Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2010

Mesoscale Discussion 1021

June 19, 201012 counties in Kansas; 9 counties in Missouri; 12 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 19, 2010, 6:50 AM CDT for 12 counties in Kansas; 9 counties in Missouri; 12 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 55 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2010, 6:50 AM CDT (11:50 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2010, 7:45 AM CDT
In force
55 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 33 counties

Atchison County, KS, Brown County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Marshall County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Republic County, KS, Washington County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Andrew County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Holt County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ray County, MO, Clay County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 116 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2010-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3979 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2010-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 84 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3979 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1341 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
9.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

896 
ACUS11 KWNS 191150
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191150 
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-191245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1021
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 AM CDT SAT JUN 19 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SE NEB...NCNTRL AND NERN KS...NW MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 349...

VALID 191150Z - 191245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 349
CONTINUES.

THE WIND DAMAGE THREAT WITH A CLUSTER OF STORMS NEAR THE NEB-KS
STATE-LINE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING...MOVING TO THE EAST
OF WW 349. BECAUSE OF THIS...A NEW WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY ACROSS SE
NEB...NE KS AND POSSIBLY NW MO.

A CLUSTER OF STORMS JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF HASTINGS NEB IS LOCATED
ALONG THE NWRN EDGE OF STRONG INSTABILITY WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
SHOWING MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 3000 TO 4000 J/KG ACROSS NE KS. AS THE
STORMS MOVE INTO AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT...UPDRAFT
INTENSITY SHOULD REMAIN QUITE STRONG AND STORM COVERAGE MAY INCREASE
WITH TIME. IF THIS OCCURS...A BOWING LINE-SEGMENT WITH A POTENTIAL
FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY ORGANIZE AND PERSIST EWD TO THE KANSAS
CITY AND ST JOSEPH MO AREAS LATE THIS MORNING.

..BROYLES.. 06/19/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...

LAT...LON   38999414 39379617 39559786 39879856 40319867 40589832
            40669779 40569646 40129422 39659374 38999414

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 18, 10:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison89 min
Jun 18, 11:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCJohnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte5 hr
Jun 19, 4:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCloud, Jewell, Norton, Phillips, Republic, Smith88 min
Jun 19, 5:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCloud, Decatur, Jewell, Mitchell, Norton, Osborne and 3 more7 hr
Jun 19, 8:02 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Atchison, Brown, Chase, Clay, Coffey and 26 more7 hr
Jun 19, 11:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJohnson, Leavenworth, Miami, Wyandotte91 min
Jun 19, 3:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJewell, Norton, Phillips, Republic, Smith2 hr
Jun 19, 5:05 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCClay, Cloud, Decatur, Ellis, Geary, Gove and 17 more6 hr
Jun 19, 5:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee95 min
Jun 19, 6:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Cloud, Jewell, Marshall, Mitchell, Nemaha and 5 more95 min
Jun 18, 7:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Clark, Grundy, Harrison, Knox, Lewis and 5 more97 min
Jun 18, 8:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Clark, Grundy, Harrison, Knox, Lewis and 10 more4 hr
Jun 19, 2:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Camden, Crawford, Dent, Franklin, Gasconade and 12 more57 min
Jun 19, 1:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade and 15 more53 min
Jun 19, 1:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Franklin and 19 more5 hr
Jun 19, 1:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Chase, Cheyenne, Deuel, Dundy, Hayes and 4 more67 min
Jun 19, 1:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Banner, Chase, Cheyenne, Deuel, Dundy and 14 more5 hr
Jun 19, 5:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBanner, Cheyenne, Kimball, Morrill, Scotts Bluff, Sioux2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2010Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2010Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2010Every mesoscale discussion in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.