Flash Flood Warning 9, NWS Blacksburg, VA

520 
WGUS71 KRNK 250552
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1252 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

VAC023-161-163-530-678-770-775-250945-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-100125T0945Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF SALEM VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-
BOTETOURT VA-CITY OF LEXINGTON VA-ROANOKE VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-
1252 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 AM EST FOR THE
CITY OF BUENA VISTA...THE CITY OF LEXINGTON...THE CITY OF ROANOKE...
THE CITY OF SALEM... ROCKBRIDGE...ROANOKE AND BOTETOURT COUNTIES...

AT 1245 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS OVER THE WARNED AREA. 
ADDITIONAL HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL LIKELY ENTER THE AREA BY 2 AM WHICH 
COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING OF SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. BUFFALO 
CREEK IN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY WILL LIKELY FLOOD DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR 
TWO.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LEXINGTON
CITY...VESUVIUS...ROCKBRIDGE BATHS...NATURAL BRIDGE...GOSHEN...
GLASGOW...FAIRFIELD...CORNWALL...COLLIERSTOWN...BROWNSBURG...BELLS
VALLEY...ORISKANY...GLEN WILTON...GALA...EAGLE ROCK AND BUENA VISTA
CITY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3791 7917 3781 7915 3779 7927 3765 7935
      3746 7958 3748 7967 3740 7981 3734 7978
      3732 7984 3716 7992 3718 8003 3713 8012
      3732 8025 3754 7996 3765 8002 3779 7982
      3777 7965 3787 7958 3789 7963 3809 7948

$$

JH

734 
WGUS71 KRNK 250833
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
333 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

VAC023-161-163-530-678-770-775-250945-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-100125T0945Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF SALEM VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-
BOTETOURT VA-CITY OF LEXINGTON VA-ROANOKE VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-
333 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 AM EST FOR THE
CITY OF BUENA VISTA...THE CITY OF LEXINGTON...THE CITY OF ROANOKE...
THE CITY OF SALEM... ROCKBRIDGE...ROANOKE AND BOTETOURT COUNTIES...

AT 331 AM EST...HEAVY RAIN WAS TAPERING OFF ACROSS THE WARNED        
AREA. ALTHOUGH THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS                     
DIMINISHED...ADDITIONAL WATER LEVEL RISES ARE LIKELY DURING THE      
NEXT FEW HOURS.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LEXINGTON
CITY...VESUVIUS...ROCKBRIDGE BATHS...NATURAL BRIDGE...GOSHEN...
GLASGOW...FAIRFIELD...CORNWALL...COLLIERSTOWN...BROWNSBURG...BELLS
VALLEY...ORISKANY...GLEN WILTON...GALA...EAGLE ROCK AND BUENA VISTA
CITY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED 
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3791 7917 3781 7915 3779 7927 3765 7935
      3746 7958 3748 7967 3740 7981 3734 7978
      3732 7984 3716 7992 3718 8003 3713 8012
      3732 8025 3754 7996 3765 8002 3779 7982
      3777 7965 3787 7958 3789 7963 3809 7948

$$

RCS

268 
WGUS71 KRNK 250936
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
436 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

VAC023-161-163-530-678-770-775-250945-
/O.EXP.KRNK.FF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-100125T0945Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF SALEM VA-CITY OF ROANOKE VA-CITY OF BUENA VISTA VA-
BOTETOURT VA-CITY OF LEXINGTON VA-ROANOKE VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-
436 AM EST MON JAN 25 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 445 AM EST FOR THE CITY OF
BUENA VISTA...THE CITY OF LEXINGTON...THE CITY OF ROANOKE...THE CITY
OF SALEM... ROCKBRIDGE...ROANOKE AND BOTETOURT COUNTIES...

HEAVY RAIN WAS TAPERING OFF ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ALTHOUGH THE 
THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS DIMINISHED...ADDITIONAL WATER LEVEL 
RISES ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A FLOOD WARNING IS NOW 
IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM EST.

LAT...LON 3791 7917 3781 7915 3779 7927 3765 7935
      3746 7958 3748 7967 3740 7981 3734 7978
      3732 7984 3716 7992 3718 8003 3713 8012
      3732 8025 3754 7996 3765 8002 3779 7982
      3777 7965 3787 7958 3789 7963 3809 7948

$$

RCS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
944 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SWING EAST OVER THE REGION OVERNIGHT WITH HEAVY
RAINS EXPECTED. A RETURN TO COLDER AIR CAN BE EXPECTED MONDAY INTO
MIDWEEK WITH SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
NOT A LOT OF CHANGE TO THE GOING FORECAST ATTM WITH THE AXIS OF
HEAVIER RAINFALL NOW SHIFTING ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE. DID INCLUDE A
WIND ADVISORY OUT EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT WHERE THE WARM
SECTOR IS MAKING A QUICK MOVE NORTH ALLOWING WINDS TO MIX TO THE
SURFACE. THIS IN COMBO WITH THE LINE APPROACHING SHOULD MAKE FOR
HIGHER GUSTS INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WHICH MAY BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO TOPPLE TREES GIVEN THE SATURATED GROUND. WILL ALSO KEEP
THE WIND PRODUCTS GOING OVER THE WEST UNTIL EXPIRATION AT MIDNIGHT
AS APPEARS MORE OF THE STRONGER GUSTS HAVE NOW DIMINISHED OR
SHOULD SHORTLY AS THE FLOW FINALLY VEERS AROUND. OTRW MAY TWEAK
QPF DOWN A BIT IN THE WEST AS THE BANDS OF MORE CONVECTIVE NATURE
PRECIP SHIFT OUT TO THE EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS OTRW THINGS
APPEAR ON TRACK WITH HIGH POPS PERSISTING. TEMPS ALL OVER THE
PLACE WITH LARGE RANGES DEPENDING ON EXACTLY WHERE THE CURRENT
WARM FRONT IS LOCATED. FOR NOW RAISING LOWS SE AND KEEPING THE
BETTER WEDGED REGION BASICALLY WITH ONLY SLOW RISES BEFORE
READINGS FALL OFF WITH THE FROPA LATE.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS BELOW...

UPDATING TO EXTEND THE GOING HIGH WIND AND WIND ADVISORIES THRU
MIDNIGHT GIVEN RECENT GUSTS ABOVE 60 MPH IN TAZEWELL CTY. ALSO
SOME POTENTIAL AS THE HEAVIER RAIN MOVES THRU TO MIX DOWN A FEW
HIGHER GUSTS TO THE RIDGES AS THE WEDGE WEAKENS A BIT THIS
EVENING. OTRW NO ADDED CHANGES FOR NOW.

KEEPING THE HIGH WIND WARNING/ADVISORY GOING TIL 6 PM...WITH THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM. THE RAIN HAS BEEN SLOWER TO ARRIVE
AS LOW PRESSURE WAVE FORMED ALONG THE FRONT IN THE GULF COASTAL
STATES. GETTING MAINLY SE FLOW UPSLOPE RAIN ATTM...WITH
FRONTAL/UPPER FORCING RAIN SHIELD SITUATED FROM OHIO SOUTH TO
GA/AL. STILL LOOKING AT HIGH AMOUNTS OF RAIN...MAINLY IN THE 00Z-
09Z TIME FRAME. ATTM...CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS SPREADING NWD SHOULD
ENHANCE THE SHOWERS AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT...ALTHOUGH MOST OF A
THUNDERSTORM CHANCE WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF US. STILL HAVE ISOLATED
THUNDER IN OVER THE SOUTH AND EAST TONIGHT. ANOTHER CONCERN ARE
THE WINDS. CURRENTLY OUTSIDE THE WEDGE...THE WINDS HAVE NOT GUSTED
AS MUCH AS EARLIER IN THE DAY. MODELS SHOWING S TO SSE LOW LVL JET
REMAINING INTO THE EVENING AND THIS CONCERNS ME. FOR NOW THINK
WILL HANDLE ANY POST WIND PROBLEMS WITH SPECIAL WX STATEMENTS AND
POSSIBLE SVR WARNINGS IF CONVECTION ENHANCES UP THIS WAY.

AS THE MAIN THRUST OF THE FRONT SLIDES EAST TONIGHT...LOOK FOR
WINDS TO SWITCH TO THE SW. MODELS BRINGING COLDER AIR IN FROM THE
SW LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. THE WEDGE IN PLACE NOW WILL BE ERODED
ONCE THE HEAVIER SHOWERS ARRIVE BRINGING DOWN WARMER AIR ALOFT.
THIS KEEPS THE TEMP FORECAST TRICKY...AND COULD SEE RISING TEMPS
OVERNIGHT IN THE REGION. FOLLOWED A NON-DIURNAL CURVE TO THE TEMPS
AS STEADY TO RISING TEMPS TONIGHT ARE FOLLOWED BY STEADY TO
FALLING TEMPS IN THE WEST TOMORROW.

ON MONDAY...RAIN SHOWERS WILL EXIT TO THE EAST WITH WRAP-AROUND
WESTERLY FLOW SHOWERS PUSHING INTO THE MTNS. WITH A WEST FLOW...DO
NOT FORESEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF AMOUNTS...WITH SOME SNOW MAKING IT
INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ALSO AT ISSUE TOMORROW...THE PRESSURE
RISES BEHIND THIS MAIN SYSTEM ARE IN THE 4 TO 6 MB RANGE IN 6
HOURS...ALTHOUGH THE 8H WINDS ARE MARGINAL FOR ADVISORY.
HOWEVER...WITH A WET GROUND FROM THE RAINS...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
WINDS GUSTING OVER 35 MPH TO PUSH WEAKER OR DEAD TREES OVER. FOR
NOW...WILL MENTION THIS IN THE HWO...AND LET THE NEXT SHIFT
EVALUATE THIS THREAT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHING WELL OFFSHORE MONDAY NIGHT BUT
RESIDUAL MOISTURE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW WILL IMPACT THE
FAVORABLE UPSLOPE REGIONS. WINDS WILL BE VEERING TOWARD THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST ENHANCING THE UPSLOPE COMPONENT FROM SOUTHEAST WEST
VIRGINIA SOUTH INTO THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE OF VIRGINIA. BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS ARE CONSISTENTLY SHOWING DRY AIR ALOFT WITH ONLY A SHALLOW
LAYER OF MOISTURE...THUS PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT.
HOWEVER...AS FAR AS SNOW ACCUMULATION GOES...HPC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS 1
TO 2 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE GREENBRIER AREA. THESE
UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY NIGHT.
HAVE STAYED CLOSE TO THE ECMWF FOR POPS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AS 850H
TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW 0 DEGREES C ONCE AGAIN. SOUNDING PROFILES
SUGGEST PRECIPITATION TO BE MAINLY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
THEN EXPECT A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS JUST WEST ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE WHERE MAX TEMPERATURES
WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING. IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...TEMPERATURES
WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH FREEZING TUESDAY AS COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO
ADVECT IN THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

850H WINDS WILL SUBSIDE TUESDAY MORNING AND HAVE MAINTAINED GUSTS
30 TO 40 MPH OVERNIGHT MONDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE RIDGES OF THE
NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.

RIDGING AT THE SURFACE ALONG WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL GIVE WAY TO
DRIER WEATHER FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR TO BELOW SEASONAL NORMS.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A SURFACE LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING
SOUTHWEST TO A SURFACE LOW OVER TEXAS WILL APPROACH THE AREA
THURSDAY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE AREA BY FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY. LEANED TOWARD A BLEND OF THE LATEST GFS/00Z ECMWF SOLUTION
FOR THE WEEKEND. EVEN THOUGH THE LATEST RUNS OF THESE MODELS ARE
QUITE SIMILAR...THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE
LOCATION AS IT IS NEAR THE END OF THE EXTENDED. IT LOOKS AS THOUGH
THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS FURTHER SOUTH IN THIS LATEST RUN THAN IN
PREVIOUS RUNS. DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM LOW AND
THE TIMING OF THE COLD AIR ADVECTING INTO THE AREA...THE FORECAST
AREA COULD SEE SOME DECENT SNOW AND/OR POSSIBLY A WINTRY MIX
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...MAINTAINED THE MENTION
OF RAIN AND/OR SNOW.

TEMPERATURES WILL LOWER TO BELOW SEASONAL NORMS BY LATE WEEK AND
LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SEE EQUIPMENT SECTION ABOUT CEILOMETER MALFUNCTIONS AT LYH AND BLF.

CIGS/VSBYS WILL BE FLUCTUATING FROM IFR TO LIFR AND EVEN
LOWER...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE MOUNTAINS WHICH COULD IMPACT LYH/BLF/ROA
THE MOST. THIS WILL MAKE FOR WIDESPREAD MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION IN
LOW CLOUDS AND RAINFALL THRU MUCH OF THE NIGHT. LOW LVL WIND
SHEAR WILL REMAIN AS WELL INTO THE LATE EVENING UNTIL THE LOW LVL
WINDS VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST AND MIXING OCCURS IN THE MTNS AS THE
COLD FRONT PASSES THRU. LOOK FOR THE STRONGEST WINDS AT THE SFC IN
BLF UNTIL THEN. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES THRU THE
EVENING AT BLF AND ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS OUT EAST. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE SMALL AS BEST
INSTABILITY STAYS SOUTH BUT CANNOT RULE OUT SOME CONVECTIVE ISSUES
SOUTH OF DANVILLE AND BLF THRU ABOUT MIDNIGHT.

LOOKS LIKE THE COLD FRONT WILL PASS ACROSS THE FAR WEST JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT...REACHING THE BLUE RIDGE BY 12Z AND OVER THE EAST BY
MIDDAY MONDAY. THIS SHOULD BRING ABOUT IMPROVING CONDITIONS WITH A
GRADUAL RAISING OF CIGS TO MVFR BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY MORNING
AND PERHAPS A PERIOD OF VFR IN THE EAST DURING THE AFTERNOO.
HOWEVER WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH GUSTS
TO 25-30 KTS LIKELY AT MANY LOCATIONS THRU LATE MONDAY.

BEYOND THIS PERIOND...AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST
LOOKING AT CIGS REMAIN IN THE MVFR RANGE IN SE WV MAYBE VFR AT
LWB. POTENTIAL FOR IFR AT BLF EXISTS MON NIGHT AS NW FLOW
INCREASES EVEN MORE WITH SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE.

MVFR TO OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND WEST OF
THE BLUE RIDGE INTO TUESDAY...WITH UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD BRING A RETURN OF VFR TO ALL LOCATIONS WED
INTO THU. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING A RETURN TO MVFR IN LOWER
CLOUDS AND PRECIP LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED AT FORECAST POINTS IN MANY OF OUR
RIVER BASINS...INCLUDING THE DAN...ROANOKE...JAMES...YADKIN AND
GREENBRIER. QPF IN THE HYDROLOGIC MODELS RANGES FROM 1 TO NEARLY 3
INCHES WHICH IS A BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNT. THESE RIVER FORECASTS ARE
ALMOST ENTIRELY QPF-BASED WHICH GIVES SIGNIFICANTLY LESS
CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECASTS THAN ONES BASED ON RAIN THAT HAS
ALREADY FALLEN. AT THIS POINT NO FORECAST POINT IS EXPECTED TO
REACH MAJOR FLOOD STAGE BUT MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST...ON
PARTS OF THE JAMES AND LOWER DAN. IF THE RAIN FALLS SHORT THE
CRESTS WILL BE SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER OR OF COURSE HIGHER IF THE QPF
IS EXCEEDED.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING AS
SOILS ARE PRETTY SATURATED AND HEAVIER RAINS COULD CAUSE SMALL STREAM
FLOODING AS WELL.

ALSO...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BUCK DAM AREA AND POINTS
DOWNSTREAM WILL REMAIN AS IS THROUGH 600 PM MONDAY
ICE BUILDUP AT THE BUCK DAM ON THE NEW RIVER IN CARROLL COUNTY
HAS BROKEN OUT SEVERAL OF THE WOODEN FLASH BOARDS THAT ARE USED TO
CONTROL EMERGENCY RELEASES OF WATER FROM THE DAM. UNTIL THESE
FLASH BOARDS ARE REPLACED...THERE IS NO WAY TO FULLY REGULATE THE
AMOUNT OF INFLOW AND OUTFLOW FROM THE DAM.

RESIDUAL ICE PUSHING UP AGAINST REMAINING FLASH BOARDS MAY RESULT
IN ADDITIONAL FLASH BOARD FAILURES...WHICH WOULD FURTHER INCREASE
DISCHARGE DOWNSTREAM FROM THE DAM...CAUSING SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL
RISES ALONG THE NEW RIVER DOWNSTREAM FROM THE DAM TO CLAYTOR LAKE.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
MALFUNCTION OF THE NEW CEILOMETERS AT ROA...LYH...AND BLF HAS BEEN
REPORTED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN REGION. THE CEILING
HEIGHT AT ROA IS BEING CORRECTED BY THE ON SITE OBSERVER. THE
CEILING AT BLF WILL NOT BE REPORTED OVERNIGHT. THE CEILING AT LYH
MAY NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WHEN THE
CONTROL TOWER IS CLOSED.

ALSO...NOT GETTING ANY DATA AT THE DANVILLE RIVER GAGE SINCE EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. USGS IS AWARE OF THIS...BUT AT THE MOMENT PLANS
ARE NOT FOR A FIX TO IT UNTIL MONDAY OR TUESDAY. CITY OF DANVILLE
EMPLOYEES WILL BE USING A BACKUP GAGE IN ITS PLACE AND CALLING
THIS IN TO US.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR VAZ007-009>011-014-
     015-017>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR VAZ010-012.
     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR VAZ012-013-016.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR VAZ007-009-
     015.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY FOR VAZ022>024-032>035-
     043>047-058-059.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR NCZ001>006-018>020.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR NCZ001-018.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY FOR NCZ004>006.
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY FOR WVZ042>045.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR WVZ043.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR WVZ042-045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AMS/WP
NEAR TERM...AMS/JH/WP
SHORT TERM...REB
LONG TERM...REB
AVIATION...AMS/JH/WP
HYDROLOGY...
EQUIPMENT...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
929 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

VAZ012-260230-
WYTHE-
929 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NCZ001-018-VAZ010-WVZ043-260230-
ASHE-WATAUGA-BLAND-SUMMERS-
929 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WEST WINDS MONDAY MAY GUST UP TO 35 TO 40 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS.
WITH A SATURATED GROUND...THIS MAY CAUSE SOME SMALL OR DEAD TREES
TO FALL. A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

VAZ007-009-015-WVZ042-045-260230-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-GRAYSON-MERCER-GREENBRIER-
929 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

VAZ013-016-260230-
PULASKI-CARROLL-
929 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

VAZ011-018>020-WVZ044-260230-
GILES-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MONROE-
929 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

VAZ022>024-032>035-045>047-260230-
ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-
CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-
929 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NCZ002-VAZ014-017-260230-
ALLEGHANY NC-MONTGOMERY-FLOYD-
929 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NCZ003-019-020-260230-
SURRY-WILKES-YADKIN-
929 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
AND NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NCZ004>006-VAZ043-044-058-059-260230-
STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-
929 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST MONDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
848 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BOONE                   36.21N 81.67W
01/24/2010                   WATAUGA            NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            KRAUT CREEK FLOODING BOONE MALL PARKING LOT. TWO CARS
            STRANDED.

&&

BS