Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2010

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 621

August 16, 201020 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 16, 2010, 3:08 PM CDT for 20 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2010, 3:08 PM CDT (20:08 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2010, 7:10 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Antelope County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boone County, NE, Brown County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Holt County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Platte County, NE, Rock County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE

The radar

The North Platte radar (KLNX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 3:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXAntelope, Madison, Pierce39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2010-08-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 19 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2010-08-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 76 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
19 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-246 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1203 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
76 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

357 
WWUS20 KWNS 162007
SEL1
SPC WW 162007
NEZ000-170300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 621
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT MON AUG 16 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       NORTHERN NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF MULLEN NEBRASKA TO 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
COLUMBUS NEBRASKA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 619...WW 620...

DISCUSSION...A COUPLE OF SUPERCELLS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON
ALONG A WNW-ESE ORIENTED LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE.  WHILE AMBIENT
AIR MASS IS NOT PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE...THE PRESENCE OF STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 40-50 KT OF DEEP NWLY SHEAR WILL REMAIN
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29030.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 2:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Cheyenne, Deuel, Kimball2 hr
Aug 16, 2:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Blaine, Boone, Brown, Burt, Cherry and 27 more85 min
Aug 16, 3:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Dawes, Kimball, Morrill and 2 more7 hr
Aug 16, 5:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Arthur, Blaine, Boone, Brown, Chase and 39 more28 min
Aug 16, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Chase, Deuel, Dundy, Garden, Hayes and 4 more6 hr
Aug 16, 6:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Box Butte, Cheyenne, Deuel, Garden, Kimball and 2 more61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2010Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.