Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Topeka, KS

110 
WWUS53 KTOP 021417
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
917 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

KSC045-087-021430-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100402T1430Z/
JEFFERSON-DOUGLAS-
917 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 AM CDT
FOR DOUGLAS AND EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES...

AT 914 AM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS 
OF 60 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CENTRAL 
LAWRENCE...MOVING NORTH AT 70 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EUDORA...WILLIAMSTOWN...OSKALOOSA...MCLOUTH AND WINCHESTER.

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 192 AND 206.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN IF YOUR
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A
BUILDING NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3874 9505 3874 9516 3888 9530 3894 9548
      3941 9530 3942 9517 3897 9518 3897 9509
      3898 9507 3898 9505
TIME...MOT...LOC 1416Z 200DEG 59KT 3901 9526
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

BLAIR

180 
WWUS53 KTOP 021424
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
924 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

KSC045-021434-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100402T1430Z/
DOUGLAS-
924 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR DOUGLAS COUNTY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 192 AND 206.

LAT...LON 3904 9518 3903 9528 3904 9532 3903 9532
      3903 9535 3905 9538 3907 9543 3941 9530
      3942 9518 3942 9517
TIME...MOT...LOC 1424Z 200DEG 59KT 3913 9520
WIND...HAIL <50MPH <.50IN

$$

KSC087-021430-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100402T1430Z/
JEFFERSON-
924 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...

AT 919 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF WILLIAMSTOWN...OR 7 MILES NORTH OF
LAWRENCE...MOVING NORTH AT 70 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OSKALOOSA...MCLOUTH AND WINCHESTER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN IF YOUR
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. FOR YOUR SAFETY...TAKE COVER INSIDE A
BUILDING NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3904 9518 3903 9528 3904 9532 3903 9532
      3903 9535 3905 9538 3907 9543 3941 9530
      3942 9518 3942 9517
TIME...MOT...LOC 1424Z 200DEG 59KT 3913 9520
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

BLAIR

131 
WWUS53 KTOP 021427
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
927 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

KSC087-021437-
/O.EXP.KTOP.SV.W.0002.000000T0000Z-100402T1430Z/
JEFFERSON-
927 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 930 AM CDT...

AT 927 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD EXITED THE AREA...
THUS THE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 930 AM CDT.

RADAR INDICATED THAT HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS WERE
STILL POSSIBLE FROM THE THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3904 9518 3903 9528 3904 9532 3903 9532
      3903 9535 3905 9538 3907 9543 3941 9530
      3942 9518 3942 9517
TIME...MOT...LOC 1427Z 200DEG 59KT 3918 9517
WIND...HAIL <50MPH <.50IN

$$

BLAIR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
611 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR 12 UTC AVIATION FORECAST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

PLEASE SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE SPREADING NORTHEAST FROM SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS THIS MORNING. A COLD FRONT WAS ALSO LOCATED JUST
EAST OF MHK WHERE WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO THE WEST. THIS FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH TOP/FOE BY MID MORNING WITH WINDS ALSO SHIFTING TO
WESTERLY. FROPA TIMING IS A BIT IN QUESTION AS THE FRONT MAY
TEMPORARILY STALL VERY NEAR TOP/FOE...WHICH COULD DELAY THE WIND
SHIFT. WILL SEE SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED TS ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...AND PRIMARILY -SHRA BEHIND THE FRONT. VIS AND CIGS MAY
BRIEFLY FALL TO MVFR UNDER THE HEAVIEST PRECIP BUT IT SHOULD BE
QUITE BRIEF IF AT ALL AS THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS LACKING AND
MOST SITES WITH PRECIP HAVE REMAINED VFR.

BARJENBRUCH

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010/

DISCUSSION...H5 CLOSED LOW WAS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. AT 08Z A COLD
FRONT BISECTED KANSAS WITH SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSHOWERS AHEAD OF
THE FRONT IN EASTERN KANSAS.

TODAY...MAIN FORECAST ISSUE IS WHETHER OR NOT TSRA WILL REDEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
NAM/GFS/ECMWF ALL SHOW PRECIP OVER THE CWA TODAY BUT NONE PICKED UP
ON THE LINE OF TSRA IN WESTERN KS LAST NIGHT.  THE FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE TOP CWA BY THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR
SOME TIME TO HEAT UP A LITTLE AS A MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IS
KICKED OUT FROM THE BASE OF THE H5 TROF.  THAT SAID...WILL KEEP THE
HIGHEST POPS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA TODAY WITH ONLY SLIGHT
CHANCE OR NO POPS IN OUR FAR WEST.  HAVE KEPT TEMPS IN THE LOW 70S
FAR EAST AS FROPA WILL OCCUR LATER IN THE EVENING WHILE WARM AIR
STAYS IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

TONIGHT...THE FRONT SHOULD BE THROUGH THE CWA BY THE EVENING AND ANY
PRECIP WILL BE GONE WITH IT.  CAA BEHIND THE FRONT WILL DROP
OVERNIGHT LOWS INTO THE MID 30S AND LOWER 40S.

SATURDAY THRU TUESDAY...H5 FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHWEST OVER THE
WEEKEND AND WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS.  WARMER AIR BEGINS TO
WORK ITS WAY BACK INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF KANSAS AS A WARM FRONT
SETS UP SOMEWHERE FROM SOUTHWEST KANSAS TO NORTHWEST MISSOURI ON
SUNDAY.  BY MONDAY...BOTH THE GFS/ECMWF SHOW INCREASING PWATS OVER
MOSTLY THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA INVOF THE FRONT AS WELL AS A
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW IN RESPONSE TO A H5 TROF BECOMING MORE
NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST.  ENOUGH GULF
MOISTURE MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE CWA THAT TSRA WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
TUESDAY.  THERE ARE SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH FROPA ON TUESDAY SO
HAVE HELD POPS IN THE CHANCE CAT.  EXPECT TEMPS TO CONTINUE TO WARM
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MID TO UPPER 70S ON MON/TUES.

SALLY

AVIATION...

THE LINE OF STORMS MAY REACH THE KMHK TAF SITES AFTER 8Z...BUT
THEY SHOULD WEAKEN THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MAY SEE A RE-
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS KMHK AND KTOP...KFOE AHEAD OF THE PACIFIC FRONT
LATE THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THE
PACIFIC FRONT WILL PUSH EAST OF THE TAF SITES BETWEEN 18Z AND
20Z...SHIFTING THE WINDS TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST. SOUTHERLY
WINDS THROUGH THE NIGHT WILL PICK UP TO 15 TO 23 KTS WITH SOME
GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 KTS. 925MB WINS WILL INCREASE TO 50KTS THROUGH
THE NIGHT...BUT ONLY EXPECT A 20 DEGREE VECTOR DIFFERENCE BETWEEN
THE SORELY SFC WINDS AND THE WINDS AT 925MB...THUS LOW-LEVEL THE
WIND SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA FOR LLWS PLACEMENT IN
TAFS. THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF VFR TO MVFR CEILINGS AFTER 12Z
THROUGH FROPA THAT MAY LOWER CEILINGS DOWN TO 2,200 FEET. AFTER
FROPA THE CEILINGS SHOULD INCREASE TO VFR.

GARGAN

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
704 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-031215-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
704 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS EAST OF A
LINE FROM COUNCIL GROVE TO SENECA. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS...AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. IT IS
TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF ANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
HOURS...EAST OF A LINE FROM COUNCIL GROVE TO SENECA.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
755 AM CDT FRI APR 02 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0755 AM     HAIL             E DELIA                 39.24N 95.96W
04/02/2010  E0.88 INCH       JACKSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BYRNE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
814 AM CDT FRI APR 02 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 AM     HAIL             CIRCLEVILLE             39.51N 95.86W
04/02/2010  E0.50 INCH       JACKSON            KS   PUBLIC

            HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
839 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

KSZ055-056-021415-
FRANKLIN-OSAGE-
839 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR OSAGE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

THROUGH 915 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 70
MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF OSAGE AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES. NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
PEA SIZE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS
THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE MELVERN...WILLIAMSBURG...LYNDON...
QUENEMO...POMONA AND CENTROPOLIS. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 35
BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 157 AND 182 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.

STAY ALERT TO THE WEATHER IN CASE A WARNING IS ISSUED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
848 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

KSZ012-021415-
BROWN-
848 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR BROWN COUNTY...

THROUGH 915 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 65
MPH ACROSS BROWN COUNTY. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL...STRONG
WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
855 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

KSZ040-056-059-021430-
ANDERSON-DOUGLAS-FRANKLIN-
855 AM CDT FRI APR 2 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR DOUGLAS...FRANKLIN AND ANDERSON
COUNTIES...

THROUGH 930 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AT 70
MPH ACROSS PORTIONS OF DOUGLAS...FRANKLIN AND ANDERSON COUNTIES.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THIS STORM IS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
SOME LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED INCLUDE CENTROPOLIS...
WELLSVILLE...BALDWIN CITY...LONE STAR...PLEASANT GROVE...VINLAND...
LAWRENCE AND EUDORA. MOTORISTS ALONG INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 176 AND 199 COULD ALSO BE AFFECTED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
904 AM CDT FRI APR 02 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 AM     HAIL             10 SW OTTAWA            38.51N 95.40W
04/02/2010  E1.00 INCH       FRANKLIN           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

WOLTERS