Alert archive / Indiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2010

Mesoscale Discussion 821

June 5, 201029 counties in Indiana; Branch County, Saint Joseph County, Michigan; 11 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 5, 2010, 9:47 PM EDT for 29 counties in Indiana; Branch County, Saint Joseph County, Michigan; 11 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 58 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 5, 2010, 9:47 PM EDT (01:47 UTC)
Expired
Jun 5, 2010, 10:45 PM EDT
In force
58 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 42 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clinton County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Howard County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Branch County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Henry County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 228 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2010-06-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2440 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2010-06-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 126 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2440 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
829 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
6.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

779 
ACUS11 KWNS 060147
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060147 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-060245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0821
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0847 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN IND / NWRN OH / EXTREME SRN LOWER MICH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 060147Z - 060245Z

A TORNADO WATCH IS LIKELY IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO DOWNSTREAM OF THE
ONGOING TORNADO WATCHES LOCATED IN IL AND NWRN IND.  UPDRAFTS ARE
DEVELOPING IN NERN IND...IF THESE STORMS STRENGTHEN/DEEPEN AND
BECOME ORGANIZED...A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOONER RATHER THAN
LATER TO ADDRESS AN ISOLD TORNADO THREAT ACROSS NERN IND...NWRN
OH...AND EXTREME SRN LOWER MICH.

LATEST VWP/VAD DATA FROM NRN IND SHOWS A VERY SUPPORTIVE SUPERCELL
WIND PROFILE /0-3 KM SRH 500 M2 PER S2/ IN PLACE ACROSS THE WARM
SECTOR OVER NRN IND S OF A WARM FRONT THAT IS LOCATED OVER SRN LOWER
MICH.  KIWX RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS NEWLY DEVELOPED STORMS DEEPENING
WITH TIME...AS ECHO TOPS HAVE INCREASED IN HEIGHT AND LIGHTNING IS
NOW BEING OBSERVED AS OF 0135Z.  THIS SMALL CLUSTER OF STORMS IS
LOCATED ALONG A DIFFUSE RESIDUAL BOUNDARY FROM PRIOR
CONVECTION....AND IS DELINEATING A WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS
TO THE S OVER IND AND A COOLER/LESS UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN SRN LOWER
MICH.  IF THESE STORMS CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AND INCREASE IN
VIGOR...A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED AS SOON AS IN THE NEXT
HOUR--CONDITIONAL ON THE NERN IND STORM DEVELOPMENT.

..SMITH.. 06/06/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...IND...LOT...

LAT...LON   40318735 41718678 41908647 41958500 41818364 41508344
            41018344 40628410 40288534 40318735

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 5, 8:37 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter6 hr
Jun 5, 10:11 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 48 more7 hr
Jun 6, 12:17 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Benton, Blackford, Boone, Carroll and 44 more118 min
Jun 6, 2:03 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCFayette, Union, Wayne7 hr
Jun 6, 3:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Blackford, Boone, Clay, Clinton, Delaware and 24 more2 hr
Jun 6, 7:05 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCUnion115 min
Jun 5, 10:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Calhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson, Kalamazoo and 3 more61 min
Jun 5, 11:12 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson and 2 more2 hr
Jun 6, 12:30 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Ashtabula, Crawford, Cuyahoga, Delaware, Erie and 14 more3 hr
Jun 6, 7:51 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Athens, Belmont, Brown, Carroll, Clermont and 31 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2010Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2010Mesoscale Discussions in Michigan, 2010Every mesoscale discussion in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.