Red Flag Warning 59, NWS Albuquerque, NM

700 
WWUS85 KABQ 250413
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1013 PM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY LATE MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND
PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL WEATHER SYSTEM OVER EASTERN COLORADO 
COMBINED WITH RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHWEST
KANSAS AND THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A BROAD
AREA OF STRONG WINDS WEDNESDAY. VERY LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS
WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR...WITH THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS
FROM CLINES CORNERS TO SANTA ROSA.

NMZ107-108-251400-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-110525T0500Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0059.110525T1600Z-110526T0100Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
1013 PM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO
7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ON WEDNESDAY...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
  WILL BE MAINLY LIMITED TO THE AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
  40 BETWEEN CLINES CORNERS AND SANTA ROSA.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103>106-109-250515-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FW.W.0058.000000T0000Z-110525T0500Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
1013 PM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE INCREASED AND WIND SPEEDS HAVE DIMINISHED
THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED.

$$

434 
WWUS85 KABQ 251401
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
801 AM MDT WED MAY 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH
THIS EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND
PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCEPT MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW 
HUMIDITY...

.AREAS OF FAIRLY STRONG WINDS AGAIN TODAY MAINLY ACROSS MUCH OF
TORRANCE...GUADALUPE AND WESTERN DE BACA COUNTIES...THOUGH NOT
QUITE AS STRONG AS TUESDAY. VERY LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS
WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS NEAR AND SOUTH OF
THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR...WITH THE MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS
NEAR AND SOUTH FROM CLINES CORNERS TO SANTA ROSA. CRITICAL
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO EXPAND CONSIDERABLY THURSDAY TO COVER
MAJORITY OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

NMZ107-108-252130-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0057.110526T1900Z-110527T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0059.110525T1600Z-110526T0100Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
801 AM MDT WED MAY 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY MAINLY
  LIMITED TO THE AREA NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN
  CLINES CORNERS AND SANTA ROSA...EXPANDING THURSDAY TO COVER MOST
  OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCEPT MOST OF NORTHWEST PLATEAU
  AND MIDDLE TO LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
  45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 15 PERCENT TODAY AND 5 TO 13 PERCENT
  THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ102>105-109-252130-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0057.110526T1900Z-110527T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
801 AM MDT WED MAY 25 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING COVERING MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
  NEW MEXICO EXCEPT MOST OF NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND MIDDLE TO LOWER
  RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
  45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...7 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

963 
WWUS85 KABQ 252135
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
335 PM MDT WED MAY 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS
AND PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCEPT THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW
HUMIDITY...

.GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST UNTIL AROUND SUNSET SUPPORTING
A LIMITED AREA OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR INCLUDING EAST TORRANCE AND WEST GUADALUPE
COUNTIES. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE IN THIS AREA THIS
EVENING AS A WIND SHIFT MOVES THROUGH THE EASTERN PLAINS. ON
THURSDAY...WEST WINDS...STRONGEST OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND EAST
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...WILL SCOUR OUT THE MOISTURE. CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP COVERING PORTIONS OF NORTH
AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

NMZ107-108-260100-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0059.000000T0000Z-110526T0100Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0057.110526T1900Z-110527T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
335 PM MDT WED MAY 25 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...FOR TODAY...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
  WILL BE LIMITED TO THE AREA SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN
  CLINES CORNERS AND SANTA ROSA. FOR THURSDAY...CRITICAL
  CONDITIONS WILL EXPAND TO COVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
  HIGHLANDS AND EASTERN PLAINS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR
  30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON THURSDAY...WEST WINDS OF 20 TO
  25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 TO 15 PERCENT TODAY AND 5 TO 13 PERCENT 
  THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ102>105-109-260100-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0057.110526T1900Z-110527T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
335 PM MDT WED MAY 25 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING COVERING PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
  CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCEPT MOST OF NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND MIDDLE
  TO LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 OR 40
  MPH...STRONGEST OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...7 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

894 
WWUS85 KABQ 260047
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
647 PM MDT WED MAY 25 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCEPT THE MIDDLE AND LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY AND NORTHWEST PLATEAU DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW
HUMIDITY...

.INCREASING ZONAL FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH DEEPENING SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL CREATE GUSTY WEST WINDS
THURSDAY. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN HIGH TERRAIN AS
WELL AS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND THE ADJACENT HIGHLANDS. 

NMZ107-108-261400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0059.000000T0000Z-110526T0100Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0057.110526T1900Z-110527T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
647 PM MDT WED MAY 25 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...FOR THURSDAY... CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL
  EXPAND TO COVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND EASTERN
  PLAINS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 TO 13 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ102>105-109-261400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0057.110526T1900Z-110527T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
647 PM MDT WED MAY 25 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY 
  AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING COVERING PORTIONS OF NORTH AND 
  CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EXCEPT MOST OF NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND MIDDLE 
  TO LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...WEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 OR 
  40 MPH...STRONGEST OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...7 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
300 PM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LOW CIRCULATION OVER SE/SC COLORADO THIS
AFTERNOON...AND FORECAST TO DRIFT INTO SW KS AROUND SUNSET. ISOLATED
DRY SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 INTO THE
EARLY EVENING...AS WILL ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES...BUT THE STRIKES
SHOULD BE CONFINED TO LOCALES CLOSER TO THE COLORADO BORDER THAN
INTERSTATE 40. CLOUDS AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS/TSTMS SHOULD DIMINISH
AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW INTENSIFIES OVER CENTRAL KS.

WHILE IT/S BEEN WINDY TODAY...HIGH WIND CRITERIA HAS BEEN MET ONLY
AT A COUPLE OF WEATHER OBSERVING SITES SO FAR. NOT QUITE READY TO
GIVE UP ON IT YET...THE RUC IS STILL INDICATING THE STRONGEST WINDS
ALOFT WILL MIGRATE NORTH AND EASTWARD BETWEEN NOW AND SUNSET...SO
POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS. ELSEWHERE...WIND ADVISORY STILL ON TRACK.
QUESTION IS WHETHER OR NOT TO EXPAND AREA INTO THE SANGRE DE CRISTOS
WHILE HOLDING ONTO THE NORTHEAST ZONES...ALL WHILE EXTENDING THE
EXPIRATION TIME INTO THE LATE NIGHT HOURS. THE SURFACE LOW BOMBS
EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH THE GRADIENT TIGHTENING OVER NORTH CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO FROM SUNSET THRU AT LEAST
MIDNIGHT...APPROACHING 20 MB.  MET AND EVEN THE RECENTLY TOO HIGH
MAV GUIDANCE DON/T FORECAST WINDS ANYWHERE CLOSE TO ADVISORY LEVELS
UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING. PLAN RIGHT NOW IS TO LET THE CURRENT
HIGHLIGHTS RIDE...AND LET EVENING SHIFT RECONFIGURE AS NECESSARY.

FOR WEDNESDAY A SHORT LIVED UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE
WEST...ALLOWING FOR WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS AREAS FAVORED IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A FRONT IS STILL PROGGED TO DROP INTO THE
NORTHEAST PLAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD HIGHER HUMIDITIES IN
ITS WAKE ALL THE WAY INTO SOUTHEAST NM...AND UP AGAINST THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WHILE SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEWPOINTS MAY
EVEN BLEED INTO THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...MODELS INDICATE THE
MOISTURE IS SHALLOW AND SCOURS OUT FOR THE MOST PART...AS WESTERLY
WINDS INCREASE THURSDAY. THIS IS A CHANGE FROM A COUPLE OF DAYS AGO
WHEN THE MODELS HELD THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE STATE. DESPITE THE
INCREASE IN MOISTURE...THERE ISN/T ANY INSTAB FORECAST SO HAVE NOT
RAISED POPS NEAR THE TX BORDER. ANOTHER SURFACE BOUNDARY MAY DIP
INTO THE NORTHEAST FRIDAY...THEN ANOTHER BEHEMOTH OF A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM DEVELOPS INTO THE GREAT BASIN FOR THE COMING WEEKEND. GFS HAS
BEEN REMARKABLY CONSISTENT IN FORECASTING SOME DRYLINE ACTIVITY OVER
EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST NM LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...A FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY CROSSING
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS
AND SHOWERS INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...OR AROUND O4Z. ISOLATED
MFVR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES AND OCCASIONAL MTN TOP OBSCURATIONS
ARE POSSIBLE...GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM KFMN TO KSAF TO KLVS
TO KCAO. WIDESPREAD GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST SURFACE WINDS WILL
PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...OR AROUND 02Z TO 04Z...WITH
SUSTAINED SFC WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KTS AND GUSTS TO 40KTS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. SOME AREAS OF
BLOWING DUST IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE WINDS. ELSEWHERE...VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. OVERNIGHT...THE DEPARTING SYSTEM WILL SUPPORT
NORTHWEST WINDS...WITH STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS LIKELY ALONG THE EAST
SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN THROUGH 12Z WED. VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ALL AREAS AFTER 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS STRONGEST EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS INCLUDING
KCQC AND IN THE EXTREME NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE INCLUDING
KCAO.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 09Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED JET
CROSS NEW MEXICO. SPOTTY...MOSTLY HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS AND
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOST ZONES INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. ONLY LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
GROUND. GOOD RH RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH
TERRAIN...BUT POOR RECOVERIES WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL
VALLEYS TO THE EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW MOVE EAST OF THE STATE
TONIGHT...THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT NORTHWEST FLOW.
DOWNSLOPE WINDS ARE LIKELY EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN.

SHORT WAVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS WEST OF NEW MEXICO ON
WEDNESDAY...SUPPORTING GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS.  DRY
AIR WITH SINGLE DIGIT MIN RH VALUES CONTINUE FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT
THE NORTH CENTRAL HIGH TERRAIN AND EXTREME NORTHEAST PLAINS.  THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN A LIMITED AREA OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
FROM AROUND NOON THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...MAINLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 FROM CLINES CORNERS TO SANTA ROSA.
THE WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

A BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE EASTERN PLAINS OVERNIGHT...USHERING IN SOME
INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND COOLER AIR.  THAT SAID...
TEMPERATURES REBOUND ALL ZONES ON THURSDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE
FLATTENS AND SHIFTS TO THE EAST.  ZONAL FLOW ALOFT AND A LEE TROUGH
ACROSS THE EAST RESULT IN GUSTY WEST WINDS ACROSS THE HIGHEST
TERRAIN OF THE WEST AND NORTH AND SOUTHWEST FLOW EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS. VERY DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS PERSIST ALL ZONES AND WE WILL
NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR POSSIBLE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY.  HELD OFF ON A WATCH FOR NOW.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LOOKS TO MOVE OVER THE GREAT BASIN BY
SUNDAY...WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM.  MORE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY. EXTENDED MODELS STILL
CONTINUE TO HINT AT A POTENTIAL FOR THE DRYLINE TO EDGE INTO THE
EXTREME EASTERN PLAINS LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...SUPPORTING A THREAT
OF DRY LIGHTNING ALONG WESTERN FRINGES OF THE LOW MOISTURE SURGE.

05

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  42  76  45  82 /  10   0   0   0
DULCE...........................  32  70  33  76 /  10   0   0   0
CUBA............................  34  71  38  78 /   5   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  35  72  42  78 /   0   0   0   0
EL MORRO........................  33  70  38  76 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  36  75  40  80 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  37  73  41  82 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  45  85  48  88 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  27  65  33  69 /  10   5   0   5
LOS ALAMOS......................  40  71  42  76 /   5   0   0   0
PECOS...........................  38  71  37  77 /   5   0   0   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  30  68  35  75 /  10   5   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  28  60  28  63 /  10  10   5   5
ANGEL FIRE......................  35  64  31  71 /  10   5   5   5
TAOS............................  31  70  36  77 /   0   0   0   0
MORA............................  37  69  38  75 /  10   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  39  77  40  83 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  39  73  42  79 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  44  76  44  81 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  46  77  51  83 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  51  79  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  47  80  49  87 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  46  78  48  87 /   0   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  46  82  51  88 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  46  79  50  87 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  53  84  54  91 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  42  72  47  79 /   0   0   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  45  76  50  81 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  43  76  43  81 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  42  71  43  77 /   0   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  48  78  46  84 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  54  80  51  87 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  54  79  51  83 /   0   0   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  40  68  39  77 /  20   5   5   5
RATON...........................  41  71  40  80 /   5   5   5   0
SPRINGER........................  42  74  42  79 /   0   0   5   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  43  72  41  77 /   0   0   0   0
CLAYTON.........................  46  70  45  81 /  10   5   5   0
ROY.............................  45  71  45  80 /   0   0   0   0
CONCHAS.........................  49  80  49  86 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  50  80  49  87 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  51  81  50  90 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  50  80  49  87 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  50  82  50  88 /   0   0   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  53  87  51  92 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  56  92  54  96 /   0   0   0   0
PICACHO.........................  53  84  49  88 /   0   0   0   0
ELK.............................  50  79  48  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ103>109.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
NMZ519-521>525-528>533.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ107-108.

HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ526-534>540.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
550 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

NMZ501>540-251200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
550 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AS A POTENT UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH PASSES NORTH OF NEW MEXICO AND A STRONG SURFACE TROUGH
DEVELOPS IN THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE FELT ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM RUIDOSO TO
TUCUMCARI...WHERE GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED. ELSEWHERE ALONG
AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...WIND DUSTS WILL REACH 40
TO 55 MPH. PLEASE REVIEW THE LATEST WIND ADVISORY AND HIGH WIND
WARNING FOR MORE DETAILS.

ACCOMPANYING THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE LOW HUMIDITIES. A RED FLAG
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST AREAS TODAY AND THIS EVENING...EXCEPT
FOR THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. EXTREME
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS EAST AND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST
CENTRAL PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM LATE MORNING
THROUGH EARLY EVENING FROM THE SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS
EASTWARD ONTO WESTERN PARTS OF THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS...WHERE
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS MAY COMBINE WITH LOW HUMIDITIES TO PRODUCE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THE DRY LINE MAY
BECOME ACTIVE FOR THE FIRST TIME THIS YEAR WITH ISOLATED STRONG TO
POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND FAR
EASTERN PLAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED SUNDAY AND MONDAY DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING IN COUNTIES ALONG THE TEXAS BORDER AND ALSO IN CHAVES
COUNTY.

44

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1046 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

NMZ527-530-241715-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-UNION COUNTY-
1046 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN COLFAX AND
NORTHWESTERN UNION COUNTIES THROUGH 1115 AM MDT...

AT 1043 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES WEST OF FOLSOM...OR ABOUT 15 MILES
NORTHWEST OF DES MOINES...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...FOLSOM.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 10364 3677 10411 3695 10418 3701 10397
      3700 10369
TIME...MOT...LOC 1646Z 252DEG 22KT 3689 10403

40

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1105 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

NMZ530-241730-
UNION COUNTY-
1105 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN UNION COUNTY THROUGH 1130
AM MDT...

AT 1100 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CLAYTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE CLAYTON...THEN MAINLY RURAL
AREAS OF EASTERN UNION COUNTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 10301 3636 10302 3631 10323 3648 10330
      3658 10299 3649 10299
TIME...MOT...LOC 1704Z 252DEG 22KT 3642 10316

40

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1114 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

NMZ527-530-241745-
RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-UNION COUNTY-
1114 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN UNION COUNTY THROUGH
1145 AM MDT...

AT 1110 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF FOLSOM...OR ABOUT 10 MILES
NORTH OF DES MOINES...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN
UNION COUNTY.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3683 10338 3681 10388 3699 10391 3701 10376
      3700 10340
TIME...MOT...LOC 1714Z 264DEG 24KT 3691 10377

40