Flash Flood Warning 49, NWS Springfield, MO

466 
WGUS73 KSGF 030654
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
154 AM CDT THU JUN 3 2010

MOC011-030704-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0049.000000T0000Z-100603T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARTON MO-
154 AM CDT THU JUN 3 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 200 AM CDT FOR BARTON
COUNTY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH AN AREAL FLOOD 
WARNING. 

SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA...HOWEVER...RUNOFF WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT 
CREEKS...STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS.  IF YOU OBSERVE 
FLOODING...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH IT.  TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE.

LAT...LON 3765 9462 3765 9445 3759 9447 3758 9447
      3758 9427 3756 9408 3746 9409 3735 9448
      3736 9449 3736 9462

$$

BOXELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
631 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.UPDATE...

MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS.  LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...AND WIND GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE STORMS.

A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS HAS EVOLVED ACROSS THE REGION IN RESPONSE TO
SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE UPPER 80S...ALONG WITH DEW
POINTS RANGING FROM THE MID TO UPPER 60S.  MIXED LAYER CAPES HAVE
INCREASED TO AROUND 3500-4000 J/KG.  WIND SHEAR IS QUITE MODEST AS
0-3 KM SHEAR VECTORS ANALYZED BY THE RUC ARE SHOWING 15-20
KTS...THEREFORE SOME STORM ORGANIZATION IS LIKELY.

GIVEN THE SLOW MOVING SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST FRONTAL
SYSTEM...TRAINING OF STORMS IS ALSO POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD LEAD TO A
RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING.

CRAMER

&&

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FOCUS FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE WITH CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION AND SEVERE POTENTIAL.

CURRENTLY...STRONG/SEVERE STORMS FIRING ALONG AND AHEAD OF OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM MORNING MCS ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE
CWA. SURFACE FRONT STILL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA FROM NEAR
WICHITA TO JUST SOUTHEAST OF KANSAS CITY. MLCAPES OF 3500-4000
J/KG HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG AND AHEAD OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND
2000-3000 J/KG AHEAD OF THE SURFACE FRONT. MUCH OF THE AREA OVER
CENTRAL MISSOURI REMAINS CAPPED FROM THE EARLIER MORNING
CONVECTION. 0-6KM BULK SHEAR NOT OVERLY IMPRESSIVE WITH <30KTS AND
WITH WBZ VALUES ON THE HIGH END WOULD EXPECT THE MAIN SEVERE RISK
TO BE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND A LIMITED RISK OF LARGE HAIL.

FORECAST...
CONVECTION HAS YET TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT BUT BELIEVE
THIS WILL EVENTUALLY OCCUR AS ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES IN
FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING. HIGHEST POPS WILL LIKELY BE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST CWA AS BOUNDARY SHIFTS SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA TONIGHT.
SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY DIMINISH LATER IN THE EVENING AS
INSTABILITY DECREASES AND SHEAR REMAINS RATHER WEAK.

SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA
ON THURSDAY WITH THE MAJORITY OF CONVECTION EXPECTED OVER THE
SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA DURING THE DAY.

WARM AIR WILL BEGIN TO WORK BACK INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST
ON FRIDAY WITH 850 TEMPERATURES RISING BACK ABOVE 20 DEG C BY THE
LATE AFTERNOON. WILL LIKELY SEE TEMPERATURES REACH THE LOW TO MID
90S OVER SOUTHWEST CORNER OF CWA AND AROUND 90 ELSEWHERE ON FRIDAY
WITH LOW TO MID 90S EVERYWHERE BY SATURDAY. MAIN CONVECTION
THROUGH SATURDAY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE CWA BUT COULD SEE MORE
CONVECTION SHIFT SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN CWA WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY
DRIFTING BACK INTO THE AREA AND NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BRINGING
POTENTIAL OF MCS INTO THE REGION. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE EARLY PART OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK WITH NORTHWEST FLOW
CONTINUING ALOFT.

LINDENBERG

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 00Z KSGF...KJLN AND KBBG TAFS...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT OVER PORTIONS OF FAR
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY PUSH TO THE SOUTH THIS
EVENING AND TOWARDS THE TAF SITES. HAVE INCLUDED A TEMPO GROUP AT
ALL THREE TAF SITES TO ACCOUNT FOR WHEN THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE TAF SITES. THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT AND COULD SEE LINGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
INTO THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS ACTIVITY WITH
STRONG WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL THE MAIN HAZARDOUS EXPECTED.
BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITHIN ANY OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

WISE

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
710 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-040015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
710 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...ELEVATED.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK FOR GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK FOR HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED FLASH FLOODING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
  PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI AHEAD OF AN
  ADVANCING COLD FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
  SLOWLY PUSH SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING ACROSS THE AREA. A VERY
  UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND ENOUGH SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE TO PRODUCE AN
  ELEVATED RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF
  BALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH THE MAIN THREATS.

  THE MOVEMENT OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY SLOW AND
  THEY MAY ALSO TEND TO TRACK OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS...WHICH
  WILL LEAD TO A RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI ON THURSDAY. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL
  HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

  SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
  AS A FRONT REMAINS NEAR THE OUTLOOK AREA. THUNDERSTORMS MAY
  OCCUR IN THE HEAT OF THE DAY DURING THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL
  ACTIVITY WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
  MORNING HOURS AS CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS TRACK SOUTHEAST OUT
  OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S WILL BE
  POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
  SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN
  MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA LATER THIS EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WFO SGF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
628 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010

MOZ069-070-022345-
PULASKI MO-CAMDEN MO-
628 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHWESTERN PULASKI AND
SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

AT 623 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SWEDEBORG...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF
WAYNESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE CROCKER...EXTREME NORTHERN FORT LEONARD
WOOD...OZARK SPRINGS...RICHLAND...ST. ROBERT...SWEDEBORG...
WAYNESVILLE AND WET GLAIZE.

PEOPLE IN NORTHWESTERN PULASKI AND SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES...
INCLUDING RICHLAND AND CROCKER...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
643 PM CDT WED JUN 02 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0638 PM     HAIL             3 NE LIBERAL            37.59N 94.48W
06/02/2010  E3.00 INCH       BARTON             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KARDELL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
646 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010

MOZ070-030000-
PULASKI MO-
646 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHERN PULASKI COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM
CDT...

AT 643 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SWEDEBORG...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF
WAYNESVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE CROCKER...DEVIL'S ELBOW...DIXON...OZARK
SPRINGS...RICHLAND...ST. ROBERT...SWEDEBORG AND WAYNESVILLE.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 156 AND 167 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED
BY THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN PULASKI COUNTY...INCLUDING CROCKER...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
657 PM CDT WED JUN 02 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     HAIL             3 NE LIBERAL            37.59N 94.48W
06/02/2010  E2.75 INCH       BARTON             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RKARDELL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
715 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010

MOZ058-030045-
MARIES MO-
715 PM CDT WED JUN 2 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MARIES COUNTY UNTIL 745
PM CDT...

AT 712 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF BRINKTOWN...OR 17 MILES
NORTHEAST OF WAYNESVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BRINKTOWN AND VIENNA.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHWESTERN MARIES COUNTY...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

KARDELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
722 PM CDT WED JUN 02 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 PM     HAIL             3 SSE LIBERAL           37.52N 94.50W
06/02/2010  E2.00 INCH       BARTON             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RKARDELL