Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2010
River Flood Warning 49, NWS Tallahassee, FL
NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this river flood warning at Mar 12, 2010, 2:56 AM CST for 4 counties in Florida. It was in force for 11 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 12, 2010, 2:56 AM CST (08:56 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 23, 2010, 8:48 AM CDT
- In force
- 11 days
- Issued by
- NWS Tallahassee, FL
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Calhoun County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Liberty County, FL
The radar
The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Apalachicola River near Blountstown (BLOF1).
- Action stage
- 13 ft
- Minor stage
- 17 ft
- Moderate stage
- 23.5 ft
- Major stage
- 26 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02358700, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
244
WGUS42 KTAE 120856
FLWTAE
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
356 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-130856-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FL.W.0049.100312T0856Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100313T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
356 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 12:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.6 FEET BY THIS EVENING
THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. THIS LEVEL IS THE TOP OF
THE BANK AT THE MARINA.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 15.3 FRI 12 AM 15.8 16.0 15.5 15.7 16.5
$$14 follow-up statements
045
WGUS82 KTAE 121635
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1135 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING APALACHICOLA RIVER
NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES...
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-131635-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100315T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1135 AM EST FRI MAR 12 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.1 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING
THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT DOUGLAS LANDING
AND WILLIS LANDING CAMPGROUNDS. THE 19.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER LEVELS IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...
WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 15.9 FRI 08 AM 17.1 17.9 18.1 17.8 17.1
$$575
WGUS82 KTAE 131508
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1008 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE APALACHICOLA RIVER
NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES...
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-141508-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100315T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1008 AM EST SAT MAR 13 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.8 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING
THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT DOUGLAS LANDING
AND WILLIS LANDING CAMPGROUNDS. THE 19.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER LEVELS IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...
WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SUN MON TUE WED THU
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 17.0 SAT 08 AM 18.2 18.8 18.3 17.8 17.5
$$242
WGUS82 KTAE 141337
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
937 AM EDT SUN MAR 14 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA..
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-151337-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100315T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM EDT SUN MAR 14 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY
AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT DOUGLAS LANDING
AND WILLIS LANDING CAMPGROUNDS. THE 19.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER LEVELS IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...
WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED THU FRI
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 18.6 SUN 09 AM 20.0 19.9 19.1 18.4 17.8
$$209
WGUS82 KTAE 151337
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
937 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA..
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-161337-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100315T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM EDT MON MAR 15 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING
THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT DOUGLAS LANDING
AND WILLIS LANDING CAMPGROUNDS. THE 19.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER LEVELS IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...
WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 19.8 MON 09 AM 19.6 18.8 18.0 16.7 16.5
$$
DUGGAN937
WGUS82 KTAE 161309
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
909 AM EDT TUE MAR 16 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA..
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-171309-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100316T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 AM EDT TUE MAR 16 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 5:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.6 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON
THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ON MANY ROADS
INCLUDING BYRD PARKER ROAD...WARMOUTH DRIVE...GASKIN PARK...THE END OF LAKE
GROVE ROAD...ELM STREET ON RED BULL ISLAND AND LOWER LANDING ON HOWARDS CREEK.
THE 22.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER
LEVELS IN THE THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND
SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI SAT SUN
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 20.3 TUE 05 AM 19.1 17.7 16.3 16.2 16.5
$$540
WGUS82 KTAE 170219
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1019 PM EDT TUE MAR 16 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-180219-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 PM EDT TUE MAR 16 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.5 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT
TOMORROW. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR ON MANY ROADS
INCLUDING BYRD PARKER ROAD...WARMOUTH DRIVE...GASKIN PARK...THE END OF LAKE
GROVE ROAD...ELM STREET ON RED BULL ISLAND AND LOWER LANDING ON HOWARDS CREEK.
THE 22.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER
LEVELS IN THE THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND
SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI SAT SUN
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 20.5 TUE 09 PM 20.3 18.0 16.1 16.1 16.3
$$914
WGUS82 KTAE 171324
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
924 AM EDT WED MAR 17 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA..
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-181324-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100316T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 AM EDT WED MAR 17 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 18.2 FEET BY TOMORROW
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT DOUGLAS LANDING
AND WILLIS LANDING CAMPGROUNDS. THE 19.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER LEVELS IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...
WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 20.3 WED 09 AM 18.2 15.8 15.7 16.1 16.5
$$
DUGGAN857
WGUS82 KTAE 180141
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
941 PM EDT WED MAR 17 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-190141-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100316T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
941 PM EDT WED MAR 17 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 17.5 FEET BY FRIDAY
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT DOUGLAS LANDING
AND WILLIS LANDING CAMPGROUNDS. THE 19.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER LEVELS IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...
WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME THU FRI SAT SUN MON
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 20.1 WED 09 PM 19.7 17.5 16.0 16.2 16.5
$$059
WGUS82 KTAE 181332
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
932 AM EDT THU MAR 18 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-191332-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100323T0600Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100316T2100Z.100323T0000Z.NO/
932 AM EDT THU MAR 18 2010
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY
EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT DOUGLAS LANDING
AND WILLIS LANDING CAMPGROUNDS. THE 19.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER LEVELS IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...
WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 19.8 THU 09 AM 18.1 16.8 16.7 16.2 14.4
$$785
WGUS82 KTAE 191428
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1028 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE APALACHICOLA RIVER
IN FLORIDA NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES...
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-201428-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100323T0515Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100316T2100Z.100322T2315Z.NO/
1028 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY
EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT DOUGLAS LANDING
AND WILLIS LANDING CAMPGROUNDS. THE 19.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER LEVELS IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...
WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON TUE WED
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 19.0 FRI 09 AM 16.9 16.1 16.2 14.1 13.9
$$230
WGUS82 KTAE 201438
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1037 AM EDT SAT MAR 20 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE APALACHICOLA RIVER
IN FLORIDA NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES...
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-211437-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100325T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100316T2100Z.100324T1800Z.NO/
1037 AM EDT SAT MAR 20 2010
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY
EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT DOUGLAS LANDING
AND WILLIS LANDING CAMPGROUNDS. THE 19.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER LEVELS IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...
WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SUN MON TUE WED THU
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 18.1 SAT 09 AM 17.2 16.3 15.6 15.1 14.8
$$839
WGUS82 KTAE 211454
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1054 AM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-221454-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100316T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1054 AM EDT SUN MAR 21 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 16.8 FEET BY TOMORROW
MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING WILL OCCUR AT DOUGLAS LANDING
AND WILLIS LANDING CAMPGROUNDS. THE 19.0 FT LEVEL AT BLOUNTSTOWN MAY AT TIMES
NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF RIVER LEVELS IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS...
WINDS OR LOCAL RAINFALL AND SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME MON TUE WED THU FRI
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 17.6 SUN 09 AM 16.8 15.8 15.4 15.4 15.4
$$366
WGUS82 KTAE 221422
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1022 AM EDT MON MAR 22 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
AUCILLA RIVER AT LAMONT AFFECTING JEFFERSON...MADISON AND TAYLOR COUNTIES
...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-231422-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100324T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100316T2100Z.100323T1800Z.NO/
1022 AM EDT MON MAR 22 2010
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 5:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW
EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. THIS LEVEL IS THE TOP OF
THE BANK AT THE MARINA.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 16.3 MON 05 AM 15.1 14.9 14.8 14.7 14.7
$$
FLC065-079-123-231421-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAMF1.1.ER.100118T2000Z.100125T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 AM EDT MON MAR 22 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE AUCILLA RIVER AT LAMONT.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 10.2 FEET.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME TUE WED THU FRI SAT
AUCILLA RIVER
LAMONT 9 10.2 MON 09 AM 10.2 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.9
$$236
WGUS82 KTAE 231348
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
948 AM EDT TUE MAR 23 2010
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES
SAFETY MESSAGE...ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD
WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
&&
FLC013-037-045-077-231418-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100324T0000Z/
/BLOF1.1.ER.100312T0154Z.100316T2100Z.100323T1120Z.NO/
948 AM EDT TUE MAR 23 2010
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN.
* AT 9:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET.
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 7:20 AM TUESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 14.7 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...MINOR LOWLAND FLOODING BEGINS. THIS LEVEL IS THE TOP OF
THE BANK AT THE MARINA.
&&
FLD OBSERVED 7AM EST / 8AM EDT FORECAST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME WED THU FRI SAT SUN
APALACHICOLA RIVER
BLOUNTSTOWN 15 14.9 TUE 09 AM 14.7 14.8 14.7 14.7 14.7
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 11, 8:48 PM CST, 6 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 11, 8:48 PM CST, 6 hours 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 948 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010 .DISCUSSION...01 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A 998 MB SURFACE LOW ABOUT NEAR DES MOINES WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING DOWN THE MID AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. DEWPOINT ANALYSIS SHOWS THE 60 DEGREE LINE JUST NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA WITH DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE LOWER 60S ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA WITH MID 60S JUST OFFSHORE. SURFACE DATA SHOW VERY WEAK ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS LOUISIANA. UPPER AIR DATA FROM 00 UTC SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE 175KT 250 MB JET MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. EVEN THE SOUNDING FROM KTAE AT 250 MB SHOWED A WIND OF 153 KT WITH THE PEAK WIND IN THE SOUNDING (164 KT) REPORTED AT 200 MB. VAPOR IMAGERY AND 500 MB DATA SHOW A LOW RIGHT ON TOP OF THE SURFACE FEATURE ACROSS IOWA WITH THE SECONDARY SOUTHERN STREAM IMPULSE MOVING INTO THE ARKLATEX. IT IS THIS SECONDARY IMPULSE THAT SHOULD GET THINGS GOING ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF COAST STATES TONIGHT. THE KTAE SOUNDING SHOWS A RELATIVELY DRY LAYER FROM 900 MB ON UP TO 600 MB. LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS HAS INDUCED A CAPPING INVERSION AT 900 MB. LAPSE RATES IN THE 700-500 MB LAYER ARE ACTUALLY PRETTY GOOD AND WITH SOME DYNAMICAL COOLING EXPECTED AS THE UPPER IMPULSE APPROACHES...THIS LAYER WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY MORE FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION. FOR THE IMMEDIATE SHORT TERM OF THE FORECAST...VERY LITTLE IS EXPECTED TO HAPPEN TONIGHT. LOWER AND MID LEVEL DRY AIR WILL HELP LIMIT THE OVERALL COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION AND KEEP IT ON THE LIGHT SIDE. OVER TIME...AS THE LOW LEVELS MOISTEN...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD...BUT MODEL SOUNDINGS TEND TO AGREE THAT THIS WON'T HAPPEN UNTIL CLOSER TO DAYBREAK. AFTER SUNRISE THERE IS SOME CONCERN AS TO HOW THE CONVECTION WILL UNFOLD. THE 11/09Z WRF WAS SHOWING VERY LITTLE ACTIVITY IN THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY JUST CONFINED TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE 11/21Z WRF HOWEVER SHOWS MUCH MORE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE WITH EVEN SOME DECENT CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS PRESENT IN THE SIMULATED REFLECTIVITY BY AFTERNOON. THIS ALSO SEEMS TO BE CLOSER TO THE 11/18Z NAM. AS FAR AS SEVERE CHANCES GO...0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES APPROACH 50-55 KTS BY MID MORNING ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE SHEAR PROFILE BECOMES MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL AS THE COLD FRONT NEARS...WITH THE BULK OF THE FASTER FLOW IN THE 3-6 KM LAYER. THUS...THE OVERALL TORNADO POTENTIAL SEEMS RELATIVELY LOW. HOWEVER...THERMODYNAMICALLY...THE MODELS ARE LATCHING ON TO SOME BETTER INSTABILITY IN THE LAST COUPLE OF CYCLES. THE GFS HAS BETTER INSTABILITY THAN ANY OF THE MODELS...MUCAPES IN THE 1000-1500 J/KG RANGE PRIMARILY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. SREF DATA DOES SHOW DECENT (30-50 PERCENT) PROBABILITIES OF THESE HIGHER MUCAPE VALUES...SO THERE IS SOME SUPPORT OUTSIDE THE GFS FOR THESE VALUES. THE REMAINING CONCERN WILL BE HOW MUCH OF A STABILIZING IMPACT THE MARINE LAYER WILL HAVE ON CONVECTION. THIS IMPACT IS ILLUSTRATED WELL IN THE LOCALLY RUN SEVERE PROBABILITIES WHICH SHOW 15% OR HIGHER SVR PROBS NORTH OF THE FLORIDA BORDER. GIVEN BETTER INSTABILITY PROFILES (AND LOWER FREEZING LEVELS) PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL WITH A DAMAGING WIND THREAT DEVELOPING PARTICULARLY IF ANY CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS CAN ORGANIZE INTO LINEAR SEGMENTS ALONG OR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS...BUT IT APPEARS TO BE MORE OF A SECONDARY THREAT AT THIS TIME. BASED ON THE LAST COUPLE OF MODEL RUNS WILL GO AHEAD AND PLACE SOME T+ WORDING IN THE GRIDS...BUT ONLY IN THE HIGHER CONFIDENCE AREAS OF SOUTH GEORGIA WHERE IT LOOKS LIKE THE COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND BETTER INSTABILITY WILL OVERLAP. WILL KEEP MENTION OF GUSTY WINDS ELSEWHERE. THE FLOOD WATCH WILL BE KEPT IN PLACE FOR NOW ACROSS THE HEAVILY RAINED ON AREAS OF NORTH FLORIDA AS A COUPLE OF MODELS DO SHOW THE POTENTIAL OF ANOTHER QUICK 1-2 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER STORMS. WILL BE MAKING A FEW OTHER MINOR TWEAKS TO THE CURRENT GRIDS...BUT NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES PLANNED AT THIS TIME. HAVE A GREAT NIGHT! && AVIATION...CONDITIONS HAVE BRIEFLY IMPROVED TO VFR...EXCEPT FOR LINGERING PATCHES OF IFR CEILINGS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA BIG BEND. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF A VERY MOIST AIRMASS AT LOW LEVELS...LIGHT SURFACE WINDS...AND A THINNING CLOUD COVER WILL RESULT IN A RETURN TO MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. CEILINGS WILL LOWER TO IFR AFTER MIDNIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME MVFR ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND IFR IN FOG ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY...CURRENTLY EXTENDING WEST TO EAST OFFSHORE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF...WILL BEGIN TO RETURN NORTHWARD LATER TONIGHT... SPREADING ADDITIONAL RAIN BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THEN NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING. A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST OF THE AREA...IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY...AND SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SQUALL LINE TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL. && .MARINE...WILL SEE CONDITIONS BELOW HEADLINE CRITERIA THIS EVENING AND TOMORROW...BUT WILL LIKELY SEE A PERIOD OF ADVISORY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND IN STRONG WESTERLY FLOW. && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...NONE. GA...NONE. FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING ALL ZONES. GM...NONE. && AVIATION...DUVAL REST OF DISCUSSION...GODSEY
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 11, 9:04 PM CST, 5 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1004 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010 ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-120900- COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN- CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL- IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE- DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 1004 PM EST THU MAR 11 2010 /904 PM CST THU MAR 11 2010/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. ...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION ON FRIDAY... .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... THE REGION WILL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS TONIGHT WITH A COLD FRONT LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE REGION. AS THIS COLD FRONT MOVES EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AND THE ATMOSPHERE ONCE AGAIN MOISTENS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS BEFORE DAYBREAK. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON FRIDAY AND COMBINE WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO GENERATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. DUE TO INCREASING WIND SHEAR AND AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION...SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE IN THE MORNING. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS MAY INCREASE AS THE LINE MOVES EASTWARD IN THE AFTERNOON INTO SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA WHERE GREATER INSTABILITY IS PREDICTED TO BE IN PLACE. THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS IF THESE STORMS CAN ORGANIZE INTO INDIVIDUAL LINES. THE TORNADO THREAT REMAINS LOW. DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE ON TAP FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND EARLY PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. DESPITE THE COOLER CONDITIONS...WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON FRIDAY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP. GODSEY
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 3:37 AM CST | Small Craft Advisory | TAE | 62 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2010Every river flood warning in 2010
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.