Flash Flood Warning 152, NWS Springfield, MO

554 
WGUS73 KSGF 190530
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1230 AM CDT SUN SEP 19 2010

MOC131-141-190539-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.W.0152.000000T0000Z-100919T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MILLER MO-MORGAN MO-
1230 AM CDT SUN SEP 19 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR MILLER AND MORGAN
COUNTIES...

EXCESS RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS
AND CREEKS IN THE WARNED AREA ARE BEGINNING TO RECEDE...ENDING THE 
FLOOD THREAT. IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO 
YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3844 9263 3843 9241 3834 9240 3833 9219
      3829 9219 3810 9241 3816 9261 3822 9267
      3822 9274 3819 9277 3827 9308 3830 9308
      3856 9279

$$

GAGAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
622 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

FOR THE 00Z TAFS FOR KSGF/KJLN/KBBG...VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL
ACROSS THE AREA AT THIS TIME. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS CURRENTLY
LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR WITH THUNDERSTORMS
OCCURRING ALONG THE FRONT. IN ADDITION...THERE EXISTS A LOCAL AXIS OF
INSTABILITY ALONG A KRCM-KHFJ-KROG LINE THAT IS SETTING OFF MAINLY
SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. HOWEVER...AS THIS ACTIVITY
MOVES OFF THE AXIS IT DISSIPATES RATHER QUICKLY.

EXPECT THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LOCALLY TO ABATE
TOWARD SUNSET. ACTIVITY ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY COULD BECOME MORE
LINEAR LATER THIS EVENING...PER SPC DISCUSSION...AND MAY AFFECT
THE KAIZ AND KVIH AREAS.

OVERNIGHT...WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOIST CONDITIONS PRESENT...EXPECT
TO SEE AREAS OF MVFR FOG TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA FROM 06Z
ONWARD. ONCE FOG DISSIPATES AROUND 15Z...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS.

GAEDE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 249 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010/

MAIN FOCUS IN THE NEAR SHORT TERM WILL BE WITH CONVECTIVE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES THROUGH THIS EVENING.

CU FIELD HAS DEVELOPED NICELY OVER THE PAST HOUR ACROSS WESTERN
MISSOURI AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM PREVIOUS
CONVECTION HAS ALMOST STALLED ALONG THE NORTHERN CWA BORDER WITH
WELL DEFINED COLD FRONT LOCATED FROM CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST KANSAS
AND ALONG THE I70 CORRIDOR IN MISSOURI. SURFACE MOISTURE AXIS WAS
LOCATED OVER EASTERN KANSAS INTO WESTERN MISSOURI. A COUPLE OF
RADAR ECHOES ALREADY STARTING TO SHOW UP ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN
NORTHEAST KANSAS AND ANOTHER ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY JUST NORTH
OF OUR CWA IN HENRY COUNTY.

ML CAPES HAVE POOLED UP INTO THE 2500 TO 3000 J/KG RANGE ALONG THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHERN CWA. WHILE WIND SHEAR REMAINS
FAIRLY WEAK...IT IS AROUND 30 KTS ALONG THE NORTHERN CWA SO COULD
SEE A HAIL THREAT WITH THE STORMS THAT DEVELOP. NORTHERN CWA HAS
RECENTLY BEEN INCLUDED IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 10 PM
CDT. IF THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS CAN FORM...MOTION WOULD TAKE THE
CONVECTION MORE TO THE SOUTH INTO THE CWA. WOULD EXPECT ANY
CONVECTION TO WEAKEN WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING LATER THIS EVENING.

UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA AND AMPLIFIES LATE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY AND WILL LIKELY SEE DIMINISHED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WITH
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHIFTING TO THE NORTH. WARM TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO
EXPECTED WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S
FOR MOST LOCALES.

BETTER CHANCES OF RAIN WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEK AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BEGINS TO PUSH THROUGH WITH UPPER RIDGE BUILDING BACK TO
OUR WEST AND TROUGH DEVELOPING OUT EAST.

LINDENBERG

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
908 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-200215-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
908 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...ELEVATED.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

THE LIGHTNING RISK IS LIMITED.
THE RISK FOR HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS IS ELEVATED.
THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH IS ELEVATED.
THE FLOODING RISK IS LIMITED.

DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG
THE I-70 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN WORKING
SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL
MISSOURI DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME...THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL TO THE
SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. THIS THREAT WILL
EXIST NORTH OF A WARSAW TO ROLLA LINE.

IN ADDITION...ALREADY SATURATED SOILS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WILL
PRESENT A LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING RISK IF MULTIPLE STORMS MOVE
OVER THE SAME AREA.

PORTIONS OF THE OSAGE AND LITTLE OSAGE RIVERS WILL REMAIN IN
FLOOD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AND
AGAIN ON FRIDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH 1 AM.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

GAEDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
842 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TSTM WND DMG     IONIA                   38.50N 93.32W
09/18/2010                   BENTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWNED ONTO A HOUSE.

&&

KARDELL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
845 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

MOZ056-057-190215-
MILLER MO-MORGAN MO-
845 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR EAST CENTRAL MORGAN AND NORTHWESTERN
MILLER COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

AT 841 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTH OF BARNETT...OR 5 MILES WEST OF
ELDON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE AURORA SPRINGS...BARNETT...ELDON...
ETTERVILLE AND OLEAN.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN MORGAN AND NORTHWESTERN MILLER COUNTIES...INCLUDING
ELDON...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD
SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND CENTRAL MISSOURI.

BOXELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
901 PM CDT SAT SEP 18 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 W STOVER              38.44N 93.10W
09/18/2010                   BENTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE BLOWN ACROSS THE ROAD.

&&

KARDELL