Flash Flood Warning 61, NWS Tulsa, OK

569 
WGUS74 KTSA 190201
FFSTSA

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
901 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

ARC015-190300-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-100919T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARROLL AR-
901 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
NORTHERN CARROLL COUNTY...

AT 852 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
HEAVY RAIN HAD ENDED ACROSS NORTHERN CARROLL COUNTY...WITH RADAR 
ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITHIN THE PAST 3 TO 4 
HOURS.  THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL TAKE SOME TIME TO RECEDE...THUS THE 
FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY EXPERIENCE CONTINUED FLOODING INCLUDE OAK 
GROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS. IT IS VERY DIFFICULT AT NIGHT TO TELL HOW
MUCH WATER IS ON THE ROADS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER
TO CARRY AWAY MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. MOTORISTS
SHOULD NOT DRIVE THROUGH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TAKE A DIFFERENT
ROUTE TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES.

&&

LAT...LON 3633 9356 3642 9375 3650 9370 3650 9337

$$

613 
WGUS74 KTSA 190250
FFSTSA

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
950 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

ARC015-190301-
/O.EXP.KTSA.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-100919T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARROLL AR-
950 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN CARROLL COUNTY EXPIRES AT
1000 PM CDT...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE
FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

TO REPORT PREVIOUS FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
TULSA.

LAT...LON 3633 9356 3642 9375 3650 9370 3650 9337

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
607 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
FOR THE 0Z TAFS... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION
SHOULD NOT AFFECT ANY TAF SITES... AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL THEN PREVAIL. PATCHY FOG MAY
CAUSE TEMPORARILY REDUCED VISIBILITY AT KRVS IN OKLAHOMA AND KXNA
AND KFYV IN ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 233 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010/

DISCUSSION...
AFTERNOON CU FIELD ORIENTED SE TO NW ROUGHLY FROM A HUGO TO
BARTLESVILLE LINE...WITH ADDITIONAL CU NOTED ACROSS NW AR. POPS FOR
THIS EVENING WILL BE DEPENDENT ON RADAR TRENDS AT THE TIME OF
ISSUANCE...WITH ALIGNMENT OF POPS BEING MORE OF AN ISSUE THAN
COVERAGE. EXPECT NO MORE THAN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THIS EVENING.
MODELS ALSO HAVE LIMITED THE SOUTHERN PROGRESS OF A SHARP COLD FRONT
THAT CURRENTLY IS STRETCHED ACROSS KANSAS AS WELL. SO...ITS
INFLUENCE ON THE FA APPEARS TO BE MINIMAL. OTHERWISE...LATE SUMMER
WEATHER TO CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST INTO MIDWEEK AND PERHAPS BEYOND.
UPPER RIDGE FLUCTUATES SOME BUT BY AND LARGE HOLDS OVER THE SRN
PLAINS...WITH THE IMPROVED UPPER FLOW REMAINING JUST TO THE NORTH.
SEVERAL TROUGHS TO PASS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS DURING THE
WEEK...WHICH WILL AID IN PUSHING SEVERAL FRONTS TOWARDS NE OK.
HOWEVER...THESE BOUNDARIES WILL LIKELY REMAIN WELL ENOUGH REMOVED
FROM THE AREA THAT AT BEST LOW POPS WOULD BE REQUIRED BY THE MID
OR LATTER STAGES OF THE WORK WEEK. TEMPERATURES WISE...STAYED
PRETTY CLOSE TO THE MAV GUIDANCE FOR MOST PERIODS.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...06

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  ANY STORMS
THAT DO FORM WILL MOVE SLOWLY AND PRODUCE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN AND POSSIBLY STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS.  ALSO...HOT AND
HUMID CONDITIONS WILL KEEP HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 100
DEGREES INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR AREAS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 40 BY MID WEEK AS A WEAK COLD FRONT STALLS
NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER.  A STRONGER COLD
FRONT MAY ARRIVE BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK WITH AN
ASSOCIATED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
613 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

OKZ070-071-190000-
MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-
613 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL MUSKOGEE

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN MCINTOSH

AT 613 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF OKTAHA...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHECOTAH...RENTIESVILLE...WARNER...
OKTAHA AND KEEFETON.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3565 9557 3569 9531 3547 9530 3545 9552
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 174DEG 6KT 3555 9542

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
642 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

ARZ001-011-190015-
BENTON AR-MADISON AR-
642 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     EASTERN BENTON AND NORTHERN MADISON

AT 643 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 2 MILES WEST OF
CLIFTY...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CLIFTY.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3616 9375 3616 9390 3618 9391 3623 9388
      3624 9392 3630 9393 3631 9372
TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 184DEG 7KT 3624 9383

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
735 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

ARZ002-190100-
CARROLL AR-
735 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     CENTRAL CARROLL

AT 735 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM URBANETTE TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GRANDVIEW...WITH
THE STORMS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD AROUND 5 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...URBANETTE
AND GRANDVIEW.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3630 9363 3632 9378 3650 9362 3650 9344
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 214DEG 3KT 3646 9355 3635 9368