Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Charleston, WV

Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Athens County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Perry County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Buchanan County, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Barbour County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

678 
WWUS81 KRLX 031338
RFWRLX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
938 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

VAZ003-004-032145-
/O.UPG.KRLX.FW.A.0001.100403T1600Z-100404T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KRLX.FW.W.0001.100403T1600Z-100404T0000Z/
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-
938 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SUSTAINED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF UP TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO
30 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO DROP TO LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...WITH ITS
ASSOCIATED CLOUDS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY THIS
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

WVZ013-015-016-018-020-024>040-046-047-032145-
/O.CON.KRLX.FW.W.0001.100403T1600Z-100404T0000Z/
LINCOLN-KANAWHA-ROANE-CALHOUN-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-
BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-
FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
938 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

SUSTAINED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS
TO 30 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO DROP TO LESS THAN
25 PERCENT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...WITH
ITS ASSOCIATED CLOUDS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY THIS
EVENING.

OPEN BURNING OF ANY TYPE IS VERY HAZARDOUS AT THIS TIME...AND
SHOULD NOT BE ATTEMPTED. ACCIDENTAL ESCAPED DEBRIS BURNS ARE THE
NUMBER ONE CAUSE OF WILDFIRES. ALSO...BE CAREFUL WITH HEAT AND
SPARKS WHILE OPERATING ANY EQUIPMENT...OR SMOKING IN WILD LAND
AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-017-019-
032145-
/O.CON.KRLX.FW.A.0001.100403T1600Z-100404T0000Z/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-
JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-WIRT-RITCHIE-
938 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 30 
MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO BE IN THE 20S TO LOW 30S PERCENT RANGE.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...WITH ITS
ASSOCIATED CLOUDS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY THIS
EVENING.

OPEN BURNING OF ANY TYPE IS CONSIDERED VERY HAZARDOUS AT THIS
TIME. ACCIDENTAL ESCAPED DEBRIS BURNS ARE THE NUMBER ONE CAUSE OF
WILDFIRES. ALSO...BE CAREFUL WITH HEAT AND SPARKS WHILE OPERATING
ANY EQUIPMENT...OR SMOKING IN WILD LAND AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

819 
WWUS81 KRLX 031641
RFWRLX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1241 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

KYZ101>103-105-WVZ005-040000-
/O.UPG.KRLX.FW.A.0001.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KRLX.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-WAYNE-
1241 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 30
MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT THAT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA LATE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO BE IN THE 20S TO LOW 30S PERCENT RANGE.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...WITH ITS
ASSOCIATED CLOUDS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY THIS
EVENING.

OPEN BURNING OF ANY TYPE IS CONSIDERED VERY HAZARDOUS AT THIS
TIME. ACCIDENTAL ESCAPED DEBRIS BURNS ARE THE NUMBER ONE CAUSE OF
WILDFIRES. ALSO...BE CAREFUL WITH HEAT AND SPARKS WHILE OPERATING
ANY EQUIPMENT...OR SMOKING IN WILD LAND AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

VAZ003-004-WVZ013-015-016-018-020-024>040-046-047-040000-
/O.CON.KRLX.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-LINCOLN-KANAWHA-ROANE-CALHOUN-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-
LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-
WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-
POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
1241 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

SUSTAINED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS
TO 30 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO DROP TO LESS THAN
25 PERCENT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...WITH
ITS ASSOCIATED CLOUDS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY THIS
EVENING.

OPEN BURNING OF ANY TYPE IS VERY HAZARDOUS AT THIS TIME...AND
SHOULD NOT BE ATTEMPTED. ACCIDENTAL ESCAPED DEBRIS BURNS ARE THE
NUMBER ONE CAUSE OF WILDFIRES. ALSO...BE CAREFUL WITH HEAT AND
SPARKS WHILE OPERATING ANY EQUIPMENT...OR SMOKING IN WILD LAND
AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ006>011-014-017-019-040000-
/O.CON.KRLX.FW.A.0001.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-
LAWRENCE OH-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-
WIRT-RITCHIE-
1241 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL
PASS THROUGH THE AREA MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL ALSO BE IN THE 20S TO LOW 30S PERCENT RANGE.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...WITH ITS
ASSOCIATED CLOUDS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY THIS
EVENING.

OPEN BURNING OF ANY TYPE IS CONSIDERED VERY HAZARDOUS AT THIS
TIME. ACCIDENTAL ESCAPED DEBRIS BURNS ARE THE NUMBER ONE CAUSE OF
WILDFIRES. ALSO...BE CAREFUL WITH HEAT AND SPARKS WHILE OPERATING
ANY EQUIPMENT...OR SMOKING IN WILD LAND AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

650 
WWUS81 KRLX 031709
RFWRLX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
109 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ006>011-014-017-019-040000-
/O.UPG.KRLX.FW.A.0001.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KRLX.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-
LAWRENCE OH-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-
WIRT-RITCHIE-
109 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 30
MPH... ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO BE IN THE 20S TO LOW 30S PERCENT RANGE.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...WITH ITS
ASSOCIATED CLOUDS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY THIS
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

KYZ101>103-105-VAZ003-004-WVZ005-013-015-016-018-020-024>040-046-
047-040000-
/O.CON.KRLX.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-LINCOLN-
KANAWHA-ROANE-CALHOUN-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-
NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
109 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

SUSTAINED SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH...WITH GUSTS
TO 30 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON...AHEAD OF
A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO DROP TO LESS THAN
25 PERCENT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...WITH
ITS ASSOCIATED CLOUDS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY THIS
EVENING.

OPEN BURNING OF ANY TYPE IS VERY HAZARDOUS AT THIS TIME...AND
SHOULD NOT BE ATTEMPTED. ACCIDENTAL ESCAPED DEBRIS BURNS ARE THE
NUMBER ONE CAUSE OF WILDFIRES. ALSO...BE CAREFUL WITH HEAT AND
SPARKS WHILE OPERATING ANY EQUIPMENT...OR SMOKING IN WILD LAND
AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

037 
WWUS81 KRLX 032355
RFWRLX

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
755 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>040-046-047-040100-
/O.EXP.KRLX.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100404T0000Z/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-
WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-
KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-
CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
755 PM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

WINDS WERE DECREASING IN SPEED THIS EVENING...AND THEREFORE THE
RED FLAG WARNING IS BEING ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. 

EVEN SO...LACK OF RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE DRY
CONDITIONS. OPEN BURNING OF ANY TYPE IS CONSIDERED VERY HAZARDOUS
AT THIS TIME. ACCIDENTAL ESCAPED DEBRIS BURNS ARE THE NUMBER ONE
CAUSE OF WILDFIRES. ALSO...BE CAREFUL WITH HEAT AND SPARKS WHILE
OPERATING ANY EQUIPMENT...OR SMOKING IN WILD LAND AREAS.


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
440 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A MAINLY DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
HIGH PRESSURE SUNDAY. WARM FRONT MOVING NORTHWARD MONDAY. COLD FRONT
PASSES WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
COLD FRONT SET TO MOVE THROUGH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN
IS FOR NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AHEAD OF THAT FRONT TODAY...SEE
FIRE WEATHER SECTION OF AFD.

MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH DETAILS FOR DEW POINTS AND
TEMPERATURES. MUCH OF THE AREA FAILED TO DECOUPLE WINDS OVERNIGHT
BECAUSE OF THE INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT/SOUTHERLY FLOW AND DECK
OF HIGH CIRRUS...THUS RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS LOWER AND TEMPERATURES
WARMER THAN GUIDANCE WOULD SUGGEST. TEMPERATURES AS OF 4AM ARE IN
60S TO LOW 70S. FEEL THAT MET AND MAV GUIDANCE IS TOO COOL FOR MAX
TEMPERATURES TODAY...DESPITE SHIELD OF HIGH CIRRUS THAT HAS MOVED
OVER THE REGION. PREFERRED TEMPERATURE PATTERNS OFFERED BY LOCAL
WRF-NMM AND WRF-ARW...WITH SOME TWEAKING. NOT EXPECTING RECORD HEAT
LIKE FRIDAY...BUT STILL QUITE WARM ESPECIALLY FOR EASTERN CWA WHICH
WILL GET MORE HOURS OF HEATING BEFORE FRONT ARRIVES. HUMIDITY LEVELS
LOOK LIKE THEY WILL ALSO THUS BE LOWEST IN OUR WV COUNTIES...EASILY
INTO 20S PERCENT RANGE.

FRONT PASSES MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND WIND
SHIFT...AND NOT MUCH ELSE. BECAUSE OF NEGATIVELY TILTING NATURE OF
SYSTEM...THINKING WINDS WILL PROBABLY BE ON HIGHER SIDE OF
GUIDANCE...EASILY 10-20 MPH SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. FOR
RAIN...PARCHED LOW LEVELS AND WEAK DYNAMICS WILL LEAD TO A STRUGGLE
FOR RAIN TO REACH THE SURFACE FOR ANY SHOWERS THAT MANAGE TO
DEVELOP. THIS IS REFLECTED ACCORDINGLY WITH POPS.

SKY CLEARS BACK OUT TONIGHT...WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY
BUILDING IN. BLENDED GUIDANCE FOR LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES SUNDAY...WITH A WEAK WARM FRONT LIFTING
NORTH ACROSS OUR AREA LATER MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. STILL GOING
WITH MOST OF THE SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM FRONT STAYING WEST
AND NORTH OF OUR AREA...WHERE THE BETTER DYNAMICS AND MOISTURE WILL
BE. THIS IS A TYPICAL SCENARIO FOR THESE WARM FRONT TO NOT AFFECT US
MUCH IN TERMS OF PRECIP...WITH AN UPPER RIDGE STILL DOMINATING THE
EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION. THUS...GOING WITH THE NAM AND CANADIAN
FOR DETAILS WITH THIS SYSTEM...AS IT SHOWS THIS SCENARIO...
RESULTING IN LOW CHANCE POPS LATER MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT MAINLY
SOUTHEAST OHIO AND FAR NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA...AND DRY ELSEWHERE.
DISMISSING THE GFS AND ECMWF WHICH I FEEL SHOW TOO STRONG AN UPPER
IMPULSE CRASHING INTO THE EASTERN UPPER RIDGE AND DRAGGING SHOWERS
DUE EASTWARD ACROSS OUR AREA.

GENERALLY GOING WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS PERIOD. THE WARM
FRONT WILL BE ESTABLISHED WELL NORTH OF OUR AREA BY TUESDAY...SO
GOING WITH SUNSHINE AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE ON NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AFFECTING OUR
AREA IN THE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY TIME PERIOD. THE ISSUE WITH THIS
SYSTEM THAT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. MONDAY AND INTO
THE PLAINS BY TUESDAY...IS HOW MUCH PHASING WILL OCCUR WITH A
NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEM DROPPING SOUTHEAST OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA. THE
ECMWF PHASES AND AMPLIFIES IT THE MOST...RESULTING IN SLOWEST SPEED.
THE GFS IS FASTEST AS IT MAINTAINS SOMEWHAT LESS PHASING. HPC...ALONG
WITH VARIOUS MODEL ENSEMBLES PREFER A MIDDLE OF THE ROAD
SCENARIO...SOMEWHERE BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS. USED HPC GRIDS FOR
DETAILS. THIS BRINGS THE FRONT ACROSS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IN ANY
CASE...LOOKS TO BE A DECENT SLUG OF DYNAMICS AND MOISTURE TO BRING A
BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AREA WIDE LATER WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...TAPERING OFF THE A FEW POST FRONTAL SHOWERS THURSDAY. DID
NOT INCLUDE THUNDER AT THIS EARLY DATE...ESPECIALLY SINCE THE BEST
STUFF COMES ACROSS WITH THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. COOLER AIR
FINALLY BRINGS NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPS THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A COLD FRONT WILL COME THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL REPLACE A SOMEWHAT GUSTY SOUTHERLY
WIND WITH A VEERING WIND TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. HOWEVER...MOISTURE
IS LIMITED SO STILL VFR.

AFTER 06Z SUNDAY...
NO SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF IFR EXPECTED.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WHOLE AREA TODAY. AHEAD
OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WINDS OF 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30
MPH...AND HUMIDITY LEVELS INTO THE 20S TO LOW 30S PERCENT
RANGE...WILL COMBINE WITH VERY DRY FUELS TO CREATE NEAR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. CALLS WILL BE MADE TO RESPECTIVE LAND
AGENCIES THIS MORNING TO DETERMINE IF...AND WHERE...RED FLAG
WARNINGS MAY BE NEEDED. AT THIS TIME...OUR WV COUNTIES LOOK THE MOST
VULNERABLE TO THAT POSSIBILITY.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING
     FOR WVZ005>011-013>020-024>040-046-047.
OH...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING
     FOR OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087.
KY...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING
     FOR KYZ101>103-105.
VA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING
     FOR VAZ003-004.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MDP/JMV
NEAR TERM...MDP
SHORT TERM...JMV
LONG TERM...JMV
AVIATION...MDP
FIRE WEATHER...MDP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
438 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>040-046-047-040845-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-
CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-
ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-
NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
438 AM EDT SAT APR 3 2010

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH DRY FUELS TO CREATE
POTENTIALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. THIS MAY LEAD
TO RED FLAG WARNINGS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.