Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 60, NWS Tucson, AZ
NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 15, 2010, 10:26 PM MST for Cochise County, Santa Cruz County, Arizona. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 15, 2010, 10:26 PM MST (05:26 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 15, 2010, 11:15 PM MST
- In force
- 49 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tucson, AZ
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Cochise County, AZ, Santa Cruz County, AZ
The radar
The Tucson radar (KEMX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 15, 9:00 PM MST, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 9:00 PM MST, 1 hour 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ 900 PM MST SUN AUG 15 2010 .SYNOPSIS...ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDWEEK. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. THEREAFTER...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT LATER IN THE WEEK. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK. && .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SE AZ AT THIS TIME. IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED CLOUD TOPS WERE GRADUALLY WARMING DURING THE PAST HOUR ACROSS SE PINAL COUNTY AND WRN PIMA COUNTY. HOWEVER...CLOUD TOPS WERE COOLING DURING THE PAST HOUR OVER ERN PIMA/NRN SANTA CRUZ COUNTIES WHERE FAIRLY STRONG TSTMS WERE OCCURRING VICINITY THE CATALINA/SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS. 16/00Z KTWC SOUNDING EXHIBITED PRECIP WATER VALUE NEAR 1.70 INCHES. ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BE FAVORABLE TO SUSTAIN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS GIVEN THE ELY/SELY MID-LEVEL FLOW REGIME AS WELL AS CAPE VIA THE PROFILE. 16/00Z NAM AND 16/02Z RUC13 SOLUTIONS SUPPORT THIS NOTION AS WELL. THUS...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST WAS UPDATED TO DEPICT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AREAWIDE THE REST OF TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH CELL MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY 10-15 MPH...SOME TSTMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL. FOR MON...HAVE NOTED THAT THE 16/00Z NAM APPEARS TO FAVOR THE MORNING HOURS WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIP...FOLLOWED BY SOMEWHAT DECREASED ACTIVITY DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON PERIOD. THIS SOLUTION IS IN CONTRAST TO THE 15/18Z GFS THAT SEEMS TO DEPICTS THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING PERIOD WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE PRECIP. AT ANY RATE...MADE NO CHANGES AT THIS TIME TO THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR MON WHICH FAVORS THE GFS SOLUTION...AND WILL DEFER ANY POTENTIAL REFINEMENT TO THIS SCENARIO TO THE MIDNIGHT SHIFT. HIGH TEMPS MON FORECAST TO BE NEARLY 5 DEGS OR SO COOLER VERSUS SUN AFTERNOON TEMPS...THEN DAYTIME TEMPS TO BE A FEW DEGS ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK. PLEASE REFER TO THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOR ADDITIONAL DETAIL. && .PREV DISCUSSION...AS THE UPPER HIGH RETREATS NORTHEASTWARD... MOISTURE SHOULD EXPAND FARTHER NORTH AND WOULD EXPECT EVEN MORE ACTIVITY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL PUT AN END TO THE NEAR RECORD HIGHS...AT LEAST TEMPORARILY. THE HIGH REASSERTS ITSELF OVER AZ TOWARD THE END OF THE WORK WEEK WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN A DOWNTURN IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND A CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN AFTERNOON HIGHS. GUIDANCE NOT QUITE PICKING UP ON THAT TREND YET...ALTHOUGH TEMPS STILL ABOVE NORMAL. && .AVIATION...VALID 16/06Z - 17/06Z SCT TSRA/SHRA TO PREVAIL INTO MONDAY EVENING. BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 45 KTS AND MVFR CEILINGS/VSBYS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. OTHERWISE...CLOUD DECKS GENERALLY 8-10K FT AGL AND TERRAIN DRIVEN SURFACE WIND LESS THAN 10 KTS THIS PERIOD. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS. && .FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. BF PREV DISCUSSION...KD WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 15, 8:47 PM MST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Aug 15, 9:04 PM MST, 1 hour 22 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Aug 15, 9:53 PM MST, 33 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Aug 15, 9:54 PM MST, 32 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Aug 15, 10:05 PM MST, 21 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Aug 15, 10:06 PM MST, 20 minutes before
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The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 5:00 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | TWC | Pima, Pinal | 61 min |
| Aug 15, 5:11 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | 49 min | |
| Aug 15, 5:30 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TWC | Pima, Pinal | 29 min |
| Aug 15, 5:42 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Pima, Pinal | 38 min |
| Aug 15, 5:54 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | TWC | Pima, Pinal | 3 hr |
| Aug 15, 6:13 PM MST | Dust Storm Warning | TWC | 84 min | |
| Aug 15, 7:13 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TWC | Graham | 2 hr |
| Aug 15, 7:28 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TWC | Pima | 3 hr |
| Aug 15, 7:44 PM MST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TWC | Pima, Santa Cruz | 46 min |
| Aug 15, 8:15 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TWC | Pima, Santa Cruz | 2 hr |
| Aug 15, 8:42 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | TWC | Pima | 3 hr |
| Aug 15, 8:47 PM MST | Special Weather Statement | TWC | Santa Cruz | 43 min |
| Aug 15, 9:32 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | TWC | Cochise | 118 min |
| Aug 15, 10:44 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TWC | Pima | 109 min |
| Aug 15, 11:00 PM MST | Areal Flood Advisory | TWC | Pima, Santa Cruz | 92 min |
| Aug 16, 2:15 PM MST | Flash Flood Watch | TWC | 6 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2010Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.