Red Flag Warning 47, NWS Albuquerque, NM

103 
WWUS85 KABQ 282116
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
316 PM MDT THU APR 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MID MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING FOR MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...

.A STORM SYSTEM DIVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL
STRENGTHEN WINDS AT THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WHILE A
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THIS WILL LEAD TO
STRONG TO POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS
MUCH OF NEW MEXICO FRIDAY...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR SEVERAL HOURS
OF EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN AREAS.

NMZ101-102-106-291415-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0047.110429T1800Z-110430T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
316 PM MDT THU APR 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU...NORTH CENTRAL 
  MOUNTAINS AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON 
  THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. THIS EXCLUDES MOUNTAIN PEAKS 
  WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK AND NORTHERN SAN JUAN COUNTY WHERE 
  SUBSTANTIAL RECENT RAIN FELL. THE MOST CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER 
  CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY BETWEEN 100 PM AND 700 PM. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...3 TO 10 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ105-109-291415-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0047.110429T1600Z-110430T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
316 PM MDT THU APR 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT
FRIDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS FROM
  LATE FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. THE MOST WIDESPREAD
  CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE BETWEEN 12 PM AND 8 PM.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-104-107-108-291415-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0047.110429T1500Z-110430T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
316 PM MDT THU APR 28 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM MDT
FRIDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM MDT
FRIDAY. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO FROM THE CENTRAL
  MOUNTAINS BELOW SNOWPACK EASTWARD FROM MID MORNING FRIDAY
  THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. MUCH OF THIS AREA WILL EXPERIENCE
  EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS BETWEEN 1200 PM AND 700 PM MDT.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...3 TO 6 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

GUYER

711 
WWUS85 KABQ 291054
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
454 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM MDT TODAY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN DUE TO STRONG
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT TODAY FOR 
THE WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR
MUCH OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO BELOW SIGNIFICANT
SNOW PACK AS WELL AS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITY...

.A STORM SYSTEM DIVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL
STRENGTHEN WINDS AT THE MID-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WHILE A
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THIS WILL LEAD TO
STRONG TO POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY ACROSS
MUCH OF NEW MEXICO TODAY...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR SEVERAL HOURS
OF EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN AREAS.

NMZ101-102-106-292130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0047.110429T1800Z-110430T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
454 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU...NORTH CENTRAL
  MOUNTAINS AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY FROM THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THIS EXCLUDES MOUNTAIN PEAKS WITH
  SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK AND NORTHERN SAN JUAN COUNTY WHERE
  SUBSTANTIAL RECENT RAIN FELL. THE MOST CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
  CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY BETWEEN 100 PM AND 700 PM.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...3 TO 10 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ105-109-292130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0047.110429T1600Z-110430T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
454 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS FROM
  LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH MID-EVENING. EXPECT THE MOST WIDESPREAD
  CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE BETWEEN 12 PM AND 8 PM.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-104-107-108-292130-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0047.110429T1500Z-110430T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
454 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO FROM THE CENTRAL
  MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK EASTWARD FROM MID-MORNING
  TODAY THROUGH MID-EVENING. MUCH OF THIS AREA WILL EXPERIENCE
  EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS BETWEEN 1200 PM AND 700 PM MDT.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...3 TO 6 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

DPORTER

082 
WWUS85 KABQ 292118
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
318 PM MDT FRI APR 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN DUE TO STRONG
WINDS AND EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS
AND EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
MUCH OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO BELOW SIGNIFICANT
SNOW PACK AS WELL AS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND
EXTREMELY LOW HUMIDITY...

.EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MUCH OF
THE AREA UNTIL AT LEAST SUNSET...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH
AND HIGHER GUSTS COMBINED WITH HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
IN MANY AREAS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO...HUMIDITIES WILL
BOTTOM OUT BELOW 5 PERCENT. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY EXTEND UNTIL AT LEAST 10 PM FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN WHERE THE FOCUS FOR STRONG AND LOCALLY
HAZARDOUS WINDS WILL BE THROUGH TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...SURFACE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER 8 PM AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL SLOWLY
BEGIN TO RECOVER.

NMZ101-102-106-300200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-110430T0200Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101
NORTHWEST PLATEAU/FARMINGTON BLM/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 102
NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS/WESTERN CARSON-SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ-
318 PM MDT FRI APR 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU...NORTH CENTRAL
  MOUNTAINS AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY FROM THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THIS EXCLUDES MOUNTAIN PEAKS WITH
  SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK AND NORTHERN SAN JUAN COUNTY WHERE
  SUBSTANTIAL RECENT RAIN FELL. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...3 TO 10 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ105-109-300300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-110430T0300Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ-
GLZ-
318 PM MDT FRI APR 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AREA AND TIMING...THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS
  FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH MID-EVENING. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 TO 10 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

NMZ103-104-107-108-300400-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-110430T0400Z/
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104
NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107
SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ-
NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ-
318 PM MDT FRI APR 29 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. 

* AREA AND TIMING...ALL OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO FROM THE CENTRAL
  MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK EASTWARD FROM MID-MORNING
  TODAY THROUGH MID-EVENING. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 
  MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...3 TO 6 PERCENT FOR MOST AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

&&

$$

KJONES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
315 AM MDT THU APR 28 2011

...ANOTHER BLAST OF VERY STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY
WITH WIDESPREAD CRITICAL AND EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE AXIS WILL CROSS ALOFT TODAY ALLOWING FOR TEMPERATURES TO
REBOUND TO NEAR AND A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL. TODAY WILL ALSO BE THE
CALM BEFORE THE STORM WIND WISE.

THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER
THE WESTERN UNITED STATES FRIDAY THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY...WITH
MULTIPLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW. MOST OF THE MOISTURE
WILL STAY NORTH OF NEW MEXICO THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT WINDS
ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN FRIDAY AS 500 MB WINDS REACH FROM 45-85 KTS.
A STRONG LEE TROUGH WILL ALSO DEVELOP AT THE SURFACE
FRIDAY...SOUTH OF A 991 MB SURFACE LOW IN CO. FURTHER...STRONG LAPSE
RATES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AS HIGH TEMPS SOAR 5-20 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. SOME NEW RECORD HIGHS MAY EVEN BE SET ALONG AND EAST OF A
LINE FROM TUCUMCARI TO RUIDOSO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE STRONG
INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN MIXING TO AT LEAST 500 MB...SO THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH ALONG AND JUST EAST OF
THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE WE EXPANDED THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR FRIDAY TO INCLUDE THE
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS...WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS AND WEST CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS BASED ON RECENT MOS AND THE ALIGNMENT OF THE STRONGER
UPPER LEVEL FLOW. ZONES OUTSIDE OF THE ONGOING HIGH WIND WATCH
HAVE A GOOD CHANCE OF EXPERIENCING WIND GUSTS IN THE 50 TO 55 MPH
RANGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS ALOFT WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH AT
LEAST FRIDAY EVENING ALLOWING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TO
PERSIST UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EAST SLOPES
OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES WILL CROSS NM
FROM THE NW AS THE LONG WAVE PATTERN BULGES INTO THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES. A MOIST BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL DIP INTO NE NM
SATURDAY...THEN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PLAINS SATURDAY
NIGHT. THIS MOISTURE WILL INTERACT WITH THE INSTABILITY CROSSING
ALOFT TO TRIGGER A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND OVERNIGHT
MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. WITH FALLING HEIGHTS AND
COOLER AIR ALOFT...CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE
COLDER TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND AND THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF
THE COMING WORK WEEK.

TUESDAY A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MAY BRIEFLY CROSS THE STATE...BUT
GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE THE LONG WAVE PATTERN WONT RELENT TOO
EASILY. THE LONG WAVE TROUGH MAY RESTRENGTHEN OVER THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR WEST WINDS TO INCREASE AGAIN
OVER NEW MEXICO.

44

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL ALL AIRPORTS. NO AVIATION WEATHER HAZARDS FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. CHJ

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A WEAK RIDGE AXIS WILL RACE EAST OVER THE STATE TODAY ALLOWING
LESS WINDS ALOFT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
TODAY AS A SURFACE LEE TROUGH WORKS HARD TO DEVELOP OVER THE
NORTHEAST PLAINS BY LATE AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED AREA OF NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE FROM NEAR LAS VEGAS NE
TOWARD CAPULIN BY LATE IN THE DAY. MIN RH VALUES WILL REMAIN
AROUND OR BELOW 10 PERCENT FOR ALMOST ALL THE FORECAST AREA.
RIDGETOP WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS STRONGER WINDS DEVELOP
ALOFT AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM.

RH RECOVERIES FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE POOR IN MOST AREAS...EXCEPT
THE NORTHERN HIGH TERRAIN. A SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN TO AROUND 990MB
FRIDAY AFTERNOON OVER SE COLORADO AS A POWERFUL 40-50KT 700MB JET
AXIS DEVELOPS OVER NM. SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY...WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPS...STEEP LAPSE RATES...UNSTABLE CONDITIONS AND STRONG WINDS
OVER ALMOST THE ENTIRE AREA...COMBINED WITH SEVERE TO EXTREME
DROUGHT CONDITIONS...WILL LEAD TO AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS FIRE
SITUATION FRIDAY. CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEST
AND EXTREME CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EAST. AN AREA
OF SUPER HAINES WAS NOTED FROM NEAR ABQ TO THE EAST CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST PLAINS LATE FRIDAY.

THE CURRENT FIRE WX WATCH OVER THE ENTIRE AREA WILL BE UPGRADED TO
A RED FLAG WARNING WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. THE WARNING FOR THE
NW PLATEAU WILL EXCLUDE THE NORTHERN THIRD AROUND FARMINGTON AND
AZTEC WHERE SIGNIFICANT WETTING PRECIP OCCURRED OVER THE WEEKEND.
AREAS WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW PACK IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS WILL ALSO
BE EXCLUDED.

WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE CORE OF THE UPPER JET
APPROACHES THE STATE. ANOTHER NIGHT OF POOR RECOVERIES WILL AFFECT
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL RUSH SOUTH
SATURDAY MORNING USHERING IN ANOTHER ROUND OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPS.
CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND FAR
SE AREAS. MODELS ARE SHOWING THIS SYSTEM THEN DIGGING SOUTH OVER
THE STATE SUNDAY WITH A BACK DOOR FRONT MOVING INTO THE NE. THIS MAY
ALLOW FOR SOME MORE WETTING RAIN/SNOW OVER THE SANGRES AND NE PLAINS
INTO MONDAY...ALONG WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RH
VALUES ESPECIALLY FOR THE EAST. DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS ARE
FOERCAST FOR NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

CHJ

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  70  39  78  35 /   0   0   0   0
DULCE...........................  61  26  69  26 /   0   0   0   0
CUBA............................  68  32  74  29 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  71  34  72  30 /   0   0   0   0
EL MORRO........................  68  35  68  32 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  73  38  73  37 /   0   0   0   0
QUEMADO.........................  75  35  75  36 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  81  45  86  45 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  56  27  66  27 /   0   0   0   5
LOS ALAMOS......................  66  39  73  39 /   0   0   0   0
PECOS...........................  64  39  75  39 /   0   0   0   0
CERRO/QUESTA....................  61  29  69  31 /   0   0   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  51  32  61  32 /   0   0   0   5
ANGEL FIRE......................  56  31  65  32 /   0   0   0   0
TAOS............................  64  29  73  32 /   0   0   0   0
MORA............................  63  38  73  38 /   0   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  73  36  80  39 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  67  39  76  38 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  70  37  79  39 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  74  45  82  46 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  74  49  83  49 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  77  47  86  48 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  75  45  85  46 /   0   0   0   0
LOS LUNAS.......................  79  45  87  45 /   0   0   0   0
RIO RANCHO......................  76  43  84  44 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  82  49  90  52 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  72  46  80  43 /   0   0   0   0
TIJERAS.........................  74  44  82  43 /   0   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  71  39  81  44 /   0   0   0   0
CLINES CORNERS..................  68  43  77  44 /   0   0   0   0
GRAN QUIVIRA....................  72  45  82  49 /   0   0   0   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  75  50  85  54 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  68  53  79  55 /   0   0   0   0
CAPULIN.........................  65  40  77  38 /   0   0   0   5
RATON...........................  70  35  80  41 /   0   0   0   5
SPRINGER........................  71  37  83  46 /   0   0   0   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  68  41  79  42 /   0   0   0   0
CLAYTON.........................  68  43  85  43 /   0   0   0   5
ROY.............................  69  42  84  46 /   0   0   0   0
CONCHAS.........................  77  43  93  51 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA ROSA......................  78  45  91  50 /   0   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  75  47  94  51 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  74  44  90  50 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  76  43  92  50 /   0   0   0   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  76  46  92  52 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  81  48  99  53 /   0   0   0   0
PICACHO.........................  80  52  91  56 /   0   0   0   0
ELK.............................  77  51  86  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ103-104-107-108.

HIGH WIND WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES...
NMZ502-505-506-512>515-521>524-526>529-531>533-539.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ101-102-106.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES...NMZ105-109.

&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
556 AM MDT THU APR 28 2011

NMZ501>540-291200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
556 AM MDT THU APR 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FRIDAY...WEST AND SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST FROM 45 TO 65 MPH WITH
THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND
PLATEAU...THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND ACROSS THE ADJACENT
HIGHLANDS AND HIGH PLAINS. WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS...WITH
EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ALONG AND EAST OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. PLEASE REVIEW THE LATEST HIGH WIND WATCH
AND RED FLAG WARNING FOR MORE DETAILS.

SATURDAY...WINDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER THAN FRIDAY...BUT BREEZY
TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-40. THE AREA ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS MAY AGAIN EXPERIENCE SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WIND SPEEDS WILL GRADUALLY RESTRENGTHEN.
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS...THEN THEY MAY
SPREAD TO MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY.

WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

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