Severe Thunderstorm Warning 184, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
459 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
458 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...LIMITED...SPREADINDEX=43.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS... MAINLY
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE QUITE
STRONG... WITH DOWNBURST WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION... THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR STRONG STORMS WITH DOWNBURST WINDS IN NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA ALONG THE KANSAS BORDER.

THE OPPRESSIVE HEAT WILL CONTINUE SOUTH OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT IN SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THIS WILL ALSO ENHANCE THE
FIRE DANGER ACROSS THAT AREA... AS VEGETATION BECOMES INCREASINGLY
DRY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
ON MONDAY WITH THE FRONT. A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
BRING MORE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ON TUESDAY. THE REMNANTS OF TD 5
MAY BRING THUNDERSTORMS TO FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
ARKANSAS FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. HEAT INDICES MAY CLIMB TO NEAR
105 DEGREES NEXT WEEK IN SOME SPOTS...HOWEVER THE EXCESSIVE HEAT
FROM THIS PAST WEEK IS NOT EXPECTED TO RETURN.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
437 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

ARZ019-020-OKZ072-152215-
CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-
437 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     CENTRAL CRAWFORD

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
     WESTERN FRANKLIN

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN SEQUOYAH

AT 437 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CEDARVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...SHORT...MULBERRY...FERN...
MOUNTAINBURG...ALMA...CEDARVILLE...DYER...FIGURE FIVE AND RUDY.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE
AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS
UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3544 9405 3545 9439 3545 9441 3545 9449
      3563 9449 3567 9401
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 270DEG 16KT 3554 9438

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

OKZ075-076-152230-
LATIMER OK-LE FLORE OK-
458 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN LE FLORE AND SOUTHERN LATIMER

AT 458 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF BENGAL TO 5 MILES NORTH OF
YANUSH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...YANUSH...HIGGINS...BENGAL...DAMON
AND TALIHINA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3480 9548 3494 9519 3485 9492 3469 9505
      3469 9531
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 301DEG 9KT 3485 9512 3477 9531

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
514 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

OKZ049-152245-
PUSHMATAHA OK-
514 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN PUSHMATAHA

AT 514 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES EAST OF
NASHOBA...REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...NASHOBA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3442 9522 3460 9522 3460 9500 3451 9500
      3450 9504 3449 9503 3443 9503
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 180DEG 0KT 3451 9511

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
528 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

OKZ056-057-061-062-152315-
CRAIG OK-MAYES OK-NOWATA OK-ROGERS OK-
528 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN ROGERS...SOUTHERN CRAIG...SOUTHEASTERN NOWATA AND
     NORTHERN MAYES

AT 528 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTH OF CENTRALIA TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CHELSEA...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...NEW ALLUWE...FOYIL...CHELSEA...VINITA...BIG
CABIN...WHITE OAK...BLUEJACKET...ADAIR AND PENSACOLA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS
IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3682 9500 3639 9509 3642 9561 3686 9545
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 273DEG 9KT 3674 9534 3650 9546

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
548 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

OKZ062-152330-
MAYES OK-
548 PM CDT SUN AUG 15 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     MAYES

AT 548 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF ADAIR...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...PRYOR...LOCUST GROVE...SALINA AND
ADAIR.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE
AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS
UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3628 9501 3611 9523 3639 9542 3652 9525
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 316DEG 23KT 3639 9531