Flash Flood Warning 60, NWS Tulsa, OK

096 
WGUS74 KTSA 112222
FFSTSA

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
522 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

OKC079-112232-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FF.W.0060.000000T0000Z-100911T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LE FLORE OK-
522 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LE FLORE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE
FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

TO REPORT PREVIOUS FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
TULSA.

LAT...LON 3477 9467 3477 9445 3473 9444 3451 9445
      3450 9446 3451 9472

$$

LACY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1235 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
STRATOCU FIELD HAS EXPANDED ACROSS ALL TAF SITES WITH WIDESPREAD
MVFR CEILINGS. CLEARING LINE IS PROGRESSING THROUGH FAR NE OK AND
WILL CLEAR KTUL/KRVS WITHIN A FEW HOURS. REMAINDER OF TAF SITES
WILL CLEAR BY EARLY EVENING WITH LIGHT WINDS AND SKC CONDITIONS
PREVAILING. ANY AFTERNOON STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF
KFSM/KMLC SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1003 AM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
ELEVATED CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS JUST
EXITED EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...WHILE
THE ACTUAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS CONTINUED SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AND
EXTENDS FROM FAR NW AR INTO SW OK. POST FRONTAL STRATUS HAS
THICKENED WITHIN THE PAST FEW HOURS AND LATEST RUC DATA SUGGEST
THIS BAND OF CLOUDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON WHILE SHIFTING
SOUTHWARD WITH THE FRONT. UPDATED FORECAST WILL ADJUST FOR
EXPECTED CLOUD COVER THOUGH WILL KEEP HIGH TEMPS AS IS FOR NOW AS
AMPLE MID AFTERNOON SUNSHINE IS LIKELY. ALSO WILL MAINTAIN
AFTERNOON PRECIP CHANCES FOR SOUTHEASTERN AREAS AS LATEST DATA
CONTINUES WITH STORMS REDEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT LATER TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   88  61  89  64 /  10  10  10  10
FSM   91  65  90  60 /  30  10  10   0
MLC   91  65  90  62 /  20  10  10   0
BVO   87  57  88  59 /  10   0  10  10
FYV   86  55  86  53 /  10  10  10   0
BYV   86  56  83  53 /  10  10   0   0
MKO   89  62  87  61 /  10  10  10   0
MIO   85  56  87  58 /  10   0  10  10
F10   89  63  87  63 /  10  10  10   0
HHW   92  72  92  64 /  30  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

AVIATION...07

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
155 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-121000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
155 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...POSSIBLY PRODUCING ISOLATED SEVERE
WEATHER...WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
THIS AFTERNOON.  INSTABILITY HAS INCREASED TO A LEVEL SUPPORTIVE
OF LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS.  THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DIMINISH TOWARD SUNSET.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN BY MID NEXT WEEK AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.  THIS WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT...WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BY NEXT THURSDAY OR FRIDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
143 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

OKZ076-111915-
LE FLORE OK-
143 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 215 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN LE FLORE

AT 143 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER FAR
SOUTHEASTERN LE FLORE COUNTY NORTHEAST OF BIG CEDAR...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3477 9461 3479 9446 3477 9444 3462 9445
      3459 9445 3456 9457
TIME...MOT...LOC 1843Z 335DEG 5KT 3472 9451

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
216 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

OKZ076-112000-
LE FLORE OK-
216 PM CDT SAT SEP 11 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN LE FLORE

AT 215 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHEAST
OF BIG CEDAR...MOVING SOUTH AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BIG CEDAR.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3459 9470 3482 9460 3480 9445 3458 9446
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 010DEG 3KT 3471 9451

LACY