Red Flag Warning 40, NWS Tallahassee, FL

225 
WWUS82 KTAE 190826
RFWTAE

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
426 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/
TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ TODAY FOR MOST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35
PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THESE
SAME AREAS DUE TO PROBABLE LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND HIGH DISPERSIONS...

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE RESPONSIBLE FOR YESTERDAYS
CLOUDS HAVE MOVED FURTHER OFFSHORE. IN ITS WAKE...DRY AIR WITH
CLEARING SKIES WILL BRIEFLY FILTER INTO THE AREA TODAY AND
SATURDAY...INCREASING THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LATER TODAY FOR MOST OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND...EXCLUDING THE WESTERN COASTAL COUNTIES...
DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. A WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THESE SAME AREAS ON SATURDAY DUE TO LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY COUPLED WITH VERY HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS LEADING TO EQUALLY
TRANSPORT WINDS AND HIGH DISPERSIONS.

FLZ008-012-014-015-190930-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.A.0036.100320T1800Z-100320T2300Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN-
426 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010 /326 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010/

...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SATURDAY IS CANCELLED ...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH. 

.THE AIRMASS ACROSS THESE COASTAL COUNTIES SHOULD REMAIN 
SUFFICIENTLY MOIST THAT CRITICAL DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

$$

FLZ007-192330-
/O.EXA.KTAE.FW.W.0040.100319T1800Z-100319T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0036.100320T1800Z-100320T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-
326 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT
THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FLZ009>011-013-016>019-026>029-034-192330-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0040.100319T1800Z-100319T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0036.100320T1800Z-100320T2300Z/
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-
LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
426 AM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010 /326 AM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/
THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/
THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG
WARNINGS.

&&

$$

BLOCK

014 
WWUS82 KTAE 191858
RFWTAE

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
258 PM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/
TODAY FOR MOST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND DUE TO LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR
ALL OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND EXCEPT FRANKLIN
COUNTY DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35
PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DRY
CONDITIONS TODAY WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...ENOUGH DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TO SEE ONE MORE DAY
OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-034-201130-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0036.100320T1800Z-100320T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0041.100320T1800Z-100320T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-100319T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
258 PM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010 /158 PM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM
EDT /6 PM CDT/ SATURDAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT DUE TO EXPECTED LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FLZ008-012-014-201130-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0041.100320T1800Z-100320T2300Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-GULF-
158 PM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT SATURDAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

18-WOOL

898 
WWUS82 KTAE 192329
RFWTAE

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
729 PM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010

...A RED FLAG REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND EXCEPT FRANKLIN COUNTY DUE TO
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE DRY
CONDITIONS TODAY WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...ENOUGH DRY AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TO SEE ONE MORE DAY
OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-034-201130-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-100319T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0041.100320T1800Z-100320T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
729 PM EDT FRI MAR 19 2010 /629 PM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010/

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/
TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ SATURDAY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

FLZ008-012-014-201130-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0041.100320T1800Z-100320T2300Z/
COASTAL WALTON-BAY-GULF-
629 PM CDT FRI MAR 19 2010

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 6 PM CDT
SATURDAY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
825 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2010

...WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK...

.UPDATE...
00Z WATER VAPOR AND H4 RUC ANALYSIS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE PESKY UPPER
LOW SPINNING ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST WITH ASSOCIATED TROUGHING
COVERING OUR FORECAST AREA. BAD NEWS...THE LOW/MID LEVEL COLD POOL
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE GAVE US ANOTHER WELL BELOW NORMAL DAY
IN TERMS OF TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY. GOOD NEWS...THIS LOW WILL
BE EXITING EASTWARD OVERNIGHT WITH HEIGHT RISES BUILDING OVERHEAD
INTO FRIDAY...AND TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING.

AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST
WILL BE BUILDING EASTWARD TONIGHT AND TAKE UP RESIDENCE OVERHEAD BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

OVERNIGHT...AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES EAST IT WILL BEGIN TO TAKE
MUCH OF THE LOWER/MID LEVEL MOISTURE WITH IT...AND ALLOW THE
CLEARING TREND SEEN SO FAR THIS EVENING TO CONTINUE. STILL GOING TO
BE A BIT COOL LATER TONIGHT WITH TEMPS SLOWLY FALLING INTO THE 40S.

FRIDAY...VERY PLEASANT MARCH DAY ON TAP. PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES EXPECTED...WITH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON CU FORMING OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION. 850MB TEMPS REBOUNDING TO WITHIN A
DEGREE OR TWO OF 5C. NOT GOING TO HAVE FULL MIXING WITH THE SURFACE
HIGH CENTER NEARLY OVERHEAD...HOWEVER SHOULD STILL BE ABLE TO REACH
THE LOWER 70S AWAY FROM THE COAST. AS INLAND TEMPS WARM...THE
LACK OF A GRADIENT SHOULD ALLOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEEBLE
SEA-BREEZE CIRCULATION. RECENT HI-RES MODIS SEA SURFACE TEMP IMAGES
INDICATE THAT SHELF WATERS ARE STILL IN THE LOWER 60S ALONG THE
PANHANDLE COAST AND UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 IN APALACHEE BAY. THE
DEVELOPING SEA-BREEZE WILL TRANSPORT THE RESULTING COOLER MARINE
LAYER TO THE COAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND HOLD TEMPS IN THE 60S.
LOCATIONS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS OF TAYLOR AND DIXIE COUNTY MAY
FALL BACK INTO THE LOWER 60S DURING THE AFTERNOON AS SOME OF THE
COOLEST WATERS RESIDE JUST OFF THEIR SHORES.

&&

.AVIATION...
CIGS HAVE RISEN/BROKEN UP THIS AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS NOW
BEING REPORTED AT ALL TERMINALS. MAY SEE SOME BRIEF VSBY/CIG
RESTRICTIONS AROUND SUNRISE AT KTLH AND KVLD. OTHERWISE...VFR TO
PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...CONDITIONS OVER THE MARINE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE
AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TOWARD THE WATERS. WILL SEE A SHARP INCREASE
IN WINDS AND SEAS ON SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY
CONDITIONS AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY AND AS THE FRONT PASSES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE   45  73  42  75  52 /   0   0   0   0  20
PANAMA CITY   50  69  48  69  56 /   0   0   0   0  40
DOTHAN        44  73  45  76  53 /   0   0   0   0  30
ALBANY        44  73  44  77  52 /   0   0   0   0  20
VALDOSTA      45  73  43  77  52 /   0   0   0   0  10
CROSS CITY    45  73  42  76  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
APALACHICOLA  48  66  47  68  56 /   0   0   0   0  30

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/
     FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CALHOUN...DIXIE...GADSDEN...
     HOLMES...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...
     MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...COASTAL
     WALTON...DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...
     INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...
     LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.

GM...NONE.

&&

UPDATE...MROCZKA
AVIATION...CAMP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
702 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2010

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-191030-
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM  SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
702 PM EDT THU MAR 18 2010 /602 PM CDT THU MAR 18 2010/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE ON SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
QUICKLY EAST ACROSS THE AREA. ALTHOUGH THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME
STRONG WINDS ALOFT WITH THIS SYSTEM...IT APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR AN ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IT WILL BE COLDER EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT A
WIDESPREAD FREEZE DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA
OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP.

14-MROCZKA