Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Springfield, MO

Bourbon County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

891 
WWUS83 KSGF 271735
RFWSGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1235 PM CDT WED OCT 27 2010

...RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...

KSZ073-097-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>082-091-092-096-097-105-280000-
/O.CON.KSGF.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-101028T0000Z/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-
HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-LACLEDE-
TEXAS-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-OZARK-
1235 PM CDT WED OCT 27 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...55...56...57...58...66...67...68...69...70
...71...77...78...79...80...81...82...91...92...96
...97...105
IN KANSAS...73...97

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR OR BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINED
WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS ALONG WITH DRY FUELS
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS 
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EASTERN OZARKS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

WFO SGF

113 
WWUS83 KSGF 272353
RFWSGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
653 PM CDT WED OCT 27 2010


KSZ073-097-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>082-091-092-096-097-105-280100-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-101028T0000Z/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-
HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-LACLEDE-
TEXAS-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-OZARK-
653 PM CDT WED OCT 27 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...55...56...57...58...66...67...68...69...70
...71...77...78...79...80...81...82...91...92...96
...97...105
IN KANSAS...73...97

WIND SPEED HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE AREA. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE TONIGHT AND ON THURSDAY...HOWEVER WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA FOR ANY ADDITIONAL RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

LINDENBERG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
322 AM CDT WED OCT 27 2010

.DISCUSSION...

DEEP CYCLONE CONTINUES TO ROTATE ACROSS NORTHERN MINNESOTA EARLY
THIS MORNING WITH PRESSURE TRENDS INDICATING SOME FILLING AND
WEAKENING OCCURRING. WIND GUSTS AROUND THIS SYSTEM ARE STILL
EXCEEDING 40 KNOTS OVER MUCH OF THE UPPER MIDWEST. THIS TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS SHIFTED OUR WINDS BACK TO THE SOUTH THIS
MORNING AND HELD TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL PUSH EASTWARD INTO THE OZARKS TODAY.
WITH LITTLE RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT...LOOKS LIKE WE WILL HAVE A
DECENT SHOT AT HITTING RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA OVER THE NORTH
AND EAST SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. SPECIFICS ARE INCLUDED IN
THE FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW.

THE NEXT FORECAST CONCERN WILL BE WITH POTENTIAL FROST/FREEZE
THURSDAY NIGHT AS A LARGE HIGH SETTLES OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS. MOS GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DROP TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS THE AREA. BY FRIDAY MORNING/AFTERNOON...
UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES RETURNING FOR THE WEEKEND.

BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS BRING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE REGION
LATE IN THE WEEKEND. FOR NOW WILL KEEP MOST AREAS DRY WITH THIS
FEATURE AS GULF MOISTURE WILL BE SLOW TO RETURN.

TERRY

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ANOTHER IN A STRING OF LOW LEVEL JETS
WILL PRODUCE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT ALL TERMINALS ACROSS THE
OZARKS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

HATCH

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL WITH THE SYSTEM
THAT MOVED ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY HAVE DRIED OUT VEGETATION
ACROSS THE REGION...WITH MOST RAWS LOCATIONS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI SHOWING FUEL STICK MOISTURE AROUND 10 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL WELL INTO THE 20S THIS AFTERNOON
WHICH WILL DROP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 25 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS
SHOULD INCREASE TO AROUND 15 TO 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY
NORTH OF THE OZARK PLATEAU WITH WINDS APPROACHING 15 KNOTS OVER
OUR EASTERN COUNTIES. WILL BE ISSUING A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS
AFTERNOON FOR LOCATIONS NORTH AND EAST OF THE PLATEAU. WILL HOLD
OFF ON EXTENDING THE WARNING AREA TO THE SOUTHWEST FOR NOW AS
HIGHER DEWPOINTS AND LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED THERE.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     MOZ055>058-066>071-077>082-091-092-096-097-105.

KS...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     KSZ073-097.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
801 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-280115-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
801 PM CDT TUE OCT 26 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

  NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

BREEZY CONDITIONS...DRY FUELS...AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL RESULT IN LIMITED TO SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER RISK FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

FOR WEDNESDAY...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR OR BELOW 25
PERCENT COMBINED WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...AND DRY FUELS MAY LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND THE EASTERN
OZARKS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS REGION FROM
11AM TO 5 PM WEDNESDAY.

THERE WILL BE A RISK OF FROST OR FREEZE THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

HATCH