Alert archive / Kansas / River Flood Warnings in 2010

River Flood Warning 49, NWS Topeka, KS

July 4, 2010Marshall County, Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this river flood warning at Jul 4, 2010, 2:07 PM CDT for Marshall County, Kansas. It took effect at Jul 6, 2010, 6:00 AM CDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2010, 2:07 PM CDT (19:07 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 6, 2010, 6:00 AM CDT
Expired
Jul 5, 2010, 9:22 PM CDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Topeka, KS
Flood severity
Minor

County Marshall County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Black Vermillion River at Frankfort (FKFK1).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
27.5 ft
Major stage
40.5 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06885500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

620 
WGUS43 KTOP 041907
FLWTOP
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
207 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA, KS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS... 

  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-050307-
/O.NEW.KTOP.FL.W.0049.100705T2027Z-100706T2037Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.100705T2027Z.100706T0000Z.100706T0837Z.NO/
207 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA, KS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  1:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 21.3 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.


$$
5 follow-up statements
607 
WGUS83 KTOP 050207
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
907 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  LITTLE BLUE RIVER ABOVE BARNES AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  MILL CREEK AT WASHINGTON AFFECTING WASHINGTON COUNTY 
  REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  SALT CREEK NEAR ADA AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  FANCY CREEK NEAR RANDOLPH AFFECTING RILEY COUNTY 
  SOLDIER CREEK NEAR DELIA AFFECTING JACKSON AND SHAWNEE COUNTIES 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC201-051007-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-100706T1254Z/
/WSHK1.2.ER.100704T1931Z.100704T2345Z.100706T0054Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MILL CREEK AT WASHINGTON.
* AT  8:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...OSAGE ROAD...LOCATED 2 MILES WEST AND 1 MILE
  NORTH OF WASHINGTON...FLOODS.

$$

KSC117-051007-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.100620T1444Z.100705T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* AT  8:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 38.5 FEET BY 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

KSC117-051007-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0049.100705T1908Z-100707T0236Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.100705T1908Z.100706T0600Z.100706T1436Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

KSC161-051007-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-100706T2000Z/
/RDPK1.1.ER.100705T0025Z.100705T0600Z.100706T0200Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FANCY CREEK NEAR RANDOLPH.
* AT  8:26 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.3 FEET BY 
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MIDNIGHT
  TUESDAY.


$$

KSC117-051007-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0052.100705T0502Z-100707T1000Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.100705T0502Z.100706T0600Z.100706T1600Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE BLUE RIVER ABOVE BARNES.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.8 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FARM FIELD NORTH OF THE RIVER ON THE WEST 
  SIDE OF HIGHWAY 148 FLOODS.

$$

KSC027-051007-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0051.100705T0212Z-100707T0536Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.100705T0212Z.100705T1800Z.100706T1736Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...HIGHWAYS 24 AND 15 FLOOD. A HIGH FILL WHICH 
  CARRIES THE ROAD BED INTO CLAY CENTER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.

$$

KSC143-051007-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0050.100705T0437Z-100705T2030Z/
/ADAK1.1.ER.100705T0437Z.100705T0600Z.100705T0830Z.NO/
907 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT CREEK NEAR ADA.
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  8:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 18.5 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...MINOR LOW LAND FLOODING ALONG SALT CREEK.

$$

KSC085-177-051006-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0053.100705T1042Z-100706T0430Z/
/DELK1.1.ER.100705T1042Z.100705T1200Z.100705T1630Z.UU/
907 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOLDIER CREEK NEAR DELIA.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO MONDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 26.3 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.5 FEET...106 ROAD IN SOUTHERN JACKSON COUNTY FLOODS 
  ABOUT 200 FEET WEST OF SOLDIER CREEK.

$$
935 
WGUS83 KTOP 051010
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  FANCY CREEK NEAR RANDOLPH AFFECTING RILEY COUNTY 
  LITTLE BLUE RIVER ABOVE BARNES AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  MILL CREEK NEAR PAXICO AFFECTING WABAUNSEE COUNTY 
  REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS..
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  CROSS CREEK NEAR ROSSVILLE AFFECTING SHAWNEE COUNTY 
  LYON CREEK ABOVE WOODBINE 7N AFFECTING GEARY COUNTY 
  SOLDIER CREEK NEAR DELIA AFFECTING JACKSON AND SHAWNEE COUNTIES 
  VERMILLION CREEK NEAR LOUISVILLE 5NE AFFECTING POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY
  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC085-177-051810-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-100706T1630Z/
/DELK1.2.ER.100705T0235Z.100705T0645Z.100706T0430Z.UU/
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOLDIER CREEK NEAR DELIA.
* AT  4:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 28.7 FEET...106 ROAD FLOODS ABOUT 250 FEET EAST OF 
  SOLDIER CREEK IN SOUTHERN JACKSON COUNTY.

$$

KSC149-051810-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0057.100705T1545Z-100707T1315Z/
/LOUK1.2.ER.100705T1545Z.100706T0600Z.100706T1915Z.NO/
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE VERMILLION CREEK NEAR LOUISVILLE 5NE.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 35.0 
  FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE CREEK FLOOD.

$$

KSC117-051810-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.100620T1444Z.100705T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* AT  4:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 37.2 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS FROM MARYSVILLE TO TUTTLE CREEK LAKE.

$$

KSC117-051810-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0049.100706T0030Z-100707T0718Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.100706T0030Z.100706T1200Z.100706T1918Z.NO/
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  4:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE RIVER.

$$

KSC177-051809-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-100707T0840Z/
/RSSK1.1.ER.100705T1012Z.100706T0000Z.100707T0240Z.UU/
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CROSS CREEK NEAR ROSSVILLE.
* AT  4:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 28.0 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...PINE AND POTTAWATOMIE STREETS NEAR THE CREEK
  FLOOD. HOMES WILL BE THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS IN ROSSVILLE NORTH 
  OF THE RAILROAD TRACKS.

$$

KSC161-051809-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-100706T0721Z/
/RDPK1.1.ER.100705T0025Z.100705T0223Z.100705T1321Z.NO/
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE FANCY CREEK NEAR RANDOLPH.
* AT  9:23 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE CREEK FLOOD.


$$

KSC117-051809-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-100706T0824Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.100705T1102Z.100705T1200Z.100705T1424Z.NO/
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE BLUE RIVER ABOVE BARNES.
* AT  6:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...LOWLAND AGRICULTURAL FLOODING OCCURS FROM 
  15TH ROAD AND ZENITH ROAD IN WASHINGTON COUNTY TO WATERVILLE IN 
  MARSHALL COUNTY.

$$

KSC061-051809-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-100707T1750Z/
/WDBK1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.100706T1200Z.100706T2350Z.NO/
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LYON CREEK ABOVE WOODBINE 7N.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 24.0 
  FEET TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE CREEK FLOOD.

$$

KSC197-051809-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-100706T1728Z/
/PXCK1.1.ER.100705T1021Z.100705T1200Z.100706T0528Z.UU/
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MILL CREEK NEAR PAXICO.
* AT  4:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25.0 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...LOW LYING FARM FIELDS FLOOD ALONG THE CREEK.


$$

KSC027-051809-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-100707T0834Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.100705T0146Z.100705T1800Z.100706T2034Z.NO/
510 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER.
* AT 12:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...HIGHWAYS 24 AND 15 FLOOD. A HIGH FILL WHICH 
  CARRIES THE ROAD BED INTO CLAY CENTER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.

$$
813 
WGUS83 KTOP 051608
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1108 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  CROSS CREEK NEAR ROSSVILLE AFFECTING SHAWNEE COUNTY 
  LITTLE BLUE RIVER ABOVE BARNES AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  LYON CREEK ABOVE WOODBINE 7N AFFECTING GEARY COUNTY 
  MILL CREEK NEAR PAXICO AFFECTING WABAUNSEE COUNTY 
  REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  VERMILLION CREEK NEAR LOUISVILLE 5NE AFFECTING POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS..
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC149-060008-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-100708T0101Z/
/LOUK1.2.ER.100706T0327Z.100706T1800Z.100707T0701Z.NO/
1108 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE VERMILLION CREEK NEAR LOUISVILLE 5NE.
* AT  9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 35.9 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.


$$

KSC117-060008-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.100620T1444Z.100709T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1108 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* AT 10:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 36.9 FEET BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND THEN WILL BEGIN TO FALL FRIDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

KSC117-060008-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0049.100705T2323Z-100707T1747Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.100705T2323Z.100706T1200Z.100707T0547Z.NO/
1108 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.1 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

KSC177-060008-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-100707T0508Z/
/RSSK1.1.ER.100706T0325Z.100706T1200Z.100706T2308Z.UU/
1108 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CROSS CREEK NEAR ROSSVILLE.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 26.7 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK OCCURRS.

$$

KSC117-060008-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-100707T2100Z/
/BARK1.1.ER.100706T0000Z.100706T0600Z.100707T0300Z.NO/
1108 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE BLUE RIVER ABOVE BARNES.
* AT 10:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING 
  AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 16.5 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FARM FIELD NORTH OF THE RIVER ON THE WEST 
  SIDE OF HIGHWAY 148 FLOODS.

$$

KSC061-060008-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-100708T0051Z/
/WDBK1.1.ER.100706T0943Z.100706T1800Z.100707T0651Z.NO/
1108 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LYON CREEK ABOVE WOODBINE 7N.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WITH A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 19.6 
  FEET TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
  

$$

KSC197-060008-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-100707T0613Z/
/PXCK1.1.ER.100705T2348Z.100706T0600Z.100706T1813Z.UU/
1108 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MILL CREEK NEAR PAXICO.
* AT  9:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE CREEK WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

KSC027-060008-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-100708T1500Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.100705T0146Z.100706T1800Z.100708T0300Z.NO/
1108 AM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER.
* AT 12:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...HIGHWAYS 24 AND 15 FLOOD. A HIGH FILL WHICH 
  CARRIES THE ROAD BED INTO CLAY CENTER BEGINS TO OVERFLOW.

$$
821 
WGUS83 KTOP 052120
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
420 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS...
 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  CROSS CREEK NEAR ROSSVILLE AFFECTING SHAWNEE COUNTY 
  REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER AFFECTING CLAY COUNTY 
  SOLOMON RIVER AT MINNEAPOLIS AFFECTING OTTAWA COUNTY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN KANSAS..
  BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY 
  LYON CREEK ABOVE WOODBINE AFFECTING GEARY COUNTY 
  MILL CREEK NEAR PAXICO AFFECTING WABAUNSEE COUNTY 
  VERMILLION CREEK NEAR LOUISVILLE AFFECTING POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY
  
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC149-060520-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-100708T0101Z/
/LOUK1.2.ER.100706T0327Z.100706T1800Z.100707T0701Z.NO/
420 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE VERMILLION CREEK NEAR LOUISVILLE.
* AT  9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 35.9 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE CREEK WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...LOW LAND FLOODING OCCURS NEAR THE CREEK.

$$

KSC117-060520-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLRK1.1.ER.100620T1444Z.100705T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
420 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BIG BLUE RIVER NEAR BLUE RAPIDS.
* AT  3:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 35.2 FEET BY 
  MONDAY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS FROM 
  MARYSVILLE TO TUTTLE CREEK LAKE.

$$

KSC117-060520-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0049.100706T1100Z-100707T1918Z/
/FKFK1.1.ER.100706T1100Z.100706T1800Z.100707T0718Z.NO/
420 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  3:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLAND AREAS OCCURS ALONG
  THE RIVER FROM VERMILLION TO THE MOUTH OF THE BLACK VERMILLION 
  RIVER.

$$

KSC177-060519-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-100708T0000Z/
/RSSK1.1.ER.100706T0748Z.100707T0000Z.100707T1800Z.UU/
420 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CROSS CREEK NEAR ROSSVILLE.
* AT  3:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.8 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING. THE CREEK 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY LATE AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK OCCURRS.

$$

KSC061-060519-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-100708T0051Z/
/WDBK1.1.ER.100706T0943Z.100706T1800Z.100707T0651Z.NO/
420 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LYON CREEK ABOVE WOODBINE.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS FORECAST TO HAVE A MAXIMUM VALUE OF 19.6 
  FEET TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE CREEK FLOOD.

$$

KSC197-060519-
/O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-100707T0613Z/
/PXCK1.1.ER.100705T2256Z.100706T0600Z.100706T1813Z.UU/
420 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MILL CREEK NEAR PAXICO.
* AT  3:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.3 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE 
  CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...LOW LYING FARM FIELDS AND CAMPSITES ALONG 
  THE CREEK BEGIN TO FLOOD.

$$

KSC027-060519-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-100707T2300Z/
/CYCK1.1.ER.100705T0146Z.100706T0000Z.100707T1100Z.NO/
420 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE REPUBLICAN RIVER AT CLAY CENTER.
* AT 3:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 19.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO DECREASE TO 18.8 
  FEET THIS EVENING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS BETWEEN 16TH...17TH AND 18TH
  ROADS AND BETWEEN LIMESTONE AND OSAGE ROADS.

$$

KSC143-060519-
/O.EXT.KTOP.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-100706T1737Z/
/MPSK1.1.ER.100705T1726Z.100706T0000Z.100706T0537Z.NO/
420 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOLOMON RIVER AT MINNEAPOLIS.
* AT  3:22 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 26.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...THE RIVER JUST WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 106 
  BRIDGE FLOODS.

$$
664 
WGUS83 KTOP 060222
FLSTOP
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
922 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING STREAMS IN 
KANSAS...
 
  BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT AFFECTING MARSHALL COUNTY
  CROSS CREEK NEAR ROSSVILLE AFFECTING SHAWNEE COUNTY
  LYON CREEK ABOVE WOODBINE 7N AFFECTING GEARY COUNTY
  VERMILLION CREEK NEAR LOUISVILLE 5NE AFFECTING POTTAWATOMIE COUNTY
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED AREAS.  SHALLOW FLOWING 
WATER CAN WASH A CAR FROM THE ROADWAY.  ALSO...THE ROADBED MAY BE 
WASHED OUT UNDER THE WATER.  

STAY TUNED TO LATER DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO 
AND LOCAL MEDIA.  

&&

KSC117-060252-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100707T1918Z/
/FKFK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK VERMILLION RIVER AT FRANKFORT.
* AT  8:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10.2 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 5.4 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.


$$

KSC177-060252-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-100708T0000Z/
/RSSK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
922 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CROSS CREEK NEAR ROSSVILLE.
* AT  8:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 24.5 FEET.  THE 
  CREEK WILL FALL TO 18.3 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.


$$

KSC061-060252-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-100708T0051Z/
/WDBK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LYON CREEK ABOVE WOODBINE.
* AT 7 PM THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 13.0 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK IS FORECAST BELOW FLOOD STAGE WITH A MAXIMUM 
  VALUE OF 14.6 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

KSC149-060252-
/O.CAN.KTOP.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-100708T0101Z/
/LOUK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM CDT MON JUL 5 2010

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE VERMILLION CREEK NEAR LOUISVILLE.
* AT  5:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 13.4 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 9.6 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 4, 12:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 12:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1233 PM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR THE 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION

&&

.AVIATION...

FORECAST STILL REMAINS TOUGH TO SIFT THROUGH. HOWEVER...DO EXPECT
CONDITIONS TO REMAIN MOSTLY MVFR WITH OCCASIONAL VFR CONDITIONS AT TERMINALS.
DEEP TROPICAL FETCH CONTINUES OVER KANSAS FROM THE TROPICAL PACIFIC.
NUMEROUS SMALL SHRTWVS ARE OBSERVED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH
WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE -SHRA/-TSRA OVER THE AREA. IN ADDITION...OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY AND PACIFIC FRONT MOVING SE OUT OF NEBRASKA IS HELPING TO
ENHANCE CONVECTION OVER NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. LINE OF MODERATE
RAIN HAS DEVELOPED WITH THIS FEATURE AND MVFR/IFR CIGS ASSOCIATED
WITH IT WHICH WILL MOVE SE INTO THE TERMINALS BETWEEN 18Z-23Z.
TONIGHT ALSO REMAINS IN QUESTION AS MODELS ARE HINTING AT CIGS
BECOMING IFR BY 12Z. LEFT CIGS MVFR FOR NOW.

&&

BYRNE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 344 AM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010/

DISCUSSION...

FCST FOCUS REMAINS ON PRECIP CHCS AND DURATION/AMOUNTS THROUGH THE
NEXT 72 HRS.

LATEST WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS A LARGE PLUME OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
IN PLACE ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. PW VALUES REMAIN
AROUND 2 INCHES OR 150-200 PERCENT OF NORMAL. SEVERAL WEAK
DISTURBANCES CONTINUE TO DRIFT NE WITHIN THE MODEST SW FLOW ALOFT
EACH ENHANCING AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ACROSS OK/KS THIS
MORNING. ANOTHER DECAYING MCS ACROSS NE WAS ACTING TO DRIVE THE
SFC FRONT SOUTH INTO NW KS/SOUTHERN NE THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT
WILL BE KEY TO MORE FOCUSED CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ADDITIONAL FORCING IS ON THE WAY AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE NOW ACROSS
THE GREAT BASIN TRACKS TOWARD THE PLAINS OVERNIGHT.

TODAY...BOUTS OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL OCCUR AS A
SERIES OF WAVES PROVIDES MODEST LIFT WITHIN THE EXTREMELY MOIST
AIRMASS IN PLACE. HIGHS SHOULD ATTEMPT TO REACH AROUND 80 IN MOST
SPOTS AND PERHAPS A BIT WARMER SE WHERE PRECIP MAY BEGIN LATER.

TONIGHT-MON NIGHT...STRONGER LIFT WILL ARRIVE AS THE UPPER WAVE
APPROACHES. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE SFC-850MB FRONT WILL PROVIDE THE
LOW LEVEL FORCING WHILE THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET
PROVIDES THE SUPPORT FOR ORGANIZED RAIN AND STORMS. WARM CLOUD
DEPTH AOA 12KFT/PWATS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES AND LLJ OF 30-40KTS
ALL SUGGEST THE RISK FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. RECENT DRY WEATHER
SHOULD HELP TO MITIGATE THE INITIAL HEAVY RAINS TONIGHT HOWEVER IT
APPEARS THAT WE WILL REMAIN WITHIN SW FLOW ALOFT WITH A SFC-850MB
BOUNDARY IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY INTO EARLY TUES AS ANOTHER UPPER
WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. IT IS THIS SET UP AND THE
ASSOCIATED RISK FOR ADDITIONAL BOUTS OF HEAVY RAINS THAT COULD
EVENTUALLY PRODUCE FLOODING COME MONDAY INTO EARLY TUES IF WE SEE
THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO AS MUCH AS 6 INCHES AS HPC IS
SUGGESTING COULD FALL. FEEL THAT GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
IT IS BEST TO HIGHLIGHT THE RISK WITH A WATCH FOR LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH MON NIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA GIVEN UNCERTAINLY IN THE
POSITION OF THE FRONT BEYOND 24 HOURS.

TUES AND BEYOND...LATEST GUIDANCE HAS HIGH POPS THROUGH TUES WITH
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CHANGE IN OUR SYNOPTIC SETTING. SOME HOPE
THAT ANY LOW LEVEL FRONT WILL SAG SOUTH OF THE AREA BY MID WEEK
BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW BEYOND TUES.

AVIATION...

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY FOR KSZ008-KSZ009-KSZ010-KSZ020-
KSZ021-KSZ034.

FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM TUESDAY FOR KSZ011-KSZ012-
KSZ022-KSZ023-KSZ024-KSZ026-KSZ035-KSZ036-KSZ037-KSZ038-KSZ039-
KSZ040-KSZ054-KSZ055-KSZ056-KSZ058-KSZ059.

&&

BYRNE
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 4:32 AM CDT, 9 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
432 AM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-050945-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
432 AM CDT SUN JUL 4 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TODAY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

BY TONIGHT...RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
AND HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN LIKELY MONDAY WITH ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. THE RISK FOR RAIN AND FLOODING WILL PERSIST
INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED TO LINGER INTO
TUESDAY. SOME AREAS COULD RECEIVE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY. IF THIS OCCURS...IT
COULD BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE FLOODING OF AREA CREEKS...STREAMS AND
RIVERS BY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT HOWEVER
RAINFALL REPORTS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH MONDAY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 4, 11:42 AM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1142 AM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1142 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 ENE ADA               39.18N 97.82W
07/04/2010  M1.60 INCH       OTTAWA             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BYRNE
Local storm report, Jul 4, 11:58 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1158 AM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1157 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NE DELPHOS            39.33N 97.71W
07/04/2010  M3.00 INCH       CLOUD              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BYRNE
Local storm report, Jul 4, 12:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1242 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1241 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 NE DELPHOS            39.33N 97.71W
07/04/2010  M4.75 INCH       CLOUD              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.75 INCHES FALLEN IN LESS THAN 1 HOUR.

&&

BYRNE
Local storm report, Jul 4, 1:09 PM CDT, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
109 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NE DELPHOS            39.32N 97.73W
07/04/2010  M3.75 INCH       CLOUD              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BYRNE
Local storm report, Jul 4, 1:19 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
119 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0117 PM     FLOOD            3 E DELPHOS             39.27N 97.72W
07/04/2010                   OTTAWA             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFF REPORTED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF WATER OVER HWY 41 IN
            SEVERAL LOCATIONS.

&&

BYRNE
Local storm report, Jul 4, 1:20 PM CDT, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
120 PM CDT SUN JUL 04 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1255 PM     FLOOD            ADA                     39.15N 97.89W
07/04/2010                   OTTAWA             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TWO TO THREE INCHES OF WATER RUNNING OVER MULBERRY ROAD
            NEAR ADA.

&&

BYRNE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 4:14 AM CDTFlood WatchTOPAnderson, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson and 17 more48 hr
Jul 4, 11:35 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Marshall, Ottawa, Republic, Washington6 hr
Jul 4, 1:51 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPWashington16 hr
Jul 4, 4:40 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningTOPBrown, Dickinson, Geary, Jackson, Lyon, Marshall and 6 more3 hr
Jul 4, 5:34 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningTOPClay, Cloud, Marshall, Ottawa, Washington116 min
Jul 4, 6:18 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPOttawa12 hr
Jul 4, 6:49 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPClay44 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kansas, 2010Every river flood warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.