Flash Flood Warning 37, NWS Springfield, MO

846 
WGUS73 KSGF 161717
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1217 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

MOC015-039-085-185-162100-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-100516T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CEDAR MO-HICKORY MO-ST. CLAIR MO-BENTON MO-
1217 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CDT FOR
HICKORY...NORTHERN CEDAR...SOUTHERN BENTON AND ST. CLAIR COUNTIES...

AT 1210 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE HEAVY RAIN FROM THIS MORNING IS BEGINNING TO EXIT THE AREA. 
RAIN GAUGES AND RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT MUCH OF THE AREA 
RECEIVED ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAINFALL IN A SHORT PERIOD 
OF TIME. THIS IS RESULTING IN RAPID CREEK AND STREAM RISES ACROSS 
THE WARNED AREA.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

&&

LAT...LON 3790 9308 3790 9319 3780 9320 3783 9363
      3775 9364 3773 9362 3766 9407 3821 9394
      3821 9358 3822 9358 3823 9308

$$

SCHAUMANN

614 
WGUS73 KSGF 162053
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
353 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

MOC015-039-085-185-162103-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0037.000000T0000Z-100516T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CEDAR MO-HICKORY MO-ST. CLAIR MO-BENTON MO-
353 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 400 PM CDT FOR HICKORY...
NORTHERN CEDAR...SOUTHERN BENTON AND ST. CLAIR COUNTIES...

THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A FLOOD WARNING FOR 
SMALL STREAMS WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM ON MONDAY.

LAT...LON 3790 9308 3790 9319 3780 9320 3783 9363
      3775 9364 3773 9362 3766 9407 3821 9394
      3821 9358 3822 9358 3823 9308

$$

SCHAUMANN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
604 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FOCUS IN THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL DEAL WITH DENSE FOG THIS
MORNING...THEN ATTENTION TURNS TO THE NEXT ROUND OF RAINFALL
WHICH WILL SPREAD OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING.

CURRENTLY...FOG HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG OCCURRING SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS THE HIGHEST.
THIS FOG WILL PERSIST INTO THE MID MORNING HOURS...THEREFORE A
DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR THIS MORNING.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY PUSHING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST TOWARDS THE AREA
TODAY. AS THIS SYSTEM PUSHES EAST...THE NEXT ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WILL PUSH INTO THE
AREA THIS MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL THEN CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND
PUSH EAST ACROSS THE CWA INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA...WHERE
ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH WITH
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS AREA EXPECTED. WITH THE SATURATED SOIL
CONDITIONS FROM THE RECENT RAINS...THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING TODAY. AS A RESULT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA INTO THIS EVENING.

AS THIS SYSTEM PUSHES EAST TODAY...A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH
TO NEAR THE MISSOURI ARKANSAS BORDER. ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL
INCREASE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE THIS
FRONT. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF SMALL TO
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI...HOWEVER WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL PUSH NORTHEAST AND OUT OF THE AREA THIS
EVENING. HOWEVER...LINGER LIGHT SHOWERS AND OR DRIZZLE WILL LIKELY
LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THIS SYSTEM. DRIER AREA WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE REGION BY MONDAY
EVENING BRINGING AN END TO THE CHANCES FOR DRIZZLE TO THE AREA.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE
TO THE END OF THE WEEK BRINGING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

WISE

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 12Z TAFS...CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
CORNER OF MISSOURI INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
ALONG AN INSTABILITY AXIS AND INCREASED UPPER DIVERGENCE. DENSE
FOG HAS PLAGUED MUCH OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
INCLUDING THE 3 FORECAST POINTS. BELIEVE THE DENSE FOG WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE FIRST COUPLE/FEW HOURS OF THE FORECAST AT JLN/BBG
BUT CONVECTION MAY BREAK UP THE DENSE FOG AT THE ONSET OF THE TAF
IN SGF. FOR NOW HAVE MAIN CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF JLN
AND MOVING INTO BBG LATER IN THE MORNING. EXPECTING IFR/MVFR
CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST WITH CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN
DETERIORATING AFTER DARK.

LINDENBERG

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR MOZ070-071-
     080>083-090>092-095>098-102>106.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MOZ077-079>083-
     088>098-101>106.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR KSZ097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
913 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171200-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
913 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

...THREAT FOR FLOODING CONTINUING TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...ELEVATED.

HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.

  LIMITED HAIL RISK FOR HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
  TO PUSH EAST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA TODAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
  OVER AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE...WHICH WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED
  THREAT FOR FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI. A
  FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT INTO THIS EVENING FOR LOCATIONS
  ALONG AND SOUTH OF A GIRARD KANSAS TO BOLIVAR TO SALEM
  MISSOURI LINE.

  ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI
  TODAY...WHICH WILL RESULT IN A LIMITED RISK FOR A FEW STORMS
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ACROSS SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS DURING THE MIDDLE AND
  LATER PORTIONS OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT...HOWEVER
  SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO PASS ALONG REPORTS OF FLOODING TO
  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
511 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 AM     FLASH FLOOD      NEOSHO                  36.87N 94.37W
05/16/2010                   NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING OCCURRING ON SPRING STREET AND HARMONY STREET IN
            NEOSHO.

&&

LINDENBERG