Alert archive / Michigan / Tornado Watches in 2010

Tornado Watch 747

November 22, 20104 counties in Illinois; 19 counties in Indiana; 24 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 22, 2010, 5:13 PM CST for 4 counties in Illinois; 19 counties in Indiana; 24 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 22, 2010, 5:13 PM CST (23:13 UTC)
Expired
Nov 22, 2010, 9:29 PM CST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 47 counties

Ford County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Benton County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Newton County, IN, Parke County, IN, Porter County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN, White County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clare County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Isabella County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lake County, MI, Mason County, MI, Mecosta County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Muskegon County, MI, Newaygo County, MI, Oceana County, MI, Osceola County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Van Buren County, MI

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 235 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2010-11-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 333 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2010-11-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 309 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
333 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-45 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
591 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
309 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
310 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 22, 10:50 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson and 14 more85 min
Nov 22, 11:23 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Cass and 45 more7 hr
Nov 22, 2:10 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Carroll, Cass and 38 more95 min
Nov 22, 4:50 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay and 26 more7 hr
Nov 22, 3:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Cass, Ionia, Kalamazoo and 13 more86 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Michigan, 2010Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2010Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2010Every tornado watch in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.