Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Springfield, MO

044 
WGUS73 KSGF 251242
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
742 AM CDT THU MAR 25 2010

KSC021-037-MOC011-097-145-251700-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-100325T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRAWFORD KS-CHEROKEE KS-JASPER MO-BARTON MO-NEWTON MO-
742 AM CDT THU MAR 25 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR
CHEROKEE...JASPER...NEWTON...SOUTHEASTERN CRAWFORD AND SOUTHERN
BARTON COUNTIES...

AT 737 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN 
AREA OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RADAR ESTIMATED 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNED 
AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVER THE AREA THIS 
MORNING...WITH AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH OF RAINFALL WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. WITH ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS THIS HEAVY 
RAINFALL WILL LIKELY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND 
FLOOD PRONE AREAS INCLUDING LOW WATER CROSSINGS THIS MORNING.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

NORTH MAIN AND MURPHY BOULEVARD IN JOPLIN...
BUSINESS HIGHWAY 60 JUST NORTH OF NEOSHO...
HIGHWAY 37 AT THE SPRING RIVER SOUTHWEST OF AVILLA...
HIGHWAY 7 AT LITTLE CHERRY CREEK NORTH OF COLUMBUS...
ROUTE JJ AT CENTER CREEK SOUTHEAST OF CARL JUNCTION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3735 9494 3749 9460 3752 9408 3675 9408
      3677 9461 3678 9463 3698 9463 3699 9498

$$

WISE

181 
WGUS73 KSGF 251510
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1010 AM CDT THU MAR 25 2010

KSC021-037-MOC011-097-145-251700-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-100325T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CRAWFORD KS-CHEROKEE KS-JASPER MO-BARTON MO-NEWTON MO-
1010 AM CDT THU MAR 25 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NEWTON...SOUTHERN
BARTON...JASPER...CHEROKEE AND SOUTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES UNTIL
NOON CDT...

AT 1000 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
SLOW MOVING AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE CARTHAGE AND 
JOPLIN AREAS SOUTH THROUGH MUCH OF NEWTON COUNTY. 

THE JOPLIN REGIONAL AIRPORT HAS RECEIVED 1.62 INCHES OF RAIN OVER 
THE PAST EIGHT HOURS...AND MOST OF THAT HAS FALLEN SINCE 5 AM. RADAR 
INDICATES THAT AREAS OF HEAVIER RAIN HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS WITH RADAR ESTIMATES OF 2 TO 3.5 INCHES FROM CENTRAL AND SOUTH 
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF JASPER COUNTY INTO MUCH OF WESTERN NEWTON 
COUNTY. RAINFALL OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE FLOODING OF 
LOW WATER AREAS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. 

THE CHEROKEE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER IN CHEROKEE COUNTY REPORTED 
THAT CLEM ROAD SOUTH OF COLUMBUS WAS FLOODED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

IN HILLY TERRAIN...THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH
ARE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL
ACROSS FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW
INCHES OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3735 9494 3749 9460 3752 9408 3675 9408
      3677 9461 3678 9463 3698 9463 3699 9498

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
336 AM CDT THU MAR 25 2010

.DISCUSSION...

A FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. ONCE THE STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE REGION
DEPARTS...ANOTHER ONE IS ON THE WAY JUST IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND.
LONG WAVE CHARTS THEN INDICATE A PATTERN CHANGE NEXT WEEK AS
STRONG NEGATIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES SHIFT FROM NORTH OF HUDSON BAY
BACK INTO THE ALASKA REGION. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN BACKING
UPPER LEVEL FLOW...AND POSSIBLY A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW LATER NEXT
WEEK.

CURRENTLY...UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE IS TRACKING EAST ACROSS THE
RED RIVER REGION. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED JUST
SOUTH OF TULSA OKLAHOMA. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED NORTHEAST
FROM THE LOW RIGHT ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44. RADAR
INDICATES ONE CLUSTER OF SHOWERS ALONG THE HIGHWAY 63 CORRIDOR.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING FROM NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO THE
TRUMAN LAKE REGION. IN ADDITION...PATCHY FOG HAS DEVELOPED IN
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THAT SURFACE FRONT. VISIBILITIES HAVE
OCCASIONALLY DROPPED TO A QUARTER MILE.

AS THAT UPPER LEVEL LOW SWINGS EAST THIS MORNING...LARGE SCALE
ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SHOWER ACTIVITY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 44. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED CLOSER TO THE TRACK
OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI. WILL BE
CANCELLING THE FLOOD WATCH WITH THE MORNING PACKAGE AS ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL AVERAGE A THIRD OF
AN INCH OR LESS. MAINTAINED PATCHY FOG MENTION EARLY THIS MORNING
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THAT FRONT...BUT THINK THAT WILL DIMINISH ONCE
THE FRONT BEGINS SHUNTING SOUTH AND NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASE.
STILL NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION WE COULD SEE A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR
TWO ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...BUT ANY INSTABILITY WILL BE
VERY LIMITED. PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO END FROM WEST TO EAST
LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON AS THAT LOW MAKES STEADY
PROGRESS EAST. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED AT ALL FOR AREAS OUT WEST TO
SEE SOME SUN THIS AFTERNOON. WENT CLOSE TO MAV TEMPERATURES
TODAY...WITH MANY AREAS STEADY FOR MOST OF THE DAY.

TONIGHT THEN LOOKS CHILLY AS A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EAST
ACROSS THE REGION. WENT WITH SREF NUMBERS WHICH PUTS MOST AREAS IN
THE LOW TO MID 30S. CONSIDERED FOG MENTION...BUT THE DEW POINTS
ADVECTING INTO THE AREA MAY BE A BIT LOW FOR OPTIMAL CONDITIONS.
THIS WILL BE SOMETHING FOR THE DAY SHIFT TO TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT.
AFTER A CHILLY START...TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND NICELY ON FRIDAY AS
THAT RIDGE AXIS SLIDES EAST OF THE AREA. WENT SLIGHTLY ABOVE MAV
TEMPERATURES WITH AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR
GETTING INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 60S.

THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM SLATED TO IMPACT THE REGION LOOKS FAIRLY
SIMILAR TO THE CURRENT ONE. OPERATIONAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLE
SYSTEMS CONTINUE TO HIT ON THE LATER SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY
TIME FRAME FOR THE BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES. HAVE CONTINUED WITH
THE CHANCE POPS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...WITH LIKELY POPS SATURDAY
NIGHT. DID KEEP THUNDER MENTION GOING AS NAM/GFS BOTH BRING AT
LEAST SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY INTO THE AREA. MOST MEDIUM RANGE
MODELS AND ENSEMBLE MEMBERS PUSH THIS SYSTEM OUT OF THE AREA BY
LATER SUNDAY. THE ECMWF IS MUCH SLOWER TO EXIT THIS SYSTEM. NOT
BUYING RIGHT NOW WITH NO REAL BLOCKING SIGNALS NOTED. EITHER
WAY...WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE HYDRO SITUATION WITH THIS SYSTEM.

ONCE THAT SYSTEM DOES CLEAR THE REGION...THE WEATHER LOOKS FAIRLY
QUIET FROM EARLY TO MIDWEEK. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED AS WE
TRANSITION TO A WESTERLY AND EVENTUALLY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.AVIATION...

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHED FROM EASTERN OKLAHOMA ACROSS
THE MISSOURI OZARKS TO EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE AREA THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PERIODS OF RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY AND FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL
DETERIORATE. A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG WITH IFR CEILINGS
AND AREAS OF FOG WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND PERSIST INTO THURSDAY
ONCE THE FRONT PASSES.

FOSTER

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
559 AM CDT THU MAR 25 2010

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261200-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
559 AM CDT THU MAR 25 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  PATCHY FOG WITH VISIBILITIES BELOW A MILE CAN BE EXPECTED
  EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI. LOCALIZED
  VISIBILITIES DOWN TO A QUARTER MILE WILL BE POSSIBLE.

  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ACROSS
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED AS
  INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED.

  LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE
  OUTLOOK AREA...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE
  INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE
  44 CORRIDOR. ISOLATED FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS...AND LOW
  WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

  NON THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
  TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO
  THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. DEPENDING ON THE TRACK AND
  STRENGTH OF THIS STORM SYSTEM...THERE MAY BE AN ADDITIONAL
  THREAT FOR FLOODING. ENOUGH INSTABILITY MAY ALSO EXIST FOR
  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN