Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Springfield, MO

179 
WWUS83 KSGF 301915
RFWSGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
215 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.A WARM AND DRY AIRMASS WILL RESIDE ACROSS THE REGION FOR MUCH OF
THE WEEK. BRISK AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THURSDAY. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL
RESULT IN CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE TO EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH.

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066-067-077-078-088-089-093-094-311200-
/O.UPG.KSGF.FW.A.0001.100331T1800Z-100401T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KSGF.FW.W.0002.100331T1700Z-100401T0000Z/
/O.CON.KSGF.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100331T0000Z/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-BARTON-CEDAR-JASPER-
DADE-NEWTON-LAWRENCE-
215 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...66...67...77...78...88...89...93...94
IN KANSAS...73...97...101

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN
CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE TO EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH THIS AFTERNOON AND
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MULTIPLE PRAIRIE FIRES HAVE ALREADY
BEEN REPORTED THIS AFTERNOON. FINER FUELS SUCH AS PRAIRIE GRASS
WILL BE THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO RAPID FIRE GROWTH.

OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED THIS AFTERNOON AND
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MOZ055-068-079-090-101-311200-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FW.W.0002.100331T1700Z-100401T0000Z/
/O.CON.KSGF.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100331T0000Z/
BENTON-HICKORY-POLK-GREENE-MCDONALD-
215 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...55...68...79...90...101

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN
CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE TO EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH THIS AFTERNOON AND
AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MULTIPLE PRAIRIE FIRES HAVE ALREADY
BEEN REPORTED THIS AFTERNOON. FINER FUELS SUCH AS PRAIRIE GRASS
WILL BE THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO RAPID FIRE GROWTH.

OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED THIS AFTERNOON AND
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MOZ056-069-080-311200-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FW.W.0002.100331T1700Z-100401T0000Z/
MORGAN-CAMDEN-DALLAS-
215 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...56...69...80

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN
CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE TO EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
FINER FUELS SUCH AS PRAIRIE GRASS WILL BE THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO
RAPID FIRE GROWTH.

OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MOZ095-102-103-311200-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FW.A.0002.100331T1700Z-100401T0000Z/
/O.CON.KSGF.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100331T0000Z/
CHRISTIAN-BARRY-STONE-
215 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...95...102...103

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN
CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE TO EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH THIS AFTERNOON.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS MAY MATERIALIZE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. FINER
FUELS SUCH AS PRAIRIE GRASS WILL BE THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO
RAPID FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

MOZ057-058-070-071-081-082-091-092-096-097-104-105-311200-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FW.A.0002.100331T1700Z-100401T0000Z/
MILLER-MARIES-PULASKI-PHELPS-LACLEDE-TEXAS-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-DOUGLAS-
HOWELL-TANEY-OZARK-
215 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...57...58...70...71...81...82...91...92...96
...97...104...105

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN
CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE TO EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
FINER FUELS SUCH AS PRAIRIE GRASS WILL BE THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO
RAPID FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

SCHAUMANN

544 
WWUS83 KSGF 310004
RFWSGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
704 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.A WARM AND DRY AIRMASS WILL RESIDE ACROSS THE REGION FOR MUCH OF
THE WEEK. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY. THE
COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FROM
20 TO 30 PERCENT AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN CONDITIONS
CONDUCIVE TO RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055-066>068-077>079-088>090-093-094-101-310815-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100331T0000Z/
/O.CON.KSGF.FW.W.0002.100331T1700Z-100401T0000Z/
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-BARTON-
CEDAR-POLK-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-NEWTON-LAWRENCE-MCDONALD-
704 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...55...66...67...68...77...78...79...88...89
...90...93...94...101
IN KANSAS...73...97...101

WHILE RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING...A HEIGHTENED
FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE. CONTINUING WINDS...OVERNIGHT MAXIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE LOW 50S AND CONTINUED LOW FUEL
MOISTURE WILL ACT TO RETAIN CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR ENHANCED FIRE
DANGER. FINER FUELS SUCH AS PRAIRIE GRASS WILL SEE LITTLE
IMPROVEMENT IN MOISTURE OVERNIGHT AS A RESULT OF THE WEAK MOISTURE
RETURNS THIS EVENING.

ONGOING GRASS FIRES AND WILD FIRES WILL REMAIN A CONCERN THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS DESPITE THE IMPROVING CONDITIONS. OUTDOOR
BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

GUSTY WINDS WILL RESUME WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IN COMBINATION
WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 20S AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL
PRODUCE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE TO RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD. 

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MOZ095-102-103-310815-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100331T0000Z/
/O.CON.KSGF.FW.A.0002.100331T1700Z-100401T0000Z/
CHRISTIAN-BARRY-STONE-
704 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...95...102...103

WHILE RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING...A HEIGHTENED
FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE. CONTINUING WINDS...OVERNIGHT MAXIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE LOW 50S AND CONTINUED LOW FUEL
MOISTURE WILL ACT TO RETAIN CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR ENHANCED FIRE
DANGER. FINER FUELS SUCH AS PRAIRIE GRASS WILL SEE LITTLE
IMPROVEMENT IN MOISTURE OVERNIGHT AS A RESULT OF THE WEAK MOISTURE
RETURNS THIS EVENING.

ONGOING GRASS FIRES AND WILD FIRES WILL REMAIN A CONCERN THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS DESPITE THE IMPROVING CONDITIONS. OUTDOOR
BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

GUSTY WINDS WILL RESUME WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IN COMBINATION
WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 20S AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL
PRODUCE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE TO RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD. 

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

MOZ056-069-080-310815-
/O.CON.KSGF.FW.W.0002.100331T1700Z-100401T0000Z/
MORGAN-CAMDEN-DALLAS-
704 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...56...69...80

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
IN THE 20S AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN CONDITIONS
CONDUCIVE TO EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. FINER
FUELS SUCH AS PRAIRIE GRASS WILL BE THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO RAPID
FIRE GROWTH.

OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

MOZ057-058-070-071-081-082-091-092-096-097-104-105-310815-
/O.CON.KSGF.FW.A.0002.100331T1700Z-100401T0000Z/
MILLER-MARIES-PULASKI-PHELPS-LACLEDE-TEXAS-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-DOUGLAS-
HOWELL-TANEY-OZARK-
704 PM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIRE WEATHER ZONES...
IN MISSOURI...57...58...70...71...81...82...91...92...96
...97...104...105

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE MAY RESULT IN
CONDITIONS CONDUCIVE TO EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. FINER FUELS SUCH AS PRAIRIE GRASS WILL BE THE MOST
SUSCEPTIBLE TO RAPID FIRE GROWTH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

HATCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
654 AM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

FORECAST CHALLENGES THIS PACKAGE INCLUDE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
DANGER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND RAIN CHANCES FOR LATE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

CURRENTLY...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC IS SHIFTING EASTWARD
AND OUT OF THE AREA. PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE PLAINS IS
TIGHTENING WITH LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE LEE OF THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES. THE SKY HAS BEEN CLEAR ACROSS THE AREA...WITH A LITTLE
CIRRUS ATTEMPTING TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE AREA VARY A BIT...WITH SHELTERED AREAS DIPPING INTO THE
MID/UPPER 30S AND AREAS RECEIVING WINDS IN THE MID/UPPER 40S.

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...SPLENDID WEATHER IS ON TAP
FOR THE REGION AS WE WILL FINALLY ENJOY MORE THAN TWO DAYS OF
SPRING LIKE TEMPS IN SUCCESSION. UPPER RIDGING WILL HAVE FIRM
CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER REGIME WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOMING
INCREASINGLY GUSTY. THE BREEZIEST DAYS LOOK TO BE WED/THU. 925/850
MB TEMPS WILL WARM TO WELL ABOVE AVERAGE AND THIS CORRELATES TO
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 70S TODAY...WITH 80S POSSIBLE NORTHWEST OF THE
PLATEAU WED/THUR. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN AROUND THE
LOWER 40S FOR MUCH OF THIS PERIOD LEADING TO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
WHICH ARE DISCUSSED FURTHER IN THE FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW.
BOTTOM LINE IS BREEZY AND WARM FOR THE SHORT TERM WITH
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE AVERAGE.

LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...00Z SUITE OF MODEL
OUTPUT CONVERGING ON A SIMILAR SOLUTION FOR THE FRIDAY/SATURDAY
TIME FRAME. A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE EASTWARD OUT OF THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST AND INTO THE PLAINS BY FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL
TAKE ON A NEGATIVE TILT AND LIFT NORTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO FIRE WEST OF THE AREA FRIDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SFC FRONT. BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE RETURN
WILL BE SUFFICIENT ENOUGH (MID 50S) TO AID IN SUSTAINING DEEP
CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION GIVEN LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
AND DECENT 500MB HEIGHT FALLS. AT THIS TIME...CONVECTIVE MODE
LOOKS TO BE LINEAR IN NATURE. DECENT SPEED SHEAR IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS SYSTEM...THOUGH DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL BE LACKING.
INSTABILITY WILL BE ON THE MEAGER SIDE GIVEN NIGHTTIME TIMING...
WITH MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 500 J/KG...GIVE OR TAKE. WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE ON THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND WITH THIS SYSTEM.

THE SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
LOOKS TO BE PROGRESSIVE AND WE SHOULD SALVAGE THE LATTER HALF OF
THE WEEKEND. AT THIS POINT SUNDAY SHOULD FEATURE SUNSHINE AND
TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 60S.

GAGAN

&&

.AVIATION...

SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING ABOVE 10 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS IN RESPONSE TO A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW PRESSURE WILL FURTHER STRENGTHEN ACROSS
THE PLAINS TONIGHT WITH A LOW LEVEL JET INCREASING TO NEAR 55
KNOTS RESULTING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

ANGLE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

TODAY...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE...PARTICULARLY
IN AREAS ALONG/NORTHWEST OF THE OZARK PLATEAU. MODEL OUTPUT
CONTINUES TO OVERDO DEWPOINT VALUES AND HAVE UNDERCUT GUIDANCE BY
SEVERAL DEGREES IN SOME CASES. AS PREV FORECASTER INDICATED...
RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR TODAY ARE MARGINAL AND LOOK TO ONLY BE MET
FOR AN HOUR OR TWO THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN A VERY MARGINAL SITUATION
WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD OFF FROM ANY HEADLINES.

WEDNESDAY...HOWEVER IS SHAPING UP TO BE A DIFFERENT STORY.
FORECAST 20 FT WINDS REMAIN IN THE 15 TO 20 KT RANGE AND MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. FUEL MOISTURE DRIED OUT QUITE A BIT
YESTERDAY...WITH LITTLE RECOVERY SEEN SO FAR THIS MORNING. GIVEN
WARM/BREEZY CONDITIONS...THESE VALUES SHOULD LOWER EVEN FURTHER
TODAY. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL CONTINUE TO BE WITH PRAIRIE GRASSES
IN THE OSAGE PLAINS. INTERAGENCY COORDINATION WILL TAKE PLACE
TODAY TO ADDRESS THE STATE OF THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA. WILL ALLOW
THIS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION TO DICTATE THE PLACEMENT OF ANY FIRE
WEATHER HEADLINES...BUT WILL KICK UP WORDING IN THE FWF AND HWO
PRODUCTS. EXPECTATIONS CONTINUE TO BE THAT A RED FLAG WATCH OR
WARNING WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY FOR AT LEAST A PORTION OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA FOR WEDNESDAY.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR MOZ066-067-077-078-088-089-093-094.

KS...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
751 AM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-311300-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
751 AM CDT TUE MAR 30 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

 SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. WITH A DRY
 AIRMASS IN PLACE...ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED ACROSS
 EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI...GENERALLY ALONG
 AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDOR. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30
 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

 WARM AND DRY WEATHER ALONG WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
 OCCUR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE
 WEATHER CONCERNS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE OZARK
 PLATEAU. FIRES IN THESE TYPES OF CONDITIONS CAN QUICKLY ESCAPE
 CONTROL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST
 KANSAS AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN MISSOURI ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE
 FROM OSCEOLA...TO STOCKTON...TO MOUNT VERNON...TO NEOSHO

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS A
 STORM SYSTEM IMPACTS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

ANGLE