Alert archive / Wyoming / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2010

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 511

July 21, 2010Carter County, Powder River County, Montana; 14 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 21, 2010, 2:49 PM MDT for Carter County, Powder River County, Montana; 14 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2010, 2:49 PM MDT (20:49 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2010, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Carter County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Albany County, WY, Campbell County, WY, Carbon County, WY, Converse County, WY, Crook County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Johnson County, WY, Laramie County, WY, Natrona County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY, Sheridan County, WY, Sweetwater County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Riverton/Lander radar (KRIW), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 3:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZSheridan30 min
Jul 21, 3:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell63 min
Jul 21, 3:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRIWNatrona27 min
Jul 21, 4:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZBig Horn, Powder River, Rosebud54 min
Jul 21, 4:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRCampbell, Crook, Weston49 min
Jul 21, 5:10 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRCrook, Weston65 min
Jul 21, 5:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCYSAlbany28 min
Jul 21, 6:16 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningCYSAlbany3 hr
Jul 21, 6:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRWeston62 min
Jul 21, 7:08 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningCYSNiobrara2 hr
Jul 21, 7:16 PM MDTTornado WarningUNRWeston29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Riverton, WY (KRIW), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Riverton, WY at 12:00Z on 2010-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 124 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Riverton, WY at 12:00Z on 2010-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
124 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-232 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1469 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 1:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Carter, Custer, Fallon, Powder River, Prairie and 3 more2 hr
Jul 21, 4:50 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroadwater, Gallatin, Judith Basin, Meagher, Park, Stillwater and 2 more55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wyoming, 2010Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2010Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.