STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY
AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL EXPAND ACROSS MORE OF NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO ON SATURDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH NEARS THE STATE.
THE WARNING AREA WILL INCLUDE ALL OF THE AREA ALONG AND EAST OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS A GOOD PORTION OF THE WESTERN
MOUNTAINS INCLUDING THE CHUSKAS DOWN TO THE DATIL MOUNTAINS.

EXTREME CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS ON
SUNDAY WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS FOUND ELSEWHERE ACROSS MOST OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. EASTERN AREAS SHOULD OBSERVE WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY
VALUES...ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY AND STRONG TO VERY STRONG
WINDS.

NMZ103-107-108-280200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0059.110528T1700Z-110529T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0062.110528T1700Z-110529T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0060.110529T1600Z-110530T0400Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110528T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
314 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG
  INTESTATE 25 FROM RATON TO LAS VEGAS AS WELL AS INTERSTATE 40
  BETWEEN CLINES CORNERS TO SANTA ROSA THROUGH THE REST OF THIS
  AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
  EXPAND ACROSS ALL OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND INCLUDE MORE OF
  THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT
  FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE SUNDAY WITH EXTREME
  CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35
  TO 45 MPH REST OF TODAY. SLIGHTLY STRONGER OR MORE PERSISTENT ON
  SATURDAY WHILE TURNING MORE SOUTHWESTERLY. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS
  25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 TO 55 MPH POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS MOST
  AREAS WITH LOW/MID TEENS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE
  EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTOS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ104-105-109-280200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0059.110528T1700Z-110529T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0062.110528T1700Z-110529T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0060.110529T1600Z-110530T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
314 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AREA AND TIMING...WESTERN HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS LATE
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING ON SATURDAY WITH CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON SUNDAY. SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE THE
  MORE CRITICAL DAY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS WHILE SATURDAY
  COULD BE THE MORE CRITICAL DAY ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS.  

* 20 FOOT WINDS...WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
  BETWEEN 35 TO 45 MPH SATURDAY AND SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35
  MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 TO 55 MPH ON SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...SINGLE DIGITS EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
  LOWER ELEVATIONS INCLUDING THE NORTHEAST PLAINS. LOW/MID TEENS
  ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 OF
  THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ101-102-106-280200-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0060.110529T1600Z-110530T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
314 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ACROSS THE ENTIRE RIO GRANDE VALLEY SUNDAY
  INCLUDING THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
  BETWEEN 40 TO 50 MPH. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS
  WITH LOW/MID MID TEENS ABOVE 8500 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$
50

442 
WWUS85 KABQ 280142
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
742 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM SATURDAY EAST
FROM THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AS WELL AS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO INCLUDING THE MAGDALENA AND DATIL RANGES DUE TO STRONG
WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS
EVENING...BRINGING A BRIEF BREAK TO THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS IN PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO.

THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA DUE TO STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY
AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL REDEVELOP AND EXPAND ACROSS
MORE OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO ON SATURDAY AS AN UPPER
TROUGH NEARS THE STATE. THE WARNING AREA WILL INCLUDE ALL OF THE
AREA ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AS WELL AS A GOOD
PORTION OF THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS INCLUDING THE CHUSKAS DOWN TO THE
DATIL MOUNTAINS.

EXTREME CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS ON
SUNDAY WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS FOUND ELSEWHERE ACROSS MOST OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. EASTERN AREAS SHOULD OBSERVE
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY VALUES...
ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY...AND STRONG TO VERY STRONG WINDS.

NMZ103-107-108-281400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0061.000000T0000Z-110528T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0062.110528T1700Z-110529T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0060.110529T1600Z-110530T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
742 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL EXPAND ACROSS ALL OF
  THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND INCLUDE MORE OF THE EAST SLOPES OF THE
  CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
  APPEAR TO BE SUNDAY WITH EXTREME CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
  EASTERN PLAINS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
  BETWEEN 35 TO 45 MPH OR MORE WILL BE PERSISTENT ON SATURDAY.
  SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 TO 55
  MPH POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
  MOST AREAS WITH LOW/MID TEENS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG 
  THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTOS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ104-105-109-281400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0062.110528T1700Z-110529T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0060.110529T1600Z-110530T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
742 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...WESTERN HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS LATE 
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING ON SATURDAY WITH CRITICAL 
  CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON SUNDAY. SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE 
  THE MORE CRITICAL DAY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS WHILE 
  SATURDAY COULD BE THE MORE CRITICAL DAY ACROSS THE WESTERN 
  HIGHLANDS. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 35 TO 45 MPH SATURDAY AND SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 
  35 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 TO 55 MPH ON SUNDAY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...SINGLE DIGITS EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS THE 
  LOWER ELEVATIONS INCLUDING THE NORTHEAST PLAINS. LOW/MID 
  TEENS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF 
  INTERSTATE 40 OF THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ101-102-106-281400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0060.110529T1600Z-110530T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
742 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ACROSS THE ENTIRE RIO GRANDE VALLEY SUNDAY 
  INCLUDING THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  BETWEEN 40 TO 50 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS 
  WITH LOW/MID MID TEENS ABOVE 8500 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
322 AM MDT FRI MAY 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENTLY...SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO
WITH STALLED COLD FRONT DRAPED ALONG THE NORTHERN BORDER OF NEW
MEXICO...AND WEAK TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EASTERN
BORDER OF NEW MEXICO TO THE WEST TEXAS BIG BEND COUNTRY.
ALOFT...ELONGATED NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE GULF
OF ALASKA TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES CIRCULATING BREEZY WEST TO
NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS NEW MEXICO.

MODELS...IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK
WITH SOME DIFFERENCES IN UPSTREAM EVOLUTION STARTING TO APPEAR
NEAR THE END OF THE RUN IN THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND. PLAUSIBLE AND
ACCEPTED CONSENSUS MOVES TROUGH CORE OUT OF THE GULF OF ALASKA TO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY...BACKING STRENGTHENING FLOW
ALOFT OVER NEW MEXICO TO THE SOUTHWEST. CLOSED LOW MOVES SOUTHWARD
TO CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT STRENGTHENING
FURTHER OVER NEW MEXICO...AND THEN TROUGH BASE SHEARS RAPIDLY
NORTH AND EAST ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MEMORIAL DAY MORNING. FLOW ALOFT WILL VEER TO
ZONAL AND DECREASE ON MEMORIAL DAY AS BROAD RIDGE SETS UP FROM
NORTHERN MEXICO TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. RIDGE CORE REMAINS
SOLID FOR TUESDAY...AND SHIFTS GRADUALLY WESTWARD TO SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS FOR WEDNESDAY. UPSTREAM..CLOSED LOW WINDING
UP OFF THE OREGON COAST WEDNESDAY WILL DRIFT SLOWLY TO SAN
FRANCISCO BAY BY LATE FRIDAY AS RIDGE CORE SETS UP OVER OKLAHOMA
WITH WESTERN EXPANSION OVER NEW MEXICO. SOME DIFFERENCES IN
HANDLING THIS SAN FRANCISCO CLOSED LOW FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH
ECMWF KEEPING THE CLOSED LOW OFFSHORE AND EXPANDING RIDGE BROADLY
OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE U.S. GFS MORE PROGRESSIVE...OPENING
CLOSED LOW TO A WAVE AND MOVING THIS ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
AND ON TO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. IN THESE OUT PERIODS...GFS HAS BEEN
TRENDING TOWARD THE ECMWF SOLUTION...AND WILL KEEP THAT BASIC IDEA
GOING IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

NEAR TERM...TODAY THROUGH MEMORIAL DAY...WARM WRAP UP TO THE WORK
WEEK TODAY...WITH TEMPERATURES OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS IN DOUBLE
DIGITS ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS AND FLIRTING WITH RECORDS FOR THE DAY.
WESTERLY BREEZES WILL BECOME GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND SANGRE DE CRISTO SUMMITS AND UPPER
SLOPES...WITH SOME LOCAL GUSTS OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS OVER NEW MEXICO SETS
THE STAGE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE EASTERN
SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ADJACENT PLAINS. LITTLE
CHANGE TO OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURE PROFILES WHICH ARE RUNNING 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL MINIMUM TEMPERATURES.

FOR SATURDAY...SOME COOLER AIR SIFTING IN FROM THE NORTH AND
WEST...BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF DEFINITE FRONTAL STRUCTURE.
SURFACE LOW DEEPENING OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO COMBINED WITH
STRENGTHENING FLOW ALOFT AND GOOD AFTERNOON MIXING WILL SET UP A
WINDY DAY STATEWIDE. FORECAST WINDS ARE ALREADY AT ADVISORY LEVELS
FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAIN SUMMITS...AND OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND CHUSKA
MOUNTAINS ALONG AND NORTH OF WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE INTERSTATE 40
CORRIDOR. WINDS AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS SET UP ANOTHER DAY OF
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OVER MUCH OF THE STATE. BLIPS IN THE FLOW
ALOFT MAY WORK WITH SURFACE CONVERGENCE NEAR THE NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO LOW TO SET UP SOME VERY SPOTTY EVENING SHOWERS OVER THE
NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE...BUT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE
QUITE LIGHT AS FORECAST PRECIPITABLE WATER REMAINS WELL BELOW A
HALF INCH. TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
ALREADY IN THE FORECAST FOR ROSWELL AND CHAVES COUNTY...WITH
RECORDS IN SOME JEOPARDY ALONG A FORT SUMNER TO RATON LINE...AND
EASTWARD TOWARD THE TEXAS BORDER.

FOR SUNDAY...CLOSED LOW CENTERING WEATHER SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL
NEVADA...WITH SURFACE LOW DEEPENING RAPIDLY OVER THE FOUR CORNERS.
STRONG FRONTOGENESIS IN EVIDENCE...WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING
EASTWARD TOWARD THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE...AND COLD FRONT EXTENDING
WESTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.
TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WILL SET UP ANOTHER WINDY DAY ACROSS NEW MEXICO...WITH
WINDS ALREADY AT ADVISORY LEVELS IN THE TIGHTEST SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT FROM THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WESTWARD TO THE ARIZONA LINE.
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN SUMMITS AND ADJACENT PLAINS ARE STILL A FEW KNOTS
SHY OF ADVISORY THRESHOLD...BUT THESE MAY SEE SOME BOOSTS IN
GUIDANCE GOING FORWARD. WIND AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS ALSO
CONTINUES FIRE WEATHER WOE FOR AN ADDITIONAL DAY. SOMEWHAT COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL TAKE PRESSURE OFF THE RECORD BOOKS SUNDAY...BUT
THE EASTERN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE IN DOUBLE DIGIT EXCURSION ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMS...WITH CENTRAL AND WESTERN TEMPERATURES NORMAL OR A
FEW DEGREES BELOW. SHOWER COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED...AND MOSTLY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE STATE CLOSEST TO THE STRONGEST
DYNAMICS IN THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. PRECIPITABLE WATERS STILL LESS
THAN HALF AN INCH...THUS ISOLATED COVERAGE AND LITTLE MOISTURE
WILL PROVIDE LITTLE RELIEF FROM DRY CONDITIONS.

FOR MEMORIAL DAY...WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MAKE ITS MOVE NORTH AND
EAST MEMORIAL DAY MORNING...AS COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EASTWARD WITH
AUTHORITY. WIND FOCUS WILL SHIFT TO THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND
NORTHEAST PLAINS AS SURFACE TROUGH DEEPENS AND IS YANKED NORTHWARD
BY DEPARTING UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. WIND AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS
WILL SET UP ONE MORE DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER. CONVERGENCE IN
VICINITY OF SURFACE TROUGH OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO MAY BE ENOUGH
FOR SOME THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE MEMORIAL DAY...WITH
DEPRESSED LIFTED INDICES AND MU CAPES EXCEEDING 1000 J PER KG
MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND CLOSE TO THE TEXAS LINE.

OUTLOOK...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE EXPANDING OVER ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...AND SHOWER FOCUS SHIFTING TO CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW
MEXICO THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE TAPERING OFF IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY BY THURSDAY. INCREASED SHOWER COVERAGE WILL BE COURTESY
OF BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AROUND WESTERN MARGINS OF RIDGE
CORE...AND SOUTHEAST FLOW ACROSS NEW MEXICO DOING ITS BEST TO TUG
SOME GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE STATE...AND
MODELED PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL PUSH UP TOWARD AN INCH THROUGH
THURSDAY. TIMING WILL BE OF THE ESSENCE...AS RIDGE CORE EXPANDING
TOO RAPIDLY OR DISPLACED WESTWARD MAY EFFECTIVELY SHUT OFF THE
NORTHWEST MOISTURE ADVECTION. OTHERWISE...GENTLE WARMING TREND
THROUGH THE HEART OF THE HOLIDAY SHORTENED WORK WEEK WITH A MUCH
LESS WINDY PATTERN OVER THE STATE.

SHY

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AREAWIDE THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WEST WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN AGAIN TODAY AFTER 15Z OR 16Z WITH STRONGEST WINDS ALONG
THE WESTERN HIGH TERRAIN...CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND NW MTS DURING
THE 19Z TO 24Z PERIOD. WINDS TO DIMINISH LATER THIS EVE.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. 43

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES TODAY WITH WEST WINDS THE DOMINANT
DIRECTION. SURFACE WIND SPEEDS SHOULD BE A LITTLE LIGHTER TODAY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE...COMPARED TO THU...WITH AREAS NEAR AND A
LITTLE EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN SEEING THE HIGHEST SPEEDS.
THESE HIGH WINDS IN COMBINATION WITH CONTINUED LOW RH VALUES WILL
CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ABOUT 50 TO 75 MILES EITHER
SIDE OF A LINE FROM SANTA ROSA TO JUST WEST OF CLINES CORNERS...THUS
FIRE WX WATCH ISSUED EARLY THU FOR THIS AREA AND TIME PERIOD WILL BE
UPGRADED TO RED FLAG WARNING. FIRE WX WATCH ALSO HOISTED FOR SAT
ACROSS MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL MTNS REGION...NORTHERN GILA AND ALSO
AREAS EAST FROM CENTRAL MTN CHAIN TO TX LINE. BOTH OF COURSE ARE DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH. DETAILS IN SOON TO BE ISSUED RFW
PRODUCT. SINGLE DIGIT  RH VALUES COMMON THIS AFTN ACROSS NEARLY ALL
OF RED FLAG WARNING AREA AND 5 TO 15 PERCENT ACROSS FIRE WX WATCH
SAT. SKIES TO CONTINUE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY AND TEMPERATURES WILL
BE ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NM TODAY
THROUGH SUN.

MOST OF SOUTHEAST HALF TO TWO THIRDS OF FCST AREA WILL LIKELY SEE
CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS AGAIN SUN. GUSTY W TO SW WINDS AND
LOW RH VALUES WILL BRING THIS ABOUT ONCE AGAIN. HIGH TO VERY HIGH
HAINES VALUES MUCH OF AREA TODAY AND AGAIN SAT...THEN BY SUN AND
ESPECIALLY MON WESTERN AREAS WILL SEE DROP IN THOSE VALUES AS COOLER
AIR SEEPS IN...YET WINDS MAY BE THEIR STRONGEST MORE AREAS THAN NOT
SUN COMPARED TO REST OF HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

EXTENDED MODELS INDICATE A POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED PRECIPITATION
CHANCES INTO THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK...FIRST IN THE
EAST AND THEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. NEAR
THE EARLY STAGES OF THIS POTENTIAL PATTERN CHANGE...THERE STILL MAY
BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR DRY LIGHTNING. AT THIS TIME THOUGH THIS LOOKS
LIKE IT MAY MORE OF A BOTTOM UP MOISTENING RATHER THAN TOP DOWN...
WHICH COULD HELP MITIGATE RISK OF MAJOR DRY LIGHTNING RISK. AT LEAST
ONE EXTENDED FCST MODEL STILL FAVORS FEWER OR LIGHTER SHOWERS AND
STORMS THAN THE OTHERS...SO CONFIDENCE IN SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD
WETTING STILL JUST MODERATE AT BEST.

43

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  83  49  84  55 /   0   0   0   0
DULCE...........................  76  39  77  41 /   0   0   5   5
CUBA............................  79  45  79  46 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  79  46  78  52 /   0   0   0   0
EL MORRO........................  77  45  73  48 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  80  45  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  81  47  81  49 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  90  54  89  58 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  70  33  73  36 /   0   0   5   5
LOS ALAMOS......................  81  46  81  46 /   0   0   0   0
PECOS...........................  81  46  83  47 /   0   0   0   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  76  39  77  41 /   0   5   0   5
RED RIVER.......................  64  38  70  42 /   0   5   5  10
ANGEL FIRE......................  69  39  74  40 /   0   5   5  10
TAOS............................  78  41  80  46 /   0   0   0   5
MORA............................  79  44  81  46 /   0   0   0  10
ESPANOLA........................  84  47  87  51 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  82  47  83  47 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  84  49  85  50 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  85  57  86  57 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  86  59  88  59 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  88  55  89  55 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  86  56  88  56 /   0   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  91  53  90  53 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  87  56  88  56 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  94  63  94  61 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  81  52  82  54 /   0   0   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  84  54  85  52 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  85  47  86  46 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  82  50  82  52 /   0   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  88  54  88  56 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  89  57  90  59 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  85  59  86  58 /   0   0   0   5
CAPULIN.........................  80  45  84  49 /   0   5   5  20
RATON...........................  83  44  86  46 /   0   5   5  20
SPRINGER........................  86  47  87  50 /   0   5   5  10
LAS VEGAS.......................  81  50  84  50 /   0   0   0   5
CLAYTON.........................  83  51  88  53 /   5   5   5  20
ROY.............................  84  51  88  59 /   0   5   5  10
CONCHAS.........................  91  56  94  59 /   0   5   0   5
SANTA ROSA......................  92  57  95  59 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  93  57  97  59 /   0   5   0  10
CLOVIS..........................  93  57  95  57 /   0   5   0   5
PORTALES........................  94  58  96  58 /   0   5   0   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  97  60  97  59 /   0   0   0   5
ROSWELL......................... 101  63 103  62 /   0   0   0   5
PICACHO.........................  91  58  95  61 /   0   0   0   5
ELK.............................  87  58  90  59 /   0   0   0   5

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103>105-107>109.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-107-108.

&&

SHY/43

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
503 AM MDT THU MAY 26 2011

NMZ501>540-271200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
503 AM MDT THU MAY 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THIS EVENING FOR THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...AND
FROM THE CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EAST TO THE TEXAS
BORDER...WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL
CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FROM THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE WEST ALONG THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR...AND
OVER THE SUMMITS AND HIGHER SLOPES OF THE NORTHERN SAN JUAN AND
SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS...THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS...AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS WHERE
LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER WILL REDEVELOP SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...AND OVER
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO ON MEMORIAL DAY.

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO ON TUESDAY...AND
OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY...MAY CONTAIN
HAIL...STRONG WINDS...AND LOCAL DOWNPOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

CONTACT YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AT 911 AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 1.888.386.7637 OR VIA AMATEUR RADIO OR THE INTERNET TO
REPORT WILDFIRE OUTBREAKS...MEASURED WIND SPEEDS OR OBSERVED WIND
IMPACTS.

SHY