Alert archive / New Mexico / Red Flag Warnings in 2011

Red Flag Warning 53, NWS Albuquerque, NM

May 16, 2011Harding County, San Miguel County, Union County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this red flag warning at May 16, 2011, 4:23 AM MDT for Harding County, San Miguel County, Union County, New Mexico. It took effect at May 17, 2011, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 16, 2011, 4:23 AM MDT (10:23 UTC)
In effect from
May 17, 2011, 11:00 AM MDT
Expired
May 17, 2011, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM

Counties Harding County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2011-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2011-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2572 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

881 
WWUS85 KABQ 161023
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
423 AM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR
THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.STRONG MIXING AND INCREASED WIND SPEEDS ALOFT WILL RESULT IN
INCREASED 20 FOOT WINDS ACROSS WESTERN NEW MEXICO TODAY.
PERSISTENT DRY CONDITIONS IN COMBINATION WITH THESE STRONG WINDS
WILL PRODUCE SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS. ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM CROSSING THE GREAT BASIN
COMBINED WITH A SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHEAST COLORADO WILL RESULT IN
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
PLAINS.

NMZ104-108-162130-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FW.A.0049.110516T1900Z-110517T0200Z/
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0050.110517T1700Z-110518T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0053.110517T1700Z-110518T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0051.110518T1800Z-110519T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
423 AM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY. A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
  BY THE NOON HOUR ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS ON
  TUESDAY. THOUGH NEARLY ALL OF THE NORTHEAST PLAINS WILL BE
  AFFECTED...FAVORED AREAS FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE WEST
  OF A NEWKIRK TO FORT SUMNER LINE ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS.
  ON WEDNESDAY...CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP EARLY IN THE
  AFTERNOON...AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING. FAVORED AREAS ON
  WEDNESDAY WILL BE ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SEDAN...TO SANTA
  ROSA...TO YESO.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
  ON TUESDAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER ON WEDNESDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT ON TUESDAY...AND
  BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-162130-
/O.CAN.KABQ.FW.A.0049.110516T1900Z-110517T0200Z/
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0050.110517T1700Z-110518T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0053.110517T1700Z-110518T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
423 AM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
  BY LATE MORNING ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL
  HIGHLANDS. CONDITIONS WILL BE MOST WIDESPREAD BETWEEN 2 AND 6
  PM. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
  MPH. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ105-162130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0052.110516T1900Z-110517T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
423 AM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BY MID
  AFTERNOON AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE
  NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS. AREAS AFFECTED WILL GENERALLY BE WEST OF THE
  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. THE MOST WIDESPREAD CONDITIONS WILL BE
  BETWEEN 2 AND 6 PM.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 7 AND 12 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

34
5 follow-up statements
786 
WWUS85 KABQ 162101
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
301 PM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS THROUGH SUNSET. WIND SPEEDS
WILL DECREASE AND HUMIDITIES WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER TEENS BY MID
EVENING TO EASE THESE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. ON TUESDAY...A WEATHER
SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN COMBINED WITH DEEPENING
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO WILL COMBINE WITH
AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES IN THE LOW TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS TO PRODUCE
A BROAD AREA OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER THE NORTHEAST AND EAST
CENTRAL PLAINS AND ADJACENT CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND NORTHEAST
HIGHLANDS. CONDITIONS WILL BE MOST SEVERE OVER THE EASTERN
FOOTHILLS AND NEARBY PLAINS. FOR WEDNESDAY...THE WEATHER SYSTEM
WILL MOVE TO NORTHWEST ARIZONA WITH CONTINUED DEEPENING OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OVER THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITIES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE MOST SEVERE NEAR THE
TEXAS BORDER.

NMZ104-108-170200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0053.110517T1700Z-110518T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0051.110518T1800Z-110519T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
301 PM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ON TUESDAY...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
  BY NOON...WITH THE MOST SEVERE CONDITIONS GENERALLY WEST OF A
  LINE FROM ROY TO ROSWELL. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE OVERNIGHT BUT
  REDEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
  EVENING. EXPECT THE MOST SEVERE CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY EAST OF A
  LINE FROM CLAYTON...TO SANTA ROSA...TO ROSWELL.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 25 MPH
  TUESDAY...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ON
  WEDNESDAY...GUSTS WILL REDEVELOP AND REACH 40 MPH BY WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT ON TUESDAY...AND 
  BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ105-170200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0052.000000T0000Z-110517T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
301 PM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
  EVENING...WITH MOST SEVERE CONDITIONS WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL
  DIVIDE AND ALONG THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR TO THE ARIZONA LINE.
  DECREASING WINDS AND INCREASING HUMIDITIES AFTER SUNSET WILL
  EASE THESE RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 7 AND 12 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-170200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0053.110517T1700Z-110518T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
301 PM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL 
  DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND 
  CENTRAL HIGHLANDS. CONDITIONS WILL BE MOST WIDESPREAD BETWEEN 
  2 AND 6 PM. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

SHY
847 
WWUS85 KABQ 170150
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
750 PM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
THE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A WEATHER SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN WILL COMBINE WITH
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IN NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO ON TUESDAY.
STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS TO MID-TEENS TO PRODUCE A BROAD AREA OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS AND ADJACENT CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO BE MOST SEVERE ACROSS THE
EASTERN FOOTHILLS AND NEARBY PLAINS. FOR WEDNESDAY...THE WEATHER
SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO NORTHWEST ARIZONA WITH CONTINUED DEEPENING OF
LOW PRESSURE TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST
CENTRAL PLAINS. WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...RED
FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE MOST SEVERE NEAR THE TEXAS BORDER.

NMZ105-170300-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0052.000000T0000Z-110517T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
750 PM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE EASING ACROSS THE REGION...THEREFORE THE
RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT.

$$

NMZ104-108-171400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0053.110517T1700Z-110518T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0051.110518T1800Z-110519T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
750 PM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BY NOON ON
  TUESDAY...WITH THE MOST SEVERE CONDITIONS GENERALLY WEST OF A
  LINE FROM ROY TO ROSWELL. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE OVERNIGHT BUT
  WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO
  THE EVENING HOURS. EXPECT THE MOST SEVERE CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
  EAST OF A LINE FROM CLAYTON TO SANTA ROSA TO ROSWELL.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH ON TUESDAY WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. ON WEDNESDAY...STRONG WINDS WILL REDEVELOP
  WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH BY AFTERNOON.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT ON TUESDAY AND
  BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-171400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0053.110517T1700Z-110518T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
750 PM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
TUESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL 
  DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND 
  CENTRAL HIGHLANDS. CONDITIONS WILL BE MOST WIDESPREAD BETWEEN 
  2 AND 6 PM MDT. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

DPORTER
784 
WWUS85 KABQ 170954
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
354 AM MDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TODAY FOR
THE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY...

.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER WEATHER
SYSTEM WILL COMBINE WITH DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IN
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO TO CREATE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE
PLAINS. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO MID TEENS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN TODAY. ON
WEDNESDAY...THE MAIN UPPER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE FOUR
CORNERS AREA...INCREASING WINDS ALOFT FURTHER. THIS COMBINED WITH
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTHEAST COLORADO WILL
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS.
THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 12 AND 15
PERCENT WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN.

NMZ104-108-172130-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0051.110518T1800Z-110519T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0054.110518T1800Z-110519T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0053.110517T1700Z-110518T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
354 AM MDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
  BY NOON TODAY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS. THE
  EXCEPTION WILL BE CURRY AND ROOSEVELT COUNTIES WHERE WIND SPEEDS
  WILL LIKELY BE TOO LIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE OVERNIGHT...
  HOWEVER...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP EARLY
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. FAVORED
  AREAS FOR RED FLAG CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE EAST OF A
  LINE FROM CLAYTON...TO SANTA ROSA...TO YESO.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR
  35 MPH TODAY. SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT TODAY AND 
  BETWEEN 12 AND 15 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-172130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0053.110517T1700Z-110518T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
354 AM MDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
  BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND THE
  SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS. CONDITIONS WILL FAVOR
  AREAS JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND WILL BE MOST
  WIDESPREAD BETWEEN 2 AND 6 PM MDT.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

34
413 
WWUS85 KABQ 172106
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
306 PM MDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TODAY FOR
THE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A WEATHER SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST TO THE
FOUR CORNERS ON WEDNESDAY...AND THEN CURVE NORTH AND EAST OVER
COLORADO ON THURSDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING OVER
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO WILL SUPPORT GUSTY WINDS OVER EASTERN NEW
MEXICO WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH
HUMIDITIES IN THE LOW TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE EASTERN AND
NORTHEAST PLAINS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
EACH AFTERNOON. AS THE WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS ON FRIDAY AND COOLER AIR OVERSPREADS THE STATE...DANGEROUS
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EASE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

NMZ104-108-180300-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0052.110519T1800Z-110520T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0053.000000T0000Z-110518T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0054.110518T1800Z-110519T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
306 PM MDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
  ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS BEFORE EASING AFTER
  SUNSET. EXPECT LESS SEVERE CONDITIONS OVER CURRY AND ROOSEVELT
  COUNTIES WHERE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE REDUCED. CRITICAL FIRE
  WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
  PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. FAVORED AREAS FOR RED FLAG
  CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE EAST OF A LINE FROM CLAYTON...
  TO SANTA ROSA...TO YESO IN WESTERN DE BACA COUNTY. ON
  THURSDAY...RED FLAG CONDITIONS MAY REDEVELOP OVER THESE SAME
  AREAS BY AFTERNOON...WITH CONDITIONS EASING BY MID EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH FOR
  THE REMAINDER OF TODAY...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT FOR THE REMAINDER
  OF TODAY AND BETWEEN 12 AND 15 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-180300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0053.000000T0000Z-110518T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
306 PM MDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND THE
  SANDIA...MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS. THE MOST SEVERE
  CONDITIONS OVER THE EASTERN SLOPES AND ADJACENT PLAINS OF THE
  CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 6 PM MDT AND
  EASE AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

SHY
851 
WWUS85 KABQ 180309
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
909 PM MDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.A WEATHER SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL MOVE SOUTHWEST TO THE
FOUR CORNERS ON WEDNESDAY THEN CURVE NORTH AND EAST OVER COLORADO
ON THURSDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING OVER NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO WILL SUPPORT GUSTY WINDS OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH HUMIDITIES IN THE LOW
TEENS AND SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHEAST PLAINS WILL
PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON. AS THE
WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY AND COOLER
AIR OVERSPREADS THE STATE...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
EASE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

NMZ104-108-181400-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0053.000000T0000Z-110518T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0054.110518T1800Z-110519T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0052.110519T1800Z-110520T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
909 PM MDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
  REDEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
  EVENING. FAVORED LOCALES FOR RED FLAG CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY
  WILL BE EAST OF A LINE FROM CLAYTON TO SANTA ROSA TO YESO IN
  WESTERN DE BACA COUNTY. ON THURSDAY...RED FLAG CONDITIONS MAY
  REDEVELOP OVER THESE SAME AREAS BY AFTERNOON...WITH CONDITIONS
  EASING BY MID-EVENING.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...BETWEEN 12 AND 15 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY AND
  THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

&&

$$

NMZ103-107-180415-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0053.000000T0000Z-110518T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
909 PM MDT TUE MAY 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE EASING ACROSS THE REGION...THEREFORE THE
RED FLAG WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT.

$$

DPORTER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 16, 3:00 AM MDT, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 16, 3:00 AM MDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
300 AM MDT MON MAY 16 2011

.DISCUSSION...UPPER WINDS START TO INCREASE TODAY AS SPRAWLING
UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LUMBERS TOWARD NEW MEXICO. THE MORE
IMPRESSIVE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST UNTIL WEDNESDAY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 SO AT THIS TIME DON/T SEE ANY REASON TO CONSIDER WIND
HIGHLIGHTS.

MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE IDEA THAT THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLATED
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING CONVECTION NEAR THE TEXAS BORDER.
HOWEVER...THEY HAVEN/T TOTALLY RULED IT OUT...SO JUST TRIMMED AREAL
COVERAGE OF POPS AT BIT.

ALSO TRIMMED POPS BACK SOME FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN BOTH THE
NORTHWEST AND NEAR THE EASTERN BORDER AS MODELS NOW INDICATE MOST OF
THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTAB SHOULD BE EAST OF NEW MEXICO. ANY
PRECIPITATION SHOULD ALSO BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
THE SAN JUANS NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER.

BY WEDNESDAY...THE UPPER LOW CIRCULATION SHOULD BE LOCATED OVER THE
GREAT BASIN WITH CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION SPREADING OVER THE
NORTHWEST HALF TO TWO THIRDS OF THE FORECAST AREA. AS THE MAIN
CIRCULATION SWINGS INTO COLORADO THURSDAY...THERE WILL STILL BE
ENERGY WHICH HANGS BACK OVER NEW MEXICO INTO FRIDAY BEFORE THE
SYSTEM EXITS INTO THE PLAINS.

DESPITE THE 16/00Z H5 TEMPS OF -30C OVER WRN NEVADA AND CENTRAL CA
AS WELL AS THE -10C H7 TEMPS OVER THE SAME REGION...MODELS INDICATE
THIS COLD AIR AT LEAST AT H7 ISN/T GOING TO IMPACT NEW MEXICO...WITH
ONLY -2 TO -5C FORECAST OVER THE NORTHWEST TO WESTERN THIRD OF THE
STATE BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. GFS TEMPS ARE ON THE WARMER SIDE THOUGH.
THEREFORE SNOW LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY HIGH...WITH ANY
ACCUMULATIONS CONFINED TO THE PEAKS OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN NEW
MEXICO. HOWEVER...HIGH TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL
RANGE FROM 5 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE MOST LOCALES. THERE WILL BE
SOME MODERATION ON FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY BUT STILL BELOW AVERAGE.

THE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS TO REMAIN UNSETTLED INTO NEXT WEEK.
ANOTHER RATHER LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO THE GREAT
BASIN TO IMPACT AT LEAST NORTHERN NEW MEXICO.

&&

.AVIATION...EASTERLY GAP WINDS HAVE ALREADY SUBSIDED AT KABQ...BUT
SOUTHEASTERLY GAP WINDS WILL PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS AT KSAF.
AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS SHUNTED EASTWARD BY THE APPROACHING
UPPER LEVEL LOW...HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO
EAST.  OTHERWISE...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 35KT
WILL BE COMMON ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NM. SIMILAR SPEEDS WILL BE
NOTED ACROSS THE EAST...BUT FROM A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION.  WINDS
WILL DECREASE AFTER 02Z.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...EASTERLY GAP WINDS RETURNED OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING FOR
SOME VERY MODEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO SQUEEZE INTO THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY. MEANWHILE...FURTHER WEST...SINGLE DIGIT DEWPOINTS AND NEAR
TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES HAVE RESULTED IN POOR HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES. GAP WINDS HAVE ALREADY SUBSIDED AT ABQ...AND LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE SHUNTED EASTWARD TODAY AS MIXING COMMENCES LATE
THIS MORNING. PSEUDO DRYLINE WILL SET UP FROM ROUGHLY JUST WEST OF
RATON...TO LAS VEGAS...SOUTHWARD TO VAUGHN BY THIS AFTERNOON.  EAST
OF THIS LINE...DEWPOINTS WILL REMAINS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S...THUS... MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LOOK TO REMAIN ABOVE 15
PERCENT. WILL CANCEL THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TODAY ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS...THOUGH 2 HOURS OR SO OF LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR FROM NEAR OR JUST WEST OF LAS VEGAS TO
NEAR CLINES CORNERS. RED FLAG WARNING FOR ZONE 105 LOOKS TO BE IN
GOOD SHAPE...THOUGH BEST CHANCES FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE
RELEGATED TO THE GALLUP AREA.

DRYLINE WILL BE SHOVED INTO TEXAS ON TUESDAY...AND STRONG
MIXING...AIDED BY LAPSE RATES OF 8.5 TO 9 C/KM...WILL RESULT IN
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS. THOUGH SOME
MOISTURE WILL BE WORKING INTO NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO...THE MID LEVEL
DRY SLOT WILL BE POSITIONED ACROSS THE EAST.  WILL UPGRADE THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN PLAINS.
ALSO HAVE SOME CONCERN ABOUT FWZ 109.  IT APPEARS 1 TO 3 HOURS OF
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. SHORT DURATION AND SMALL
AREA WILL PRECLUDE ADDING THIS ZONE TO A WATCH OR WARNING...BUT
LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO MONITOR. FAIR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT.

THOUGH DEWPOINTS GET A BOOST ON WEDNESDAY...WARM TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE FAR NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS WILL STILL RESULT IN
MINIMUM HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 10 AND 15 PERCENT. WINDS LOOK TO BE
STRONGER ON WEDNESDAY AS WELL...SO WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR ZONES 104 AND 108. FAIR TO GOOD HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE SAME BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT WILL BRING DRY AND WINDY
CONDITIONS TO THE EAST...WILL ALSO BRING A CHANCE FOR SOME
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST.  FIRST CHANCE WILL BE
ON TUESDAY AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE IS EJECTED OUT OF THE MAIN LOW.  NOT
LOOKING FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION HOWEVER.  BETTER CHANCE
FOR WETTING PRECIPITATION WILL BE ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY  AS THE
MAIN UPPER LOW DIVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND THE ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT SWINGS ACROSS THE STATE. HOWEVER...THE CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO YIELD A CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING.  THE COOLEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE WEEK ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

UPPER LOW LOOKS TO TRACK OVER COLORADO INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK...THOUGH MODELS DIVERGE WITH REGARDS TO HOW FAST THAT WILL
HAPPEN. REGARDLESS...THIS WILL MEAN CONTINUED BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE...THOUGH HUMIDITIES WILL GET A BOOST AS
WELL.  MAY SEE A RETURN OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON
FRIDAY ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS...AN AREA WHICH STANDS TO
RECEIVE THE LEAST...IF ANY...PRECIPITATION FROM THIS SYSTEM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  79  46  66  47 /   0   0  10  10
DULCE...........................  74  32  62  33 /   5   5  20  20
CUBA............................  74  34  66  37 /   0   5   5  10
GALLUP..........................  74  42  65  45 /   0   0   5  20
EL MORRO........................  71  36  64  38 /   0   0   0  10
GRANTS..........................  76  41  69  44 /   0   5   0  10
QUEMADO.........................  73  38  70  40 /   0   0   0  10
GLENWOOD........................  79  44  75  46 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  68  29  57  31 /   5   5  20  20
LOS ALAMOS......................  75  44  69  44 /   5   5   0  10
PECOS...........................  74  41  69  41 /   5   0   0   5
CERRO/QUESTA....................  71  34  66  36 /   5   5   5  10
RED RIVER.......................  60  32  57  31 /   5   5   0  20
ANGEL FIRE......................  62  31  62  32 /   5   5   0  20
TAOS............................  74  38  70  38 /   5   5   0  10
MORA............................  70  41  70  39 /   5   5   0  10
ESPANOLA........................  80  42  75  39 /   5   5   0  10
SANTA FE........................  77  42  72  43 /   0   0   0   5
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  80  44  73  43 /   0   0   0   5
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  79  50  76  49 /   0   5   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  81  52  77  51 /   0   5   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  83  50  78  49 /   0   5   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  83  49  77  48 /   0   5   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  84  51  78  50 /   0   5   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  83  51  77  49 /   0   5   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  86  55  83  55 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  78  44  72  41 /   0   0   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  79  47  73  45 /   5   5   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  77  44  74  42 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  73  43  71  41 /   5   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  77  49  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  80  49  80  51 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  71  51  69  48 /   0   0   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  70  42  75  46 /  10  10   5  10
RATON...........................  76  41  78  43 /   5   5   5  10
SPRINGER........................  77  43  79  43 /   5   5   5  10
LAS VEGAS.......................  73  42  73  43 /   5   0   0   5
CLAYTON.........................  74  47  80  49 /  10  10  10  10
ROY.............................  74  48  77  47 /  10   5   5   5
CONCHAS.........................  83  51  85  53 /  10   5   5   5
SANTA ROSA......................  82  51  84  52 /   5   5   5   5
TUCUMCARI.......................  85  53  87  53 /  10  10   5   5
CLOVIS..........................  81  51  84  51 /  10  10   5   5
PORTALES........................  82  53  85  52 /  10  10   5   5
FORT SUMNER.....................  83  54  86  55 /   5   5   5   5
ROSWELL.........................  86  55  91  58 /   5   5   5   5
PICACHO.........................  84  52  84  53 /   0   0   0   0
ELK.............................  79  50  77  50 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ105.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ103-104-107-108.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ104-108.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 15, 6:00 AM MDT, 22 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT SUN MAY 15 2011

NMZ501>540-161200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
600 AM MDT SUN MAY 15 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY ALONG AND EAST
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...AND ON WEDNESDAY STRETCHING FROM
SOUTHERN SOCORRO COUNTY OVER THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 4:23 AM MDTFire Weather WatchABQHarding, San Miguel, Union24 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.